What markets are included in the Rio Ave vs Moreirense prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Rio Ave vs Moreirense prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Rio Ave vs Moreirense

Rio Ave vs Moreirense prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Primeira Liga 2024-11-30 15:30

Rio Ave

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

49%

Confidence

Low

Score

1-1

Moreirense

Away

Prediction Summary

48%

26%

27%

Under 2.5

51%

BTTS Yes

52%

Confidence

Low

Market Evidence

Rio Ave (Home)

Goals scored / match1.47

Goals conceded / match1.41

Over 2.5 rate6%

BTTS rate71%

Moreirense (Away)

Goals scored / match1.18

Goals conceded / match1.71

Over 2.5 rate6%

BTTS rate59%

Team Form last 5 matches

Rio Ave

DDWLD

Moreirense

WDLDL

Goals Comparison rate per team

88% +0.5 76%

53% +1.5 35%

6% +2.5 6%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

71% BTTS 59%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 49%. Model confidence is Low.

Rio Ave averages 1.47 goals scored at home, while Moreirense averages 1.18 goals scored away.

Model Strength

52%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

48%

Draw

26%

Away Win

27%

Over 2.5

49%

BTTS Yes

52%

Head-to-Head last 5

Feb 2026 Rio Ave 1 - 2 Moreirense Away

Sep 2025 Rio Ave(A) 1 - 3 Moreirense Away

Apr 2025 Rio Ave(A) 2 - 0 Moreirense Home

Nov 2024 Rio Ave 3 - 2 Moreirense Home

Mar 2024 Rio Ave(A) 0 - 0 Moreirense Draw

In the last 5 meetings, Rio Ave won 2, drew 1 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Rio Ave — unbeaten run (home)3

Rio Ave — scoring streak (home)3

Moreirense — winless run (away)0

Moreirense — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Rio Ave Win (1)48%

Draw (X)26%

Moreirense Win (2)27%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

88% +0.5 76%

53% +1.5 35%

6% +2.5 6%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

12% -0.5 24%

47% -1.5 65%

94% -2.5 94%

100% -3.5 100%

100% -4.5 100%

Rio Ave vs Moreirense — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Rio Ave — scored (home)1.47

Rio Ave — conceded (home)1.41

Moreirense — scored (away)1.18

Moreirense — conceded (away)1.71

Model expected combined goals2.62

Both Teams To Score

Yes52%

No48%

Rate per Team

Rio Ave — BTTS matches (home)71%

Moreirense — BTTS matches (away)59%

Combined (simple average)65%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.594%

Under 4.56%

Over 5.591%

Under 5.59%

Over 6.576%

Under 6.524%

Over 7.562%

Under 7.538%

Over 8.550%

Under 8.550%

Over 9.541%

Under 9.559%

Over 10.538%

Under 10.562%

Expected total corners (blended average)9.60

Per-Team Corners own matches

Rio Ave (home)

Corners for5.0

Corners against5.6

Moreirense (away)

Corners for3.1

Corners against5.5

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Rio Ave

10 10 8 9 13

Moreirense

6 7 11 9 6

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.585%

Under 1.515%

Over 2.579%

Under 2.521%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.5

Yellow Cards per Team

Rio Ave (home)

For2.2

Moreirense (away)

For2.4

Shots per Game

Rio Ave — total shots (home)12.1

Moreirense — total shots (away)10.0

Shots on Target

Rio Ave — on target (home)4.2

Moreirense — on target (away)3.9

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Rio Ave

Inside the box6.79

Outside the box4.26

Moreirense

Inside the box5.76

Outside the box4.47

Player Shots Rio Ave

F. Petrasso

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target14%

+1.5 On Target14%

Clayton

Shots on Target/Game1.8

+0.5 On Target74%

+1.5 On Target35%

Koka

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target22%

+1.5 On Target11%

E. Tıknaz

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target14%

+1.5 On Target7%

João Novais

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target17%

+1.5 On Target3%

Player Shots Moreirense

Dinis Pinto

Shots on Target/Game1.8

+0.5 On Target15%

+1.5 On Target7%

Madson

Shots on Target/Game1.6

+0.5 On Target47%

+1.5 On Target21%

Guilherme Schettine

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target43%

+1.5 On Target17%

Luís Asué

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target45%

+1.5 On Target16%

Alan

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target52%

+1.5 On Target10%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Rio Ave xG (home)1.07

Moreirense xG (away)0.92

Average Possession

47.71% Possession 47.47%

Team Comparison Rio Ave vs Moreirense

79.59% Pass accuracy 79.97%

389.88 Passes per match 384.35

-0.09 Goals prevented -0.27

13.5 Fouls committed 14.59

3.53 Goalkeeper saves 2.59

2.79 Offsides 1.75

17.68 Tackles per match 16.35

League average xG this season is 1.21 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Rio Ave vs Moreirense prediction analysis

Review Rio Ave vs Moreirense with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primeira Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primeira Liga

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights