Prediction Analysis: Rot-Weiß Essen vs FC Viktoria Köln
Rot-Weiß Essen vs FC Viktoria Köln prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
3. Liga
2025-10-18
14:30
Rot-Weiß Essen
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
60%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
FC Viktoria Köln
Away
Prediction Summary
1
49%
X
23%
2
28%
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS Yes
61%
Confidence
Medium
Market Evidence
Rot-Weiß Essen (Home)
Goals scored / match2.05
Goals conceded / match1.16
Over 2.5 rate37%
BTTS rate74%
FC Viktoria Köln (Away)
Goals scored / match1.37
Goals conceded / match1.37
Over 2.5 rate21%
BTTS rate47%
Team Form last 5 matches
Rot-Weiß Essen
WWLLL
FC Viktoria Köln
DLWLL
Goals Comparison rate per team
100%
+0.5
68%
53%
+1.5
47%
37%
+2.5
21%
16%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
74%
BTTS
47%
Model Insight
The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 60%. Model confidence is Medium.
Rot-Weiß Essen averages 2.05 goals scored at home, while FC Viktoria Köln averages 1.37 goals scored away.
Model Strength
61%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
49%
Draw
23%
Away Win
28%
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS Yes
61%
Head-to-Head last 2
Mar 2026
Rot-Weiß Essen(A)
2 - 1
FC Viktoria Köln
Home
Oct 2025
Rot-Weiß Essen
1 - 0
FC Viktoria Köln
Home
In the last 2 meetings, Rot-Weiß Essen won 2, drew 0 and lost 0.
Current Streaks
Rot-Weiß Essen — unbeaten run (home)1
Rot-Weiß Essen — scoring streak (home)19
FC Viktoria Köln — winless run (away)1
FC Viktoria Köln — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5
1X2 Probability model
Rot-Weiß Essen Win (1)49%
Draw (X)23%
FC Viktoria Köln Win (2)28%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
100%
+0.5
68%
53%
+1.5
47%
37%
+2.5
21%
16%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
0%
-0.5
32%
47%
-1.5
53%
63%
-2.5
79%
84%
-3.5
100%
100%
-4.5
100%
Rot-Weiß Essen vs FC Viktoria Köln — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
Rot-Weiß Essen — scored (home)2.05
Rot-Weiß Essen — conceded (home)1.16
FC Viktoria Köln — scored (away)1.37
FC Viktoria Köln — conceded (away)1.37
Model expected combined goals3.1
Both Teams To Score
Yes61%
No39%
Rate per Team
Rot-Weiß Essen — BTTS matches (home)74%
FC Viktoria Köln — BTTS matches (away)47%
Combined (simple average)60.5%
Corners Line match total, blended estimate
Over 4.572%
Under 4.528%
Over 5.569%
Under 5.531%
Over 6.566%
Under 6.534%
Over 7.557%
Under 7.543%
Over 8.554%
Under 8.546%
Over 9.544%
Under 9.556%
Over 10.541%
Under 10.559%
Expected total corners (blended average)8.60
Per-Team Corners own matches
Rot-Weiß Essen (home)
Corners for6.0
Corners against7.0
FC Viktoria Köln (away)
Corners for4.6
Corners against5.3
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
Rot-Weiß Essen
0
17
0
0
0
FC Viktoria Köln
4
9
0
0
0
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.597%
Under 1.53%
Over 2.594%
Under 2.56%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5
Yellow Cards per Team
Rot-Weiß Essen (home)
For2.0
FC Viktoria Köln (away)
For2.9
Shots per Game
Rot-Weiß Essen — total shots (home)15.8
FC Viktoria Köln — total shots (away)10.5
Shots on Target
Rot-Weiß Essen — on target (home)6.2
FC Viktoria Köln — on target (away)3.8
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
Rot-Weiß Essen
Inside the box8.71
Outside the box6.58
FC Viktoria Köln
Inside the box7.5
Outside the box3.96
Player Shots Rot-Weiß Essen
A. Arslan
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target75%
+1.5 On Target50%
M. Janssen
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target57%
+1.5 On Target19%
K. Mizuta
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target19%
D. Abiama
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target36%
L. Brumme
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target9%
Player Shots FC Viktoria Köln
L. Lobinger
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target56%
+1.5 On Target22%
D. Otto
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target59%
+1.5 On Target32%
T. Duman
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target25%
B. Zank
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target48%
+1.5 On Target14%
R. Velasco
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target10%
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
Rot-Weiß Essen xG (home)1.75
FC Viktoria Köln xG (away)1.39
Average Possession
50.58%
Possession
50.92%
Team Comparison Rot-Weiß Essen vs FC Viktoria Köln
80.08%
Pass accuracy
82.71%
384.71
Passes per match
437.08
0
Goals prevented
0
11.21
Fouls committed
14.08
2.96
Goalkeeper saves
3.38
1.33
Offsides
1.67
2.77
Tackles per match
1.68
League average xG this season is 1.6 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
Rot-Weiß Essen vs FC Viktoria Köln prediction analysis
Review Rot-Weiß Essen vs FC Viktoria Köln with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from 3. Liga.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
3. Liga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights