Prediction Analysis: Rizespor vs Samsunspor
Rizespor vs Samsunspor prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
Süper Lig
2026-08-23
17:00
Rizespor
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
BTTS Yes
Pick
Yes
Probability
59%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Samsunspor
Away
Prediction Summary
1
41%
X
25%
2
34%
Over 2.5
56%
BTTS Yes
59%
Confidence
Medium
Market Evidence
Rizespor (Home)
Goals scored / match1.41
Goals conceded / match1.35
Over 2.5 rate18%
BTTS rate47%
Samsunspor (Away)
Goals scored / match1.41
Goals conceded / match1.65
Over 2.5 rate18%
BTTS rate71%
Team Form last 5 matches
Rizespor
DLWLD
Samsunspor
WLWWW
Goals Comparison rate per team
76%
+0.5
82%
41%
+1.5
41%
18%
+2.5
18%
6%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
47%
BTTS
71%
Model Insight
The selected market is BTTS Yes with a probability of 59%. Model confidence is Medium.
Rizespor averages 1.41 goals scored at home, while Samsunspor averages 1.41 goals scored away.
Model Strength
59%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
41%
Draw
25%
Away Win
34%
Over 2.5
56%
BTTS Yes
59%
Head-to-Head last 5
Apr 2026
Rizespor
4 - 1
Samsunspor
Home
Oct 2025
Rizespor(A)
1 - 1
Samsunspor
Draw
Feb 2025
Rizespor(A)
3 - 2
Samsunspor
Home
Sep 2024
Rizespor
0 - 1
Samsunspor
Away
Feb 2024
Rizespor(A)
0 - 3
Samsunspor
Away
In the last 5 meetings, Rizespor won 2, drew 1 and lost 2.
Current Streaks
Rizespor — unbeaten run (home)6
Rizespor — scoring streak (home)6
Samsunspor — winless run (away)1
Samsunspor — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5
1X2 Probability model
Rizespor Win (1)41%
Draw (X)25%
Samsunspor Win (2)34%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
76%
+0.5
82%
41%
+1.5
41%
18%
+2.5
18%
6%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
24%
-0.5
18%
59%
-1.5
59%
82%
-2.5
82%
94%
-3.5
100%
100%
-4.5
100%
Rizespor vs Samsunspor — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
Rizespor — scored (home)1.41
Rizespor — conceded (home)1.35
Samsunspor — scored (away)1.41
Samsunspor — conceded (away)1.65
Model expected combined goals2.91
Both Teams To Score
Yes59%
No41%
Rate per Team
Rizespor — BTTS matches (home)47%
Samsunspor — BTTS matches (away)71%
Combined (simple average)59%
Corners Line model prediction
Over 8.556%
Under 8.544%
Over 9.545%
Under 9.555%
Over 10.536%
Under 10.564%
Expected total corners (model prediction)9.40
Per-Team Corners own matches
Rizespor (home)
Corners for4.2
Corners against4.5
Samsunspor (away)
Corners for5.6
Corners against5.2
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
Rizespor
10
14
3
9
11
Samsunspor
8
17
9
7
4
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.5100%
Under 1.50%
Over 2.591%
Under 2.59%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.5
Yellow Cards per Team
Rizespor (home)
For2.2
Samsunspor (away)
For2.6
Shots Forecast model prediction
Match Total
Over 19.578%
Under 19.522%
Over 22.565%
Under 22.535%
Over 25.552%
Under 25.548%
Expected total shots26.71
Rizespor
Shots Over 9.580%
Shots Over 11.567%
Shots Over 13.552%
Expected shots14.25
On Target Over 3.562%
On Target Over 4.546%
On Target Over 5.532%
Expected on target4.58
Samsunspor
Shots Over 9.570%
Shots Over 11.554%
Shots Over 13.538%
Expected shots12.46
On Target Over 3.552%
On Target Over 4.536%
On Target Over 5.523%
Expected on target3.92
Shots per Game
Rizespor — total shots (home)14.4
Samsunspor — total shots (away)11.7
Shots on Target
Rizespor — on target (home)4.4
Samsunspor — on target (away)3.6
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
Rizespor
Inside the box7.53
Outside the box5.47
Samsunspor
Inside the box8.21
Outside the box4.74
Player Shots Rizespor
J. Rak-Sakyi
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target73%
+1.5 On Target9%
Adedire Emmanuel Awokoya-Mebude
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target46%
+1.5 On Target15%
V. Mihăilă
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target14%
Q. Laçi
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target9%
A. Sowe
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target9%
Player Shots Samsunspor
M. Mouandilmadji
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target25%
C. Holse
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target26%
A. Musaba
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target13%
E. Tavşan
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target20%
Marius
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target35%
+1.5 On Target19%
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
Rizespor xG (home)1.33
Samsunspor xG (away)1.29
Average Possession
49.88%
Possession
54.29%
Team Comparison Rizespor vs Samsunspor
81.32%
Pass accuracy
82.71%
391.32
Passes per match
436.06
-0.01
Goals prevented
-0.18
13.71
Fouls committed
14.91
3.26
Goalkeeper saves
2.36
1.81
Offsides
2
14.85
Tackles per match
15.85
League average xG this season is 1.3 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
Rizespor vs Samsunspor prediction analysis
Review Rizespor vs Samsunspor with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Süper Lig.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
Süper Lig
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights