What markets are included in the Rio Ave vs GIL Vicente prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Rio Ave vs GIL Vicente prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Rio Ave vs GIL Vicente

Rio Ave vs GIL Vicente prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Primeira Liga 2025-05-16 18:00

Rio Ave

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

53%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-1

GIL Vicente

Away

Prediction Summary

47%

25%

28%

Over 2.5

53%

BTTS Yes

55%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Rio Ave (Home)

Goals scored / match1.47

Goals conceded / match1.41

Over 2.5 rate6%

BTTS rate71%

GIL Vicente (Away)

Goals scored / match0.94

Goals conceded / match1.65

Over 2.5 rate12%

BTTS rate53%

Team Form last 5 matches

Rio Ave

DDWLD

GIL Vicente

DDLWW

Goals Comparison rate per team

88% +0.5 65%

53% +1.5 18%

6% +2.5 12%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

71% BTTS 53%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 53%. Model confidence is Medium.

Rio Ave averages 1.47 goals scored at home, while GIL Vicente averages 0.94 goals scored away.

Model Strength

55%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

47%

Draw

25%

Away Win

28%

Over 2.5

53%

BTTS Yes

55%

Head-to-Head last 5

May 2026 Rio Ave 0 - 0 GIL Vicente Draw

Dec 2025 Rio Ave(A) 2 - 2 GIL Vicente Draw

May 2025 Rio Ave 1 - 1 GIL Vicente Draw

Jan 2025 Rio Ave(A) 1 - 1 GIL Vicente Draw

Apr 2024 Rio Ave 3 - 0 GIL Vicente Home

In the last 5 meetings, Rio Ave won 1, drew 4 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Rio Ave — unbeaten run (home)3

Rio Ave — scoring streak (home)3

GIL Vicente — winless run (away)2

GIL Vicente — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Rio Ave Win (1)47%

Draw (X)25%

GIL Vicente Win (2)28%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

88% +0.5 65%

53% +1.5 18%

6% +2.5 12%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

12% -0.5 35%

47% -1.5 82%

94% -2.5 88%

100% -3.5 100%

100% -4.5 100%

Rio Ave vs GIL Vicente — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Rio Ave — scored (home)1.47

Rio Ave — conceded (home)1.41

GIL Vicente — scored (away)0.94

GIL Vicente — conceded (away)1.65

Model expected combined goals2.78

Both Teams To Score

Yes55%

No45%

Rate per Team

Rio Ave — BTTS matches (home)71%

GIL Vicente — BTTS matches (away)53%

Combined (simple average)62%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.597%

Under 4.53%

Over 5.594%

Under 5.56%

Over 6.582%

Under 6.518%

Over 7.574%

Under 7.526%

Over 8.562%

Under 8.538%

Over 9.547%

Under 9.553%

Over 10.541%

Under 10.559%

Expected total corners (blended average)10.10

Per-Team Corners own matches

Rio Ave (home)

Corners for5.0

Corners against5.6

GIL Vicente (away)

Corners for3.4

Corners against6.2

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Rio Ave

10 10 8 9 13

GIL Vicente

9 5 11 5 13

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.597%

Under 0.53%

Over 1.579%

Under 1.521%

Over 2.576%

Under 2.524%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.2

Yellow Cards per Team

Rio Ave (home)

For2.2

GIL Vicente (away)

For2.2

Shots per Game

Rio Ave — total shots (home)12.1

GIL Vicente — total shots (away)7.8

Shots on Target

Rio Ave — on target (home)4.2

GIL Vicente — on target (away)2.5

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Rio Ave

Inside the box6.79

Outside the box4.26

GIL Vicente

Inside the box6.09

Outside the box3.53

Player Shots Rio Ave

F. Petrasso

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target14%

+1.5 On Target14%

Clayton

Shots on Target/Game1.8

+0.5 On Target74%

+1.5 On Target35%

Koka

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target22%

+1.5 On Target11%

E. Tıknaz

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target14%

+1.5 On Target7%

João Novais

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target17%

+1.5 On Target3%

Player Shots GIL Vicente

Pablo

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target20%

+1.5 On Target5%

A. Bamba

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target18%

+1.5 On Target9%

K. Fujimoto

Shots on Target/Game1.6

+0.5 On Target27%

+1.5 On Target13%

T. Touré

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target24%

+1.5 On Target8%

Félix Correia

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target36%

+1.5 On Target12%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Rio Ave xG (home)1.07

GIL Vicente xG (away)0.94

Average Possession

47.71% Possession 50.85%

Team Comparison Rio Ave vs GIL Vicente

79.59% Pass accuracy 81.62%

389.88 Passes per match 437.18

-0.09 Goals prevented -0.1

13.5 Fouls committed 11.62

3.53 Goalkeeper saves 2.71

2.79 Offsides 1.53

17.68 Tackles per match 15.71

League average xG this season is 1.21 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Rio Ave vs GIL Vicente prediction analysis

Review Rio Ave vs GIL Vicente with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primeira Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primeira Liga

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights