Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Sakaryaspor vs Boluspor

Sakaryaspor vs Boluspor prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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1. Lig 2025-08-30 16:00
Sakaryaspor
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
59%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Boluspor
Away

Prediction Summary

1
42%
X
24%
2
34%
Over 2.5
59%
BTTS Yes
61%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Sakaryaspor (Home)

Goals scored / match1.28
Goals conceded / match1.56
Over 2.5 rate17%
BTTS rate50%

Boluspor (Away)

Goals scored / match1.32
Goals conceded / match1.95
Over 2.5 rate16%
BTTS rate58%

Team Form last 5 matches

Sakaryaspor
LLDLL
Boluspor
WLWLL

Goals Comparison rate per team

67% +0.5 63%
39% +1.5 26%
17% +2.5 16%
6% +3.5 16%
0% +4.5 5%
50% BTTS 58%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 59%. Model confidence is Medium.

Sakaryaspor averages 1.28 goals scored at home, while Boluspor averages 1.32 goals scored away.

Model Strength
61%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
42%
Draw
24%
Away Win
34%
Over 2.5
59%
BTTS Yes
61%

Head-to-Head last 5

Feb 2026 Sakaryaspor(A) 0 - 2 Boluspor Away
Aug 2025 Sakaryaspor 1 - 4 Boluspor Away
Apr 2025 Sakaryaspor(A) 1 - 3 Boluspor Away
Dec 2024 Sakaryaspor 2 - 1 Boluspor Home
Apr 2024 Sakaryaspor 2 - 0 Boluspor Home

In the last 5 meetings, Sakaryaspor won 2, drew 0 and lost 3.

Current Streaks

Sakaryaspor — unbeaten run (home)0
Sakaryaspor — scoring streak (home)0
Boluspor — winless run (away)8
Boluspor — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Sakaryaspor Win (1)42%
Draw (X)24%
Boluspor Win (2)34%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

67% +0.5 63%
39% +1.5 26%
17% +2.5 16%
6% +3.5 16%
0% +4.5 5%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

33% -0.5 37%
61% -1.5 74%
83% -2.5 84%
94% -3.5 84%
100% -4.5 95%

Sakaryaspor vs Boluspor — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Sakaryaspor — scored (home)1.28
Sakaryaspor — conceded (home)1.56
Boluspor — scored (away)1.32
Boluspor — conceded (away)1.95
Model expected combined goals3.05

Both Teams To Score

Yes61%
No39%

Rate per Team

Sakaryaspor — BTTS matches (home)50%
Boluspor — BTTS matches (away)58%
Combined (simple average)54%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.586%
Under 4.514%
Over 5.581%
Under 5.519%
Over 6.576%
Under 6.524%
Over 7.565%
Under 7.535%
Over 8.546%
Under 8.554%
Over 9.535%
Under 9.565%
Over 10.524%
Under 10.576%
Expected total corners (blended average)8.30

Per-Team Corners own matches

Sakaryaspor (home)

Corners for4.1
Corners against3.8

Boluspor (away)

Corners for3.9
Corners against4.7

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Sakaryaspor
8 8 4 7 12
Boluspor
2 8 7 11 9

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.595%
Under 0.55%
Over 1.595%
Under 1.55%
Over 2.589%
Under 2.511%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.2

Yellow Cards per Team

Sakaryaspor (home)

For2.9

Boluspor (away)

For2.8

Shots per Game

Sakaryaspor — total shots (home)11.7
Boluspor — total shots (away)11.8

Shots on Target

Sakaryaspor — on target (home)4.4
Boluspor — on target (away)4.3

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Sakaryaspor

Inside the box7.03
Outside the box3.7

Boluspor

Inside the box8.03
Outside the box4.68

Player Shots Sakaryaspor

Haydar Karataş
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target14%
+1.5 On Target14%
W. Ben Yedder
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target31%
+1.5 On Target15%
G. Kakuta
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target21%
Ł. Zwoliński
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target13%
M. Demir
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target17%
+1.5 On Target8%

Player Shots Boluspor

F. Hasani
Shots on Target/Game2.6
+0.5 On Target71%
+1.5 On Target50%
D. Davas
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target65%
+1.5 On Target29%
A. Usluoğlu
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target17%
R. Akanbi
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target26%
+1.5 On Target7%
B. Alici
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target17%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Sakaryaspor xG (home)1.04
Boluspor xG (away)1.44

Average Possession

46.95% Possession 57.05%

Team Comparison Sakaryaspor vs Boluspor

77.95% Pass accuracy 81.63%
366.19 Passes per match 411.37
0 Goals prevented 0
12.35 Fouls committed 11.97
3.97 Goalkeeper saves 2.54
1.95 Offsides 2.63
13.54 Tackles per match 12.39

League average xG this season is 1.42 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Sakaryaspor vs Boluspor prediction analysis

Review Sakaryaspor vs Boluspor with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from 1. Lig.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance 1. Lig
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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