Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Rot-Weiß Essen vs SSV Ulm 1846

Rot-Weiß Essen vs SSV Ulm 1846 prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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3. Liga 2025-12-20 13:00
Rot-Weiß Essen
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
62%
Confidence
Medium
Score
2-1
SSV Ulm 1846
Away

Prediction Summary

1
58%
X
21%
2
21%
Over 2.5
62%
BTTS Yes
60%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Rot-Weiß Essen (Home)

Goals scored / match2.05
Goals conceded / match1.16
Over 2.5 rate37%
BTTS rate74%

SSV Ulm 1846 (Away)

Goals scored / match1.32
Goals conceded / match2.16
Over 2.5 rate11%
BTTS rate84%

Team Form last 5 matches

Rot-Weiß Essen
WWLLL
SSV Ulm 1846
LDLLW

Goals Comparison rate per team

100% +0.5 95%
53% +1.5 26%
37% +2.5 11%
16% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
74% BTTS 84%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 62%. Model confidence is Medium.

Rot-Weiß Essen averages 2.05 goals scored at home, while SSV Ulm 1846 averages 1.32 goals scored away.

Model Strength
62%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
58%
Draw
21%
Away Win
21%
Over 2.5
62%
BTTS Yes
60%

Head-to-Head last 2

May 2026 Rot-Weiß Essen(A) 3 - 2 SSV Ulm 1846 Home
Dec 2025 Rot-Weiß Essen 3 - 2 SSV Ulm 1846 Home

In the last 2 meetings, Rot-Weiß Essen won 2, drew 0 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Rot-Weiß Essen — unbeaten run (home)1
Rot-Weiß Essen — scoring streak (home)19
SSV Ulm 1846 — winless run (away)8
SSV Ulm 1846 — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Rot-Weiß Essen Win (1)58%
Draw (X)21%
SSV Ulm 1846 Win (2)21%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

100% +0.5 95%
53% +1.5 26%
37% +2.5 11%
16% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

0% -0.5 5%
47% -1.5 74%
63% -2.5 89%
84% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Rot-Weiß Essen vs SSV Ulm 1846 — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Rot-Weiß Essen — scored (home)2.05
Rot-Weiß Essen — conceded (home)1.16
SSV Ulm 1846 — scored (away)1.32
SSV Ulm 1846 — conceded (away)2.16
Model expected combined goals3.22

Both Teams To Score

Yes60%
No40%

Rate per Team

Rot-Weiß Essen — BTTS matches (home)74%
SSV Ulm 1846 — BTTS matches (away)84%
Combined (simple average)79%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.577%
Under 4.523%
Over 5.577%
Under 5.523%
Over 6.577%
Under 6.523%
Over 7.571%
Under 7.529%
Over 8.567%
Under 8.533%
Over 9.557%
Under 9.543%
Over 10.544%
Under 10.556%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.60

Per-Team Corners own matches

Rot-Weiß Essen (home)

Corners for6.0
Corners against7.0

SSV Ulm 1846 (away)

Corners for6.7
Corners against5.2

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Rot-Weiß Essen
0 17 0 0 0
SSV Ulm 1846
10 10 0 0 0

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.594%
Under 1.56%
Over 2.591%
Under 2.59%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.4

Yellow Cards per Team

Rot-Weiß Essen (home)

For2.0

SSV Ulm 1846 (away)

For2.6

Shots per Game

Rot-Weiß Essen — total shots (home)15.8
SSV Ulm 1846 — total shots (away)13.4

Shots on Target

Rot-Weiß Essen — on target (home)6.2
SSV Ulm 1846 — on target (away)3.9

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Rot-Weiß Essen

Inside the box8.71
Outside the box6.58

SSV Ulm 1846

Inside the box7.12
Outside the box5.44

Player Shots Rot-Weiß Essen

A. Arslan
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target75%
+1.5 On Target50%
M. Janssen
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target57%
+1.5 On Target19%
K. Mizuta
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target19%
D. Abiama
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target36%
L. Brumme
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target9%

Player Shots SSV Ulm 1846

L. Dajaku
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target64%
+1.5 On Target18%
E. Löder
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target0%
L. Röser
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target11%
E. Loder
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target55%
+1.5 On Target0%
M. Brandt
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target48%
+1.5 On Target5%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Rot-Weiß Essen xG (home)1.75
SSV Ulm 1846 xG (away)1.5

Average Possession

50.58% Possession 51.64%

Team Comparison Rot-Weiß Essen vs SSV Ulm 1846

80.08% Pass accuracy 79.76%
384.71 Passes per match 424.56
0 Goals prevented 0
11.21 Fouls committed 13.04
2.96 Goalkeeper saves 2.92
1.33 Offsides 2.48
2.77 Tackles per match 2.96

League average xG this season is 1.6 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Rot-Weiß Essen vs SSV Ulm 1846 prediction analysis

Review Rot-Weiß Essen vs SSV Ulm 1846 with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from 3. Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance 3. Liga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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