Prediction Analysis: Sakaryaspor vs Bandırmaspor
Sakaryaspor vs Bandırmaspor prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
1. Lig
2026-01-10
16:00
Sakaryaspor
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
50%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-1
Bandırmaspor
Away
Prediction Summary
1
41%
X
26%
2
33%
O/U 2.5 · No edge
50%
BTTS Yes
54%
Confidence
Low
Market Evidence
Sakaryaspor (Home)
Goals scored / match1.28
Goals conceded / match1.56
Over 2.5 rate17%
BTTS rate50%
Bandırmaspor (Away)
Goals scored / match1.05
Goals conceded / match1.11
Over 2.5 rate11%
BTTS rate53%
Team Form last 5 matches
Sakaryaspor
LLDLL
Bandırmaspor
WDWDD
Goals Comparison rate per team
67%
+0.5
68%
39%
+1.5
26%
17%
+2.5
11%
6%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
50%
BTTS
53%
Model Insight
The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 50%. Model confidence is Low.
Sakaryaspor averages 1.28 goals scored at home, while Bandırmaspor averages 1.05 goals scored away.
Model Strength
54%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
41%
Draw
26%
Away Win
33%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS Yes
54%
Head-to-Head last 5
Jan 2026
Sakaryaspor
1 - 1
Bandırmaspor
Draw
Aug 2025
Sakaryaspor(A)
1 - 1
Bandırmaspor
Draw
Mar 2025
Sakaryaspor
2 - 2
Bandırmaspor
Draw
Oct 2024
Sakaryaspor(A)
2 - 3
Bandırmaspor
Away
Feb 2024
Sakaryaspor
1 - 0
Bandırmaspor
Home
In the last 5 meetings, Sakaryaspor won 1, drew 3 and lost 1.
Current Streaks
Sakaryaspor — unbeaten run (home)0
Sakaryaspor — scoring streak (home)0
Bandırmaspor — winless run (away)2
Bandırmaspor — clean sheets (away, last 5)3 of 5
1X2 Probability model
Sakaryaspor Win (1)41%
Draw (X)26%
Bandırmaspor Win (2)33%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
67%
+0.5
68%
39%
+1.5
26%
17%
+2.5
11%
6%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
33%
-0.5
32%
61%
-1.5
74%
83%
-2.5
89%
94%
-3.5
100%
100%
-4.5
100%
Sakaryaspor vs Bandırmaspor — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
Sakaryaspor — scored (home)1.28
Sakaryaspor — conceded (home)1.56
Bandırmaspor — scored (away)1.05
Bandırmaspor — conceded (away)1.11
Model expected combined goals2.68
Both Teams To Score
Yes54%
No46%
Rate per Team
Sakaryaspor — BTTS matches (home)50%
Bandırmaspor — BTTS matches (away)53%
Combined (simple average)51.5%
Corners Line match total, blended estimate
Over 4.586%
Under 4.514%
Over 5.584%
Under 5.516%
Over 6.579%
Under 6.521%
Over 7.573%
Under 7.527%
Over 8.556%
Under 8.544%
Over 9.538%
Under 9.562%
Over 10.524%
Under 10.576%
Expected total corners (blended average)8.90
Per-Team Corners own matches
Sakaryaspor (home)
Corners for4.1
Corners against3.8
Bandırmaspor (away)
Corners for3.9
Corners against5.9
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
Sakaryaspor
8
8
4
7
12
Bandırmaspor
5
9
12
9
13
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.598%
Under 1.52%
Over 2.587%
Under 2.513%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.9
Yellow Cards per Team
Sakaryaspor (home)
For2.9
Bandırmaspor (away)
For1.8
Shots per Game
Sakaryaspor — total shots (home)11.7
Bandırmaspor — total shots (away)9.5
Shots on Target
Sakaryaspor — on target (home)4.4
Bandırmaspor — on target (away)3.2
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
Sakaryaspor
Inside the box7.03
Outside the box3.7
Bandırmaspor
Inside the box6.34
Outside the box4.18
Player Shots Sakaryaspor
Haydar Karataş
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target14%
+1.5 On Target14%
W. Ben Yedder
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target31%
+1.5 On Target15%
G. Kakuta
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target21%
Ł. Zwoliński
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target13%
M. Demir
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target17%
+1.5 On Target8%
Player Shots Bandırmaspor
D. Ndongala
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target30%
+1.5 On Target11%
L. Bacuna
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target16%
Douglas Tanque
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target68%
+1.5 On Target25%
K. Alıcı
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target16%
+1.5 On Target5%
A. Badji
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target19%
+1.5 On Target6%
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
Sakaryaspor xG (home)1.04
Bandırmaspor xG (away)1.18
Average Possession
46.95%
Possession
45.21%
Team Comparison Sakaryaspor vs Bandırmaspor
77.95%
Pass accuracy
77.71%
366.19
Passes per match
344.95
0
Goals prevented
0
12.35
Fouls committed
11.26
3.97
Goalkeeper saves
3.05
1.95
Offsides
1.92
13.54
Tackles per match
13.87
League average xG this season is 1.42 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
Sakaryaspor vs Bandırmaspor prediction analysis
Review Sakaryaspor vs Bandırmaspor with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from 1. Lig.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
1. Lig
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights