What markets are included in the Saint Etienne vs Toulouse prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Saint Etienne vs Toulouse prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Saint Etienne vs Toulouse

Saint Etienne vs Toulouse prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Ligue 1 2025-05-17 19:00

Saint Etienne

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

55%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-1

Toulouse

Away

Prediction Summary

31%

25%

45%

Over 2.5

55%

BTTS Yes

58%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Saint Etienne (Home)

Goals scored / match1.41

Goals conceded / match1.94

Over 2.5 rate24%

BTTS rate59%

Toulouse (Away)

Goals scored / match1.41

Goals conceded / match1.24

Over 2.5 rate24%

BTTS rate41%

Team Form last 5 matches

Saint Etienne

LWLLW

Toulouse

WDWDL

Goals Comparison rate per team

76% +0.5 65%

41% +1.5 41%

24% +2.5 24%

0% +3.5 12%

0% +4.5 0%

59% BTTS 41%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 55%. Model confidence is Medium.

Saint Etienne averages 1.41 goals scored at home, while Toulouse averages 1.41 goals scored away.

Model Strength

58%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

31%

Draw

25%

Away Win

45%

Over 2.5

55%

BTTS Yes

58%

Head-to-Head last 3

May 2025 Saint Etienne 2 - 3 Toulouse Away

Dec 2024 Saint Etienne(A) 1 - 2 Toulouse Away

Sep 2019 Saint Etienne 2 - 2 Toulouse Draw

In the last 3 meetings, Saint Etienne won 0, drew 1 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Saint Etienne — unbeaten run (home)0

Saint Etienne — scoring streak (home)7

Toulouse — winless run (away)0

Toulouse — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Saint Etienne Win (1)31%

Draw (X)25%

Toulouse Win (2)45%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

76% +0.5 65%

41% +1.5 41%

24% +2.5 24%

0% +3.5 12%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

24% -0.5 35%

59% -1.5 59%

76% -2.5 76%

100% -3.5 88%

100% -4.5 100%

Saint Etienne vs Toulouse — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Saint Etienne — scored (home)1.41

Saint Etienne — conceded (home)1.94

Toulouse — scored (away)1.41

Toulouse — conceded (away)1.24

Model expected combined goals2.88

Both Teams To Score

Yes58%

No42%

Rate per Team

Saint Etienne — BTTS matches (home)59%

Toulouse — BTTS matches (away)41%

Combined (simple average)50%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.597%

Under 4.53%

Over 5.591%

Under 5.59%

Over 6.582%

Under 6.518%

Over 7.571%

Under 7.529%

Over 8.553%

Under 8.547%

Over 9.535%

Under 9.565%

Over 10.533%

Under 10.567%

Expected total corners (blended average)9.50

Per-Team Corners own matches

Saint Etienne (home)

Corners for4.2

Corners against6.1

Toulouse (away)

Corners for4.4

Corners against4.3

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Saint Etienne

14 13 11 9 13

Toulouse

9 8 11 3 13

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.597%

Under 0.53%

Over 1.591%

Under 1.59%

Over 2.571%

Under 2.529%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.8

Yellow Cards per Team

Saint Etienne (home)

For2.1

Toulouse (away)

For1.8

Shots per Game

Saint Etienne — total shots (home)12.8

Toulouse — total shots (away)11.4

Shots on Target

Saint Etienne — on target (home)3.8

Toulouse — on target (away)4.5

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Saint Etienne

Inside the box6.32

Outside the box4.56

Toulouse

Inside the box8.88

Outside the box2.97

Player Shots Saint Etienne

M. Cafaro

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target20%

I. Cardona

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target40%

+1.5 On Target20%

Z. Davitashvili

Shots on Target/Game1.8

+0.5 On Target45%

+1.5 On Target27%

L. Stassin

Shots on Target/Game1.6

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target18%

P. Ekwah

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target14%

+1.5 On Target3%

Player Shots Toulouse

W. Kamanzi

Shots on Target/Game3

+0.5 On Target4%

+1.5 On Target4%

G. Suazo

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target7%

+1.5 On Target7%

Z. Aboukhlal

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target73%

+1.5 On Target23%

N. Edjouma

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target20%

+1.5 On Target10%

Y. Gboho

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target58%

+1.5 On Target19%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Saint Etienne xG (home)1.1

Toulouse xG (away)1.46

Average Possession

47.35% Possession 44.74%

Team Comparison Saint Etienne vs Toulouse

81.56% Pass accuracy 80.18%

443.91 Passes per match 396.94

-0.12 Goals prevented -0.09

13.21 Fouls committed 12.97

3.97 Goalkeeper saves 2

1.59 Offsides 1.77

17.65 Tackles per match 17.82

League average xG this season is 1.51 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Saint Etienne vs Toulouse prediction analysis

Review Saint Etienne vs Toulouse with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Ligue 1.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Ligue 1

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights