What markets are included in the Rio Ave vs FC Porto prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Rio Ave vs FC Porto prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Rio Ave vs FC Porto

Rio Ave vs FC Porto prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Primeira Liga 2026-08-15 19:30

Rio Ave

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Away Win

Pick

FC Porto

Probability

60%

Confidence

Medium

Score

0-1

FC Porto

Away

Prediction Summary

17%

23%

60%

O/U 2.5 · No edge

50%

BTTS No

52%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Rio Ave (Home)

Goals scored / match1

Goals conceded / match1.71

Over 2.5 rate12%

BTTS rate53%

FC Porto (Away)

Goals scored / match1.94

Goals conceded / match0.71

Over 2.5 rate24%

BTTS rate47%

Team Form last 5 matches

Rio Ave

DLDLD

FC Porto

WLWWW

Goals Comparison rate per team

59% +0.5 100%

29% +1.5 65%

12% +2.5 24%

0% +3.5 6%

0% +4.5 0%

53% BTTS 47%

Model Insight

The selected market is Away Win with a probability of 60%. Model confidence is Medium.

Rio Ave averages 1 goals scored at home, while FC Porto averages 1.94 goals scored away.

Model Strength

60%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

17%

Draw

23%

Away Win

60%

Over 2.5

50%

BTTS Yes

48%

Head-to-Head last 5

Feb 2026 Rio Ave(A) 0 - 1 FC Porto Away

Sep 2025 Rio Ave 0 - 3 FC Porto Away

Feb 2025 Rio Ave 2 - 2 FC Porto Draw

Aug 2024 Rio Ave(A) 0 - 2 FC Porto Away

Feb 2024 Rio Ave(A) 0 - 0 FC Porto Draw

In the last 5 meetings, Rio Ave won 0, drew 2 and lost 3.

Current Streaks

Rio Ave — unbeaten run (home)0

Rio Ave — scoring streak (home)1

FC Porto — winless run (away)1

FC Porto — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Rio Ave Win (1)17%

Draw (X)23%

FC Porto Win (2)60%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

59% +0.5 100%

29% +1.5 65%

12% +2.5 24%

0% +3.5 6%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

41% -0.5 0%

71% -1.5 35%

88% -2.5 76%

100% -3.5 94%

100% -4.5 100%

Rio Ave vs FC Porto — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Rio Ave — scored (home)1

Rio Ave — conceded (home)1.71

FC Porto — scored (away)1.94

FC Porto — conceded (away)0.71

Model expected combined goals2.68

Both Teams To Score

Yes48%

No52%

Rate per Team

Rio Ave — BTTS matches (home)53%

FC Porto — BTTS matches (away)47%

Combined (simple average)50%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.557%

Under 8.543%

Over 9.548%

Under 9.552%

Over 10.538%

Under 10.562%

Expected total corners (model prediction)9.70

Per-Team Corners own matches

Rio Ave (home)

Corners for5.1

Corners against6.1

FC Porto (away)

Corners for5.6

Corners against3.0

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Rio Ave

13 8 16 11 9

FC Porto

11 6 9 10 13

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.597%

Under 1.53%

Over 2.594%

Under 2.56%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.1

Yellow Cards per Team

Rio Ave (home)

For2.5

FC Porto (away)

For2.5

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.569%

Under 19.531%

Over 22.555%

Under 22.545%

Over 25.542%

Under 25.558%

Expected total shots24.58

Rio Ave

Shots Over 9.562%

Shots Over 11.545%

Shots Over 13.530%

Expected shots11.43

On Target Over 3.547%

On Target Over 4.530%

On Target Over 5.518%

Expected on target3.61

FC Porto

Shots Over 9.573%

Shots Over 11.558%

Shots Over 13.543%

Expected shots13.14

On Target Over 3.562%

On Target Over 4.546%

On Target Over 5.531%

Expected on target4.54

Shots per Game

Rio Ave — total shots (home)12.4

FC Porto — total shots (away)14.4

Shots on Target

Rio Ave — on target (home)4.1

FC Porto — on target (away)5.2

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Rio Ave

Inside the box6.5

Outside the box4

FC Porto

Inside the box9.5

Outside the box4.91

Player Shots Rio Ave

Clayton

Shots on Target/Game1.2

+0.5 On Target58%

+1.5 On Target47%

J. Blesa

Shots on Target/Game1.1

+0.5 On Target69%

+1.5 On Target31%

André Luiz

Shots on Target/Game1

+0.5 On Target63%

+1.5 On Target21%

M. Vrousai

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target42%

+1.5 On Target13%

Tamble Monteiro

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target38%

+1.5 On Target15%

Player Shots FC Porto

Samu

Shots on Target/Game1.6

+0.5 On Target70%

+1.5 On Target50%

William

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target39%

+1.5 On Target21%

Borja Sainz

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target40%

+1.5 On Target17%

O. Pietuszewski

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target44%

+1.5 On Target13%

L. de Jong

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target40%

+1.5 On Target20%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Rio Ave xG (home)1.04

FC Porto xG (away)1.83

Average Possession

47.03% Possession 55.12%

Team Comparison Rio Ave vs FC Porto

81.68% Pass accuracy 84.06%

386.65 Passes per match 449.71

0.13 Goals prevented -0.09

12.88 Fouls committed 13.88

3.38 Goalkeeper saves 1.85

1.57 Offsides 2.18

15.59 Tackles per match 15.03

League average xG this season is 1.3 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Rio Ave vs FC Porto prediction analysis

Review Rio Ave vs FC Porto with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primeira Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primeira Liga

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights