Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Rizespor vs Başakşehir

Rizespor vs Başakşehir prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Süper Lig 2025-10-22 17:00
Rizespor
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
42%
Confidence
Medium
Score
0-1
Başakşehir
Away

Prediction Summary

1
27%
X
27%
2
45%
Under 2.5
58%
BTTS No
53%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Rizespor (Home)

Goals scored / match1.41
Goals conceded / match1.35
Over 2.5 rate18%
BTTS rate47%

Başakşehir (Away)

Goals scored / match1.47
Goals conceded / match1.06
Over 2.5 rate18%
BTTS rate53%

Team Form last 5 matches

Rizespor
DLWLD
Başakşehir
WWLWD

Goals Comparison rate per team

76% +0.5 76%
41% +1.5 47%
18% +2.5 18%
6% +3.5 6%
0% +4.5 0%
47% BTTS 53%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 42%. Model confidence is Medium.

Rizespor averages 1.41 goals scored at home, while Başakşehir averages 1.47 goals scored away.

Model Strength
58%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
27%
Draw
27%
Away Win
45%
Over 2.5
42%
BTTS Yes
47%

Head-to-Head last 5

Jan 2026 Rizespor(A) 2 - 2 Başakşehir Draw
Oct 2025 Rizespor 0 - 0 Başakşehir Draw
Jan 2025 Rizespor(A) 0 - 2 Başakşehir Away
Aug 2024 Rizespor 1 - 1 Başakşehir Draw
Apr 2024 Rizespor(A) 0 - 2 Başakşehir Away

In the last 5 meetings, Rizespor won 0, drew 3 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Rizespor — unbeaten run (home)6
Rizespor — scoring streak (home)6
Başakşehir — winless run (away)0
Başakşehir — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Rizespor Win (1)27%
Draw (X)27%
Başakşehir Win (2)45%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

76% +0.5 76%
41% +1.5 47%
18% +2.5 18%
6% +3.5 6%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

24% -0.5 24%
59% -1.5 53%
82% -2.5 82%
94% -3.5 94%
100% -4.5 100%

Rizespor vs Başakşehir — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Rizespor — scored (home)1.41
Rizespor — conceded (home)1.35
Başakşehir — scored (away)1.47
Başakşehir — conceded (away)1.06
Model expected combined goals2.38

Both Teams To Score

Yes47%
No53%

Rate per Team

Rizespor — BTTS matches (home)47%
Başakşehir — BTTS matches (away)53%
Combined (simple average)50%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.594%
Under 4.56%
Over 5.591%
Under 5.59%
Over 6.586%
Under 6.514%
Over 7.577%
Under 7.523%
Over 8.565%
Under 8.535%
Over 9.556%
Under 9.544%
Over 10.544%
Under 10.556%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.90

Per-Team Corners own matches

Rizespor (home)

Corners for4.2
Corners against4.5

Başakşehir (away)

Corners for5.2
Corners against5.8

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Rizespor
10 14 3 9 11
Başakşehir
13 8 12 7 9

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.597%
Under 0.53%
Over 1.591%
Under 1.59%
Over 2.580%
Under 2.520%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.3

Yellow Cards per Team

Rizespor (home)

For2.2

Başakşehir (away)

For2.3

Shots per Game

Rizespor — total shots (home)14.4
Başakşehir — total shots (away)13.6

Shots on Target

Rizespor — on target (home)4.4
Başakşehir — on target (away)4.5

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Rizespor

Inside the box7.53
Outside the box5.47

Başakşehir

Inside the box9.41
Outside the box4.09

Player Shots Rizespor

J. Rak-Sakyi
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target73%
+1.5 On Target9%
Adedire Emmanuel Awokoya-Mebude
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target46%
+1.5 On Target15%
V. Mihăilă
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target14%
Q. Laçi
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target9%
A. Sowe
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target9%

Player Shots Başakşehir

E. Shomurodov
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target82%
+1.5 On Target41%
Y. Sarı
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target48%
+1.5 On Target24%
D. Selke
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target54%
+1.5 On Target21%
A. Fayzullaev
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target10%
B. Yıldırım
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target11%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Rizespor xG (home)1.33
Başakşehir xG (away)1.58

Average Possession

49.88% Possession 54.44%

Team Comparison Rizespor vs Başakşehir

81.32% Pass accuracy 83.5%
391.32 Passes per match 435.29
-0.01 Goals prevented 0.06
13.71 Fouls committed 13.35
3.26 Goalkeeper saves 3.12
1.81 Offsides 1.36
14.85 Tackles per match 12.82

League average xG this season is 1.3 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Rizespor vs Başakşehir prediction analysis

Review Rizespor vs Başakşehir with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Süper Lig.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Süper Lig
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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