What markets are included in the Roda vs Helmond Sport prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Roda vs Helmond Sport prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Roda vs Helmond Sport

Roda vs Helmond Sport prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Eerste Divisie 2026-08-14 18:00

Roda

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

48%

Confidence

Low

Score

1-1

Helmond Sport

Away

Prediction Summary

50%

25%

24%

Under 2.5

52%

BTTS · No edge

50%

Confidence

Low

Market Evidence

Roda (Home)

Goals scored / match1.35

Goals conceded / match1.45

Over 2.5 rate10%

BTTS rate55%

Helmond Sport (Away)

Goals scored / match0.58

Goals conceded / match1.79

Over 2.5 rate5%

BTTS rate37%

Team Form last 5 matches

Roda

DDLDW

Helmond Sport

LWDDL

Goals Comparison rate per team

75% +0.5 47%

35% +1.5 5%

10% +2.5 5%

5% +3.5 0%

5% +4.5 0%

55% BTTS 37%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 48%. Model confidence is Low.

Roda averages 1.35 goals scored at home, while Helmond Sport averages 0.58 goals scored away.

Model Strength

52%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

50%

Draw

25%

Away Win

24%

Over 2.5

48%

BTTS Yes

50%

Head-to-Head last 5

Mar 2026 Roda 1 - 1 Helmond Sport Draw

Aug 2025 Roda(A) 3 - 1 Helmond Sport Home

Mar 2025 Roda 3 - 2 Helmond Sport Home

Oct 2024 Roda(A) 1 - 2 Helmond Sport Away

Dec 2023 Roda(A) 3 - 3 Helmond Sport Draw

In the last 5 meetings, Roda won 2, drew 2 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Roda — unbeaten run (home)2

Roda — scoring streak (home)2

Helmond Sport — winless run (away)6

Helmond Sport — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Roda Win (1)50%

Draw (X)25%

Helmond Sport Win (2)24%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

75% +0.5 47%

35% +1.5 5%

10% +2.5 5%

5% +3.5 0%

5% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

25% -0.5 53%

65% -1.5 95%

90% -2.5 95%

95% -3.5 100%

95% -4.5 100%

Roda vs Helmond Sport — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Roda — scored (home)1.35

Roda — conceded (home)1.45

Helmond Sport — scored (away)0.58

Helmond Sport — conceded (away)1.79

Model expected combined goals2.58

Both Teams To Score

Yes50%

No50%

Rate per Team

Roda — BTTS matches (home)55%

Helmond Sport — BTTS matches (away)37%

Combined (simple average)46%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.567%

Under 8.533%

Over 9.557%

Under 9.543%

Over 10.546%

Under 10.554%

Expected total corners (model prediction)10.50

Per-Team Corners own matches

Roda (home)

Corners for6.1

Corners against5.3

Helmond Sport (away)

Corners for4.9

Corners against5.5

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Roda

12 11 10 8 16

Helmond Sport

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.598%

Under 0.52%

Over 1.584%

Under 1.516%

Over 2.558%

Under 2.542%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.4

Yellow Cards per Team

Roda (home)

For1.5

Helmond Sport (away)

For1.9

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.577%

Under 19.523%

Over 22.564%

Under 22.536%

Over 25.550%

Under 25.550%

Expected total shots26.16

Roda

Shots Over 9.582%

Shots Over 11.569%

Shots Over 13.553%

Expected shots14.44

On Target Over 3.573%

On Target Over 4.557%

On Target Over 5.542%

Expected on target5.21

Helmond Sport

Shots Over 9.566%

Shots Over 11.548%

Shots Over 13.532%

Expected shots11.72

On Target Over 3.556%

On Target Over 4.539%

On Target Over 5.524%

Expected on target4.10

Shots per Game

Roda — total shots (home)14.4

Helmond Sport — total shots (away)11.5

Shots on Target

Roda — on target (home)5.2

Helmond Sport — on target (away)3.2

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Roda

Inside the box9.63

Outside the box4.39

Helmond Sport

Inside the box7.39

Outside the box4.37

Player Shots Roda

F. Janssen

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target25%

+1.5 On Target25%

A. van den Hurk

Shots on Target/Game1.7

+0.5 On Target66%

+1.5 On Target34%

J. Cooper

Shots on Target/Game1.7

+0.5 On Target47%

+1.5 On Target18%

M. Breij

Shots on Target/Game1.6

+0.5 On Target56%

+1.5 On Target22%

J. Schwirten

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target36%

+1.5 On Target9%

Player Shots Helmond Sport

L. Daneels

Shots on Target/Game1.6

+0.5 On Target32%

+1.5 On Target10%

A. Et-Taïbi

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target21%

+1.5 On Target5%

M. Łukowicz

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target43%

+1.5 On Target17%

O. Zimuangana

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target27%

+1.5 On Target9%

B. Koglin

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target25%

+1.5 On Target6%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Roda xG (home)2.02

Helmond Sport xG (away)1.17

Average Possession

52.16% Possession 48.92%

Team Comparison Roda vs Helmond Sport

79.27% Pass accuracy 80.01%

444.26 Passes per match 405.79

0 Goals prevented 0

10 Fouls committed 14.34

3.45 Goalkeeper saves 2.47

2.46 Offsides 2

14.66 Tackles per match 17.39

League average xG this season is 1.67 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Roda vs Helmond Sport prediction analysis

Review Roda vs Helmond Sport with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Eerste Divisie.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Eerste Divisie

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights