What markets are included in the Sakaryaspor vs Hatayspor prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Sakaryaspor vs Hatayspor prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Sakaryaspor vs Hatayspor

Sakaryaspor vs Hatayspor prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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1. Lig 2025-12-15 17:00

Sakaryaspor

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

72%

Confidence

High

Score

2-1

Hatayspor

Away

Prediction Summary

53%

20%

27%

Over 2.5

72%

BTTS Yes

70%

Confidence

High

Market Evidence

Sakaryaspor (Home)

Goals scored / match1.28

Goals conceded / match1.56

Over 2.5 rate17%

BTTS rate50%

Hatayspor (Away)

Goals scored / match0.79

Goals conceded / match3.16

Over 2.5 rate5%

BTTS rate58%

Team Form last 5 matches

Sakaryaspor

LLDLL

Hatayspor

WLDLW

Goals Comparison rate per team

67% +0.5 58%

39% +1.5 16%

17% +2.5 5%

6% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

50% BTTS 58%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 72%. Model confidence is High.

Sakaryaspor averages 1.28 goals scored at home, while Hatayspor averages 0.79 goals scored away.

Model Strength

72%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

53%

Draw

20%

Away Win

27%

Over 2.5

72%

BTTS Yes

70%

Head-to-Head last 3

Apr 2026 Sakaryaspor(A) 1 - 1 Hatayspor Draw

Dec 2025 Sakaryaspor 3 - 0 Hatayspor Home

Jan 2024 Sakaryaspor(A) 1 - 5 Hatayspor Away

In the last 3 meetings, Sakaryaspor won 1, drew 1 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Sakaryaspor — unbeaten run (home)0

Sakaryaspor — scoring streak (home)0

Hatayspor — winless run (away)19

Hatayspor — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Sakaryaspor Win (1)53%

Draw (X)20%

Hatayspor Win (2)27%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

67% +0.5 58%

39% +1.5 16%

17% +2.5 5%

6% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

33% -0.5 42%

61% -1.5 84%

83% -2.5 95%

94% -3.5 100%

100% -4.5 100%

Sakaryaspor vs Hatayspor — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Sakaryaspor — scored (home)1.28

Sakaryaspor — conceded (home)1.56

Hatayspor — scored (away)0.79

Hatayspor — conceded (away)3.16

Model expected combined goals3.75

Both Teams To Score

Yes70%

No30%

Rate per Team

Sakaryaspor — BTTS matches (home)50%

Hatayspor — BTTS matches (away)58%

Combined (simple average)54%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.584%

Under 4.516%

Over 5.581%

Under 5.519%

Over 6.581%

Under 6.519%

Over 7.563%

Under 7.537%

Over 8.546%

Under 8.554%

Over 9.527%

Under 9.573%

Over 10.516%

Under 10.584%

Expected total corners (blended average)8.20

Per-Team Corners own matches

Sakaryaspor (home)

Corners for4.1

Corners against3.8

Hatayspor (away)

Corners for2.7

Corners against5.7

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Sakaryaspor

8 8 4 7 12

Hatayspor

4 7 4 9 7

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.595%

Under 1.55%

Over 2.589%

Under 2.511%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.5

Yellow Cards per Team

Sakaryaspor (home)

For2.9

Hatayspor (away)

For3.3

Shots per Game

Sakaryaspor — total shots (home)11.7

Hatayspor — total shots (away)6.9

Shots on Target

Sakaryaspor — on target (home)4.4

Hatayspor — on target (away)2.6

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Sakaryaspor

Inside the box7.03

Outside the box3.7

Hatayspor

Inside the box4.34

Outside the box3.21

Player Shots Sakaryaspor

Haydar Karataş

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target14%

+1.5 On Target14%

W. Ben Yedder

Shots on Target/Game1.8

+0.5 On Target31%

+1.5 On Target15%

G. Kakuta

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target42%

+1.5 On Target21%

Ł. Zwoliński

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target13%

M. Demir

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target17%

+1.5 On Target8%

Player Shots Hatayspor

J. Okoronkwo

Shots on Target/Game2.3

+0.5 On Target43%

+1.5 On Target43%

Ü. Durmuşhan

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target24%

+1.5 On Target9%

F. Bamgboye

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target22%

+1.5 On Target11%

R. Chaadaev

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target22%

+1.5 On Target11%

Deniz Aksoy

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target12%

+1.5 On Target4%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Sakaryaspor xG (home)1.04

Hatayspor xG (away)0.88

Average Possession

46.95% Possession 45.97%

Team Comparison Sakaryaspor vs Hatayspor

77.95% Pass accuracy 77.74%

366.19 Passes per match 352.79

0 Goals prevented 0

12.35 Fouls committed 12.61

3.97 Goalkeeper saves 4.05

1.95 Offsides 2.03

13.54 Tackles per match 14.41

League average xG this season is 1.42 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Sakaryaspor vs Hatayspor prediction analysis

Review Sakaryaspor vs Hatayspor with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from 1. Lig.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance 1. Lig

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights