Prediction Analysis: Sakaryaspor vs Keçiörengücü
Sakaryaspor vs Keçiörengücü prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
1. Lig
2025-10-25
16:00
Sakaryaspor
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
73%
Confidence
High
Score
1-1
Keçiörengücü
Away
Prediction Summary
1
40%
X
21%
2
39%
Over 2.5
73%
BTTS Yes
72%
Confidence
High
Market Evidence
Sakaryaspor (Home)
Goals scored / match1.28
Goals conceded / match1.56
Over 2.5 rate17%
BTTS rate50%
Keçiörengücü (Away)
Goals scored / match1.65
Goals conceded / match1.45
Over 2.5 rate25%
BTTS rate65%
Team Form last 5 matches
Sakaryaspor
LLDLL
Keçiörengücü
LWWLD
Goals Comparison rate per team
67%
+0.5
80%
39%
+1.5
35%
17%
+2.5
25%
6%
+3.5
10%
0%
+4.5
5%
50%
BTTS
65%
Model Insight
The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 73%. Model confidence is High.
Sakaryaspor averages 1.28 goals scored at home, while Keçiörengücü averages 1.65 goals scored away.
Model Strength
73%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
40%
Draw
21%
Away Win
39%
Over 2.5
73%
BTTS Yes
72%
Head-to-Head last 5
Mar 2026
Sakaryaspor(A)
1 - 1
Keçiörengücü
Draw
Oct 2025
Sakaryaspor
1 - 0
Keçiörengücü
Home
Jan 2025
Sakaryaspor(A)
3 - 2
Keçiörengücü
Home
Aug 2024
Sakaryaspor
1 - 1
Keçiörengücü
Draw
Apr 2024
Sakaryaspor
2 - 1
Keçiörengücü
Home
In the last 5 meetings, Sakaryaspor won 3, drew 2 and lost 0.
Current Streaks
Sakaryaspor — unbeaten run (home)0
Sakaryaspor — scoring streak (home)0
Keçiörengücü — winless run (away)1
Keçiörengücü — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5
1X2 Probability model
Sakaryaspor Win (1)40%
Draw (X)21%
Keçiörengücü Win (2)39%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
67%
+0.5
80%
39%
+1.5
35%
17%
+2.5
25%
6%
+3.5
10%
0%
+4.5
5%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
33%
-0.5
20%
61%
-1.5
65%
83%
-2.5
75%
94%
-3.5
90%
100%
-4.5
95%
Sakaryaspor vs Keçiörengücü — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
Sakaryaspor — scored (home)1.28
Sakaryaspor — conceded (home)1.56
Keçiörengücü — scored (away)1.65
Keçiörengücü — conceded (away)1.45
Model expected combined goals3.77
Both Teams To Score
Yes72%
No28%
Rate per Team
Sakaryaspor — BTTS matches (home)50%
Keçiörengücü — BTTS matches (away)65%
Combined (simple average)57.5%
Corners Line match total, blended estimate
Over 4.589%
Under 4.511%
Over 5.579%
Under 5.521%
Over 6.572%
Under 6.528%
Over 7.556%
Under 7.544%
Over 8.537%
Under 8.563%
Over 9.529%
Under 9.571%
Over 10.513%
Under 10.587%
Expected total corners (blended average)7.80
Per-Team Corners own matches
Sakaryaspor (home)
Corners for4.1
Corners against3.8
Keçiörengücü (away)
Corners for3.8
Corners against3.9
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
Sakaryaspor
8
8
4
7
12
Keçiörengücü
12
10
13
8
10
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.598%
Under 0.52%
Over 1.598%
Under 1.52%
Over 2.585%
Under 2.515%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.1
Yellow Cards per Team
Sakaryaspor (home)
For2.9
Keçiörengücü (away)
For2.4
Shots per Game
Sakaryaspor — total shots (home)11.7
Keçiörengücü — total shots (away)11.7
Shots on Target
Sakaryaspor — on target (home)4.4
Keçiörengücü — on target (away)4.4
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
Sakaryaspor
Inside the box7.03
Outside the box3.7
Keçiörengücü
Inside the box8.62
Outside the box4.67
Player Shots Sakaryaspor
Haydar Karataş
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target14%
+1.5 On Target14%
W. Ben Yedder
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target31%
+1.5 On Target15%
G. Kakuta
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target21%
Ł. Zwoliński
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target13%
M. Demir
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target17%
+1.5 On Target8%
Player Shots Keçiörengücü
E. Rroca
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target14%
+1.5 On Target10%
M. Diouf
Shots on Target/Game1.9
+0.5 On Target66%
+1.5 On Target28%
J. Fernándes
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target20%
J. Fernandes
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target57%
+1.5 On Target29%
F. Ezeh
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target59%
+1.5 On Target24%
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
Sakaryaspor xG (home)1.04
Keçiörengücü xG (away)2.19
Average Possession
46.95%
Possession
47.69%
Team Comparison Sakaryaspor vs Keçiörengücü
77.95%
Pass accuracy
79.13%
366.19
Passes per match
348.64
0
Goals prevented
0
12.35
Fouls committed
13.28
3.97
Goalkeeper saves
2.44
1.95
Offsides
2.51
13.54
Tackles per match
15.03
League average xG this season is 1.42 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
Sakaryaspor vs Keçiörengücü prediction analysis
Review Sakaryaspor vs Keçiörengücü with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from 1. Lig.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
1. Lig
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights