What markets are included in the Rio Ave vs Guimaraes prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Rio Ave vs Guimaraes prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Rio Ave vs Guimaraes

Rio Ave vs Guimaraes prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Primeira Liga 2025-12-13 18:00

Rio Ave

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

46%

Confidence

Low

Score

1-1

Guimaraes

Away

Prediction Summary

41%

27%

33%

Under 2.5

54%

BTTS Yes

51%

Confidence

Low

Market Evidence

Rio Ave (Home)

Goals scored / match1

Goals conceded / match1.71

Over 2.5 rate12%

BTTS rate53%

Guimaraes (Away)

Goals scored / match0.76

Goals conceded / match1.88

Over 2.5 rate0%

BTTS rate29%

Team Form last 5 matches

Rio Ave

DLDLD

Guimaraes

LLLWW

Goals Comparison rate per team

59% +0.5 53%

29% +1.5 24%

12% +2.5 0%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

53% BTTS 29%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 46%. Model confidence is Low.

Rio Ave averages 1 goals scored at home, while Guimaraes averages 0.76 goals scored away.

Model Strength

54%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

41%

Draw

27%

Away Win

33%

Over 2.5

46%

BTTS Yes

51%

Head-to-Head last 5

Apr 2026 Rio Ave(A) 0 - 2 Guimaraes Away

Dec 2025 Rio Ave 0 - 1 Guimaraes Away

Apr 2025 Rio Ave(A) 0 - 3 Guimaraes Away

Dec 2024 Rio Ave 2 - 2 Guimaraes Draw

May 2024 Rio Ave 2 - 1 Guimaraes Home

In the last 5 meetings, Rio Ave won 1, drew 1 and lost 3.

Current Streaks

Rio Ave — unbeaten run (home)0

Rio Ave — scoring streak (home)1

Guimaraes — winless run (away)2

Guimaraes — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Rio Ave Win (1)41%

Draw (X)27%

Guimaraes Win (2)33%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

59% +0.5 53%

29% +1.5 24%

12% +2.5 0%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

41% -0.5 47%

71% -1.5 76%

88% -2.5 100%

100% -3.5 100%

100% -4.5 100%

Rio Ave vs Guimaraes — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Rio Ave — scored (home)1

Rio Ave — conceded (home)1.71

Guimaraes — scored (away)0.76

Guimaraes — conceded (away)1.88

Model expected combined goals2.5

Both Teams To Score

Yes51%

No49%

Rate per Team

Rio Ave — BTTS matches (home)53%

Guimaraes — BTTS matches (away)29%

Combined (simple average)41%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.597%

Under 4.53%

Over 5.591%

Under 5.59%

Over 6.577%

Under 6.523%

Over 7.571%

Under 7.529%

Over 8.559%

Under 8.541%

Over 9.553%

Under 9.547%

Over 10.545%

Under 10.555%

Expected total corners (blended average)9.60

Per-Team Corners own matches

Rio Ave (home)

Corners for5.1

Corners against6.1

Guimaraes (away)

Corners for4.5

Corners against3.5

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Rio Ave

13 8 16 11 9

Guimaraes

13 8 8 10 8

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.594%

Under 1.56%

Over 2.588%

Under 2.512%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.6

Yellow Cards per Team

Rio Ave (home)

For2.5

Guimaraes (away)

For2.1

Shots per Game

Rio Ave — total shots (home)12.4

Guimaraes — total shots (away)13.2

Shots on Target

Rio Ave — on target (home)4.1

Guimaraes — on target (away)3.8

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Rio Ave

Inside the box6.5

Outside the box4

Guimaraes

Inside the box7.38

Outside the box5.94

Player Shots Rio Ave

Clayton

Shots on Target/Game1.2

+0.5 On Target58%

+1.5 On Target47%

J. Blesa

Shots on Target/Game1.1

+0.5 On Target69%

+1.5 On Target31%

André Luiz

Shots on Target/Game1

+0.5 On Target63%

+1.5 On Target21%

M. Vrousai

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target42%

+1.5 On Target13%

Tamble Monteiro

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target38%

+1.5 On Target15%

Player Shots Guimaraes

Gustavo

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target43%

+1.5 On Target22%

Samu

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target55%

+1.5 On Target10%

Tiago Silva

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target0%

Nélson Oliveira

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target35%

+1.5 On Target8%

A. Ndoye

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target8%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Rio Ave xG (home)1.04

Guimaraes xG (away)1.2

Average Possession

47.03% Possession 51.38%

Team Comparison Rio Ave vs Guimaraes

81.68% Pass accuracy 81.71%

386.65 Passes per match 393.65

0.13 Goals prevented -0.11

12.88 Fouls committed 14.53

3.38 Goalkeeper saves 3.12

1.57 Offsides 1.94

15.59 Tackles per match 15.35

League average xG this season is 1.3 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Rio Ave vs Guimaraes prediction analysis

Review Rio Ave vs Guimaraes with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primeira Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primeira Liga

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights