What markets are included in the Rio Ave vs Sporting CP prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Rio Ave vs Sporting CP prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Rio Ave vs Sporting CP

Rio Ave vs Sporting CP prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Primeira Liga 2025-01-18 18:00

Rio Ave

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

70%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-2

Sporting CP

Away

Prediction Summary

23%

20%

57%

Over 2.5

70%

BTTS Yes

67%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Rio Ave (Home)

Goals scored / match1.47

Goals conceded / match1.41

Over 2.5 rate6%

BTTS rate71%

Sporting CP (Away)

Goals scored / match2.82

Goals conceded / match0.82

Over 2.5 rate65%

BTTS rate47%

Team Form last 5 matches

Rio Ave

DDWLD

Sporting CP

WDWWW

Goals Comparison rate per team

88% +0.5 94%

53% +1.5 71%

6% +2.5 65%

0% +3.5 29%

0% +4.5 18%

71% BTTS 47%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 70%. Model confidence is Medium.

Rio Ave averages 1.47 goals scored at home, while Sporting CP averages 2.82 goals scored away.

Model Strength

70%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

23%

Draw

20%

Away Win

57%

Over 2.5

70%

BTTS Yes

67%

Head-to-Head last 5

May 2026 Rio Ave 1 - 4 Sporting CP Away

Dec 2025 Rio Ave(A) 0 - 4 Sporting CP Away

Apr 2025 Rio Ave 1 - 2 Sporting CP Away

Apr 2025 Rio Ave(A) 0 - 2 Sporting CP Away

Jan 2025 Rio Ave 0 - 3 Sporting CP Away

In the last 5 meetings, Rio Ave won 0, drew 0 and lost 5.

Current Streaks

Rio Ave — unbeaten run (home)3

Rio Ave — scoring streak (home)3

Sporting CP — winless run (away)1

Sporting CP — clean sheets (away, last 5)3 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Rio Ave Win (1)23%

Draw (X)20%

Sporting CP Win (2)57%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

88% +0.5 94%

53% +1.5 71%

6% +2.5 65%

0% +3.5 29%

0% +4.5 18%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

12% -0.5 6%

47% -1.5 29%

94% -2.5 35%

100% -3.5 71%

100% -4.5 82%

Rio Ave vs Sporting CP — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Rio Ave — scored (home)1.47

Rio Ave — conceded (home)1.41

Sporting CP — scored (away)2.82

Sporting CP — conceded (away)0.82

Model expected combined goals3.61

Both Teams To Score

Yes67%

No33%

Rate per Team

Rio Ave — BTTS matches (home)71%

Sporting CP — BTTS matches (away)47%

Combined (simple average)59%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.597%

Under 4.53%

Over 5.588%

Under 5.512%

Over 6.576%

Under 6.524%

Over 7.571%

Under 7.529%

Over 8.547%

Under 8.553%

Over 9.541%

Under 9.559%

Over 10.533%

Under 10.567%

Expected total corners (blended average)9.60

Per-Team Corners own matches

Rio Ave (home)

Corners for5.0

Corners against5.6

Sporting CP (away)

Corners for5.4

Corners against3.2

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Rio Ave

10 10 8 9 13

Sporting CP

6 8 11 8 8

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.591%

Under 1.59%

Over 2.576%

Under 2.524%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5

Yellow Cards per Team

Rio Ave (home)

For2.2

Sporting CP (away)

For2.1

Shots per Game

Rio Ave — total shots (home)12.1

Sporting CP — total shots (away)17.8

Shots on Target

Rio Ave — on target (home)4.2

Sporting CP — on target (away)6.8

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Rio Ave

Inside the box6.79

Outside the box4.26

Sporting CP

Inside the box12.56

Outside the box5.79

Player Shots Rio Ave

F. Petrasso

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target14%

+1.5 On Target14%

Clayton

Shots on Target/Game1.8

+0.5 On Target74%

+1.5 On Target35%

Koka

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target22%

+1.5 On Target11%

E. Tıknaz

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target14%

+1.5 On Target7%

João Novais

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target17%

+1.5 On Target3%

Player Shots Sporting CP

V. Gyökeres

Shots on Target/Game2.8

+0.5 On Target88%

+1.5 On Target70%

C. Harder

Shots on Target/Game1.8

+0.5 On Target32%

+1.5 On Target14%

Trincão

Shots on Target/Game1.7

+0.5 On Target62%

+1.5 On Target29%

M. Hjulmand

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target18%

+1.5 On Target4%

Pote

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target14%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Rio Ave xG (home)1.07

Sporting CP xG (away)2.14

Average Possession

47.71% Possession 60.44%

Team Comparison Rio Ave vs Sporting CP

79.59% Pass accuracy 87.03%

389.88 Passes per match 520.47

-0.09 Goals prevented -0.26

13.5 Fouls committed 11.5

3.53 Goalkeeper saves 1.41

2.79 Offsides 1.16

17.68 Tackles per match 16

League average xG this season is 1.21 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Rio Ave vs Sporting CP prediction analysis

Review Rio Ave vs Sporting CP with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primeira Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primeira Liga

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights