What markets are included in the Rio Ave vs Tondela prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Rio Ave vs Tondela prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Rio Ave vs Tondela

Rio Ave vs Tondela prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Primeira Liga 2025-10-05 16:30

Rio Ave

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

52%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-1

Tondela

Away

Prediction Summary

43%

25%

32%

Over 2.5

52%

BTTS Yes

55%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Rio Ave (Home)

Goals scored / match1

Goals conceded / match1.71

Over 2.5 rate12%

BTTS rate53%

Tondela (Away)

Goals scored / match0.82

Goals conceded / match2

Over 2.5 rate0%

BTTS rate35%

Team Form last 5 matches

Rio Ave

DLDLD

Tondela

LWWDL

Goals Comparison rate per team

59% +0.5 53%

29% +1.5 29%

12% +2.5 0%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

53% BTTS 35%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 52%. Model confidence is Medium.

Rio Ave averages 1 goals scored at home, while Tondela averages 0.82 goals scored away.

Model Strength

55%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

43%

Draw

25%

Away Win

32%

Over 2.5

52%

BTTS Yes

55%

Head-to-Head last 5

Mar 2026 Rio Ave(A) 1 - 0 Tondela Home

Oct 2025 Rio Ave 3 - 0 Tondela Home

Jan 2022 Rio Ave 0 - 1 Tondela Away

Feb 2021 Rio Ave 2 - 1 Tondela Home

Sep 2020 Rio Ave(A) 1 - 1 Tondela Draw

In the last 5 meetings, Rio Ave won 3, drew 1 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Rio Ave — unbeaten run (home)0

Rio Ave — scoring streak (home)1

Tondela — winless run (away)1

Tondela — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Rio Ave Win (1)43%

Draw (X)25%

Tondela Win (2)32%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

59% +0.5 53%

29% +1.5 29%

12% +2.5 0%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

41% -0.5 47%

71% -1.5 71%

88% -2.5 100%

100% -3.5 100%

100% -4.5 100%

Rio Ave vs Tondela — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Rio Ave — scored (home)1

Rio Ave — conceded (home)1.71

Tondela — scored (away)0.82

Tondela — conceded (away)2

Model expected combined goals2.75

Both Teams To Score

Yes55%

No45%

Rate per Team

Rio Ave — BTTS matches (home)53%

Tondela — BTTS matches (away)35%

Combined (simple average)44%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.597%

Under 4.53%

Over 5.597%

Under 5.53%

Over 6.588%

Under 6.512%

Over 7.582%

Under 7.518%

Over 8.568%

Under 8.532%

Over 9.562%

Under 9.538%

Over 10.553%

Under 10.547%

Expected total corners (blended average)10.50

Per-Team Corners own matches

Rio Ave (home)

Corners for5.1

Corners against6.1

Tondela (away)

Corners for4.0

Corners against5.7

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Rio Ave

13 8 16 11 9

Tondela

15 10 9 9 11

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.591%

Under 1.59%

Over 2.583%

Under 2.517%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.1

Yellow Cards per Team

Rio Ave (home)

For2.5

Tondela (away)

For2.8

Shots per Game

Rio Ave — total shots (home)12.4

Tondela — total shots (away)9.1

Shots on Target

Rio Ave — on target (home)4.1

Tondela — on target (away)3.2

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Rio Ave

Inside the box6.5

Outside the box4

Tondela

Inside the box6.38

Outside the box4.21

Player Shots Rio Ave

Clayton

Shots on Target/Game1.2

+0.5 On Target58%

+1.5 On Target47%

J. Blesa

Shots on Target/Game1.1

+0.5 On Target69%

+1.5 On Target31%

André Luiz

Shots on Target/Game1

+0.5 On Target63%

+1.5 On Target21%

M. Vrousai

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target42%

+1.5 On Target13%

Tamble Monteiro

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target38%

+1.5 On Target15%

Player Shots Tondela

Pedro Maranhão

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target55%

+1.5 On Target15%

Rony Lopes

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target13%

Miro

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target0%

M. Aïko

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target39%

+1.5 On Target6%

J. Siebatcheu

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target27%

+1.5 On Target9%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Rio Ave xG (home)1.04

Tondela xG (away)1.12

Average Possession

47.03% Possession 43.56%

Team Comparison Rio Ave vs Tondela

81.68% Pass accuracy 78.29%

386.65 Passes per match 338.06

0.13 Goals prevented 0.02

12.88 Fouls committed 14.47

3.38 Goalkeeper saves 3.38

1.57 Offsides 2.16

15.59 Tackles per match 17.56

League average xG this season is 1.3 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Rio Ave vs Tondela prediction analysis

Review Rio Ave vs Tondela with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primeira Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primeira Liga

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights