Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Sakaryaspor vs Serik Spor

Sakaryaspor vs Serik Spor prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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1. Lig 2025-11-08 13:00
Sakaryaspor
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
56%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Serik Spor
Away

Prediction Summary

1
53%
X
23%
2
24%
Over 2.5
56%
BTTS Yes
56%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Sakaryaspor (Home)

Goals scored / match1.28
Goals conceded / match1.56
Over 2.5 rate17%
BTTS rate50%

Serik Spor (Away)

Goals scored / match0.84
Goals conceded / match1.84
Over 2.5 rate16%
BTTS rate32%

Team Form last 5 matches

Sakaryaspor
LLDLL
Serik Spor
LWLDL

Goals Comparison rate per team

67% +0.5 42%
39% +1.5 21%
17% +2.5 16%
6% +3.5 5%
0% +4.5 0%
50% BTTS 32%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 56%. Model confidence is Medium.

Sakaryaspor averages 1.28 goals scored at home, while Serik Spor averages 0.84 goals scored away.

Model Strength
56%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
53%
Draw
23%
Away Win
24%
Over 2.5
56%
BTTS Yes
56%

Head-to-Head last 2

Mar 2026 Sakaryaspor(A) 0 - 2 Serik Spor Away
Nov 2025 Sakaryaspor 2 - 3 Serik Spor Away

In the last 2 meetings, Sakaryaspor won 0, drew 0 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Sakaryaspor — unbeaten run (home)0
Sakaryaspor — scoring streak (home)0
Serik Spor — winless run (away)4
Serik Spor — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Sakaryaspor Win (1)53%
Draw (X)23%
Serik Spor Win (2)24%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

67% +0.5 42%
39% +1.5 21%
17% +2.5 16%
6% +3.5 5%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

33% -0.5 58%
61% -1.5 79%
83% -2.5 84%
94% -3.5 95%
100% -4.5 100%

Sakaryaspor vs Serik Spor — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Sakaryaspor — scored (home)1.28
Sakaryaspor — conceded (home)1.56
Serik Spor — scored (away)0.84
Serik Spor — conceded (away)1.84
Model expected combined goals2.92

Both Teams To Score

Yes56%
No44%

Rate per Team

Sakaryaspor — BTTS matches (home)50%
Serik Spor — BTTS matches (away)32%
Combined (simple average)41%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.589%
Under 4.511%
Over 5.581%
Under 5.519%
Over 6.573%
Under 6.527%
Over 7.563%
Under 7.537%
Over 8.549%
Under 8.551%
Over 9.535%
Under 9.565%
Over 10.519%
Under 10.581%
Expected total corners (blended average)8.30

Per-Team Corners own matches

Sakaryaspor (home)

Corners for4.1
Corners against3.8

Serik Spor (away)

Corners for3.3
Corners against5.4

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Sakaryaspor
8 8 4 7 12
Serik Spor
12 12 6 9 9

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.598%
Under 0.52%
Over 1.592%
Under 1.58%
Over 2.579%
Under 2.521%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.7

Yellow Cards per Team

Sakaryaspor (home)

For2.9

Serik Spor (away)

For2.6

Shots per Game

Sakaryaspor — total shots (home)11.7
Serik Spor — total shots (away)9.0

Shots on Target

Sakaryaspor — on target (home)4.4
Serik Spor — on target (away)3.5

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Sakaryaspor

Inside the box7.03
Outside the box3.7

Serik Spor

Inside the box6.05
Outside the box3.92

Player Shots Sakaryaspor

Haydar Karataş
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target14%
+1.5 On Target14%
W. Ben Yedder
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target31%
+1.5 On Target15%
G. Kakuta
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target21%
Ł. Zwoliński
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target13%
M. Demir
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target17%
+1.5 On Target8%

Player Shots Serik Spor

A. Koç
Shots on Target/Game3
+0.5 On Target13%
+1.5 On Target13%
E. Çelenk
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target18%
João Amaral
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target20%
S. Dilli
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target9%
+1.5 On Target4%
J. Topalli
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target69%
+1.5 On Target23%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Sakaryaspor xG (home)1.04
Serik Spor xG (away)1.19

Average Possession

46.95% Possession 41%

Team Comparison Sakaryaspor vs Serik Spor

77.95% Pass accuracy 73.16%
366.19 Passes per match 325.89
0 Goals prevented 0
12.35 Fouls committed 13.05
3.97 Goalkeeper saves 2.63
1.95 Offsides 2
13.54 Tackles per match 16.55

League average xG this season is 1.42 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Sakaryaspor vs Serik Spor prediction analysis

Review Sakaryaspor vs Serik Spor with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from 1. Lig.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance 1. Lig
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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