Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Sakaryaspor vs Iğdır FK

Sakaryaspor vs Iğdır FK prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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1. Lig 2025-08-17 18:30
Sakaryaspor
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
55%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Iğdır FK
Away

Prediction Summary

1
36%
X
25%
2
39%
Over 2.5
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Sakaryaspor (Home)

Goals scored / match1.28
Goals conceded / match1.56
Over 2.5 rate17%
BTTS rate50%

Iğdır FK (Away)

Goals scored / match1.37
Goals conceded / match1.53
Over 2.5 rate16%
BTTS rate58%

Team Form last 5 matches

Sakaryaspor
LLDLL
Iğdır FK
DLDWL

Goals Comparison rate per team

67% +0.5 68%
39% +1.5 37%
17% +2.5 16%
6% +3.5 5%
0% +4.5 5%
50% BTTS 58%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 55%. Model confidence is Medium.

Sakaryaspor averages 1.28 goals scored at home, while Iğdır FK averages 1.37 goals scored away.

Model Strength
58%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
36%
Draw
25%
Away Win
39%
Over 2.5
55%
BTTS Yes
58%

Head-to-Head last 4

Jan 2026 Sakaryaspor(A) 0 - 1 Iğdır FK Away
Aug 2025 Sakaryaspor 3 - 2 Iğdır FK Home
Apr 2025 Sakaryaspor(A) 0 - 4 Iğdır FK Away
Dec 2024 Sakaryaspor 2 - 1 Iğdır FK Home

In the last 4 meetings, Sakaryaspor won 2, drew 0 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Sakaryaspor — unbeaten run (home)0
Sakaryaspor — scoring streak (home)0
Iğdır FK — winless run (away)1
Iğdır FK — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Sakaryaspor Win (1)36%
Draw (X)25%
Iğdır FK Win (2)39%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

67% +0.5 68%
39% +1.5 37%
17% +2.5 16%
6% +3.5 5%
0% +4.5 5%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

33% -0.5 32%
61% -1.5 63%
83% -2.5 84%
94% -3.5 95%
100% -4.5 95%

Sakaryaspor vs Iğdır FK — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Sakaryaspor — scored (home)1.28
Sakaryaspor — conceded (home)1.56
Iğdır FK — scored (away)1.37
Iğdır FK — conceded (away)1.53
Model expected combined goals2.86

Both Teams To Score

Yes58%
No42%

Rate per Team

Sakaryaspor — BTTS matches (home)50%
Iğdır FK — BTTS matches (away)58%
Combined (simple average)54%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.589%
Under 4.511%
Over 5.581%
Under 5.519%
Over 6.571%
Under 6.529%
Over 7.557%
Under 7.543%
Over 8.538%
Under 8.562%
Over 9.527%
Under 9.573%
Over 10.514%
Under 10.586%
Expected total corners (blended average)7.90

Per-Team Corners own matches

Sakaryaspor (home)

Corners for4.1
Corners against3.8

Iğdır FK (away)

Corners for4.7
Corners against3.2

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Sakaryaspor
8 8 4 7 12
Iğdır FK
5 5 11 9 7

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.598%
Under 0.52%
Over 1.595%
Under 1.55%
Over 2.581%
Under 2.519%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5

Yellow Cards per Team

Sakaryaspor (home)

For2.9

Iğdır FK (away)

For2.2

Shots per Game

Sakaryaspor — total shots (home)11.7
Iğdır FK — total shots (away)10.1

Shots on Target

Sakaryaspor — on target (home)4.4
Iğdır FK — on target (away)3.9

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Sakaryaspor

Inside the box7.03
Outside the box3.7

Iğdır FK

Inside the box7.47
Outside the box3.89

Player Shots Sakaryaspor

Haydar Karataş
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target14%
+1.5 On Target14%
W. Ben Yedder
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target31%
+1.5 On Target15%
G. Kakuta
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target21%
Ł. Zwoliński
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target13%
M. Demir
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target17%
+1.5 On Target8%

Player Shots Iğdır FK

Ryan Mendes
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target31%
+1.5 On Target17%
G. Bruno
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target66%
+1.5 On Target28%
F. Loshaj
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target31%
+1.5 On Target15%
F. Koita
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target41%
+1.5 On Target7%
M. Fofana
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target15%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Sakaryaspor xG (home)1.04
Iğdır FK xG (away)1.75

Average Possession

46.95% Possession 56.45%

Team Comparison Sakaryaspor vs Iğdır FK

77.95% Pass accuracy 81.32%
366.19 Passes per match 435.74
0 Goals prevented 0
12.35 Fouls committed 12
3.97 Goalkeeper saves 2.73
1.95 Offsides 3.16
13.54 Tackles per match 13.63

League average xG this season is 1.42 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Sakaryaspor vs Iğdır FK prediction analysis

Review Sakaryaspor vs Iğdır FK with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from 1. Lig.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance 1. Lig
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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