Prediction Analysis: Sakaryaspor vs Ümraniyespor
Sakaryaspor vs Ümraniyespor prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
1. Lig
2025-11-29
16:00
Sakaryaspor
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
59%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Ümraniyespor
Away
Prediction Summary
1
54%
X
22%
2
23%
Over 2.5
59%
BTTS Yes
59%
Confidence
Medium
Market Evidence
Sakaryaspor (Home)
Goals scored / match1.28
Goals conceded / match1.56
Over 2.5 rate17%
BTTS rate50%
Ümraniyespor (Away)
Goals scored / match0.79
Goals conceded / match1.42
Over 2.5 rate5%
BTTS rate37%
Team Form last 5 matches
Sakaryaspor
LLDLL
Ümraniyespor
LWLDW
Goals Comparison rate per team
67%
+0.5
53%
39%
+1.5
21%
17%
+2.5
5%
6%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
50%
BTTS
37%
Model Insight
The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 59%. Model confidence is Medium.
Sakaryaspor averages 1.28 goals scored at home, while Ümraniyespor averages 0.79 goals scored away.
Model Strength
59%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
54%
Draw
22%
Away Win
23%
Over 2.5
59%
BTTS Yes
59%
Head-to-Head last 5
Apr 2026
Sakaryaspor(A)
0 - 2
Ümraniyespor
Away
Nov 2025
Sakaryaspor
1 - 1
Ümraniyespor
Draw
Feb 2025
Sakaryaspor(A)
0 - 0
Ümraniyespor
Draw
Sep 2024
Sakaryaspor
1 - 3
Ümraniyespor
Away
Jan 2024
Sakaryaspor(A)
1 - 1
Ümraniyespor
Draw
In the last 5 meetings, Sakaryaspor won 0, drew 3 and lost 2.
Current Streaks
Sakaryaspor — unbeaten run (home)0
Sakaryaspor — scoring streak (home)0
Ümraniyespor — winless run (away)0
Ümraniyespor — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5
1X2 Probability model
Sakaryaspor Win (1)54%
Draw (X)22%
Ümraniyespor Win (2)23%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
67%
+0.5
53%
39%
+1.5
21%
17%
+2.5
5%
6%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
33%
-0.5
47%
61%
-1.5
79%
83%
-2.5
95%
94%
-3.5
100%
100%
-4.5
100%
Sakaryaspor vs Ümraniyespor — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
Sakaryaspor — scored (home)1.28
Sakaryaspor — conceded (home)1.56
Ümraniyespor — scored (away)0.79
Ümraniyespor — conceded (away)1.42
Model expected combined goals3.07
Both Teams To Score
Yes59%
No41%
Rate per Team
Sakaryaspor — BTTS matches (home)50%
Ümraniyespor — BTTS matches (away)37%
Combined (simple average)43.5%
Corners Line match total, blended estimate
Over 4.592%
Under 4.58%
Over 5.587%
Under 5.513%
Over 6.581%
Under 6.519%
Over 7.571%
Under 7.529%
Over 8.546%
Under 8.554%
Over 9.533%
Under 9.567%
Over 10.524%
Under 10.576%
Expected total corners (blended average)8.70
Per-Team Corners own matches
Sakaryaspor (home)
Corners for4.1
Corners against3.8
Ümraniyespor (away)
Corners for4.1
Corners against5.3
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
Sakaryaspor
8
8
4
7
12
Ümraniyespor
8
14
7
14
8
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.595%
Under 1.55%
Over 2.584%
Under 2.516%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5
Yellow Cards per Team
Sakaryaspor (home)
For2.9
Ümraniyespor (away)
For2.1
Shots per Game
Sakaryaspor — total shots (home)11.7
Ümraniyespor — total shots (away)8.9
Shots on Target
Sakaryaspor — on target (home)4.4
Ümraniyespor — on target (away)3.2
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
Sakaryaspor
Inside the box7.03
Outside the box3.7
Ümraniyespor
Inside the box6.03
Outside the box3.97
Player Shots Sakaryaspor
Haydar Karataş
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target14%
+1.5 On Target14%
W. Ben Yedder
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target31%
+1.5 On Target15%
G. Kakuta
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target21%
Ł. Zwoliński
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target13%
M. Demir
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target17%
+1.5 On Target8%
Player Shots Ümraniyespor
B. Çelik
Shots on Target/Game1.9
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target24%
C. Soukou
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target27%
+1.5 On Target9%
J. Bardhi
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target13%
Benny
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target63%
+1.5 On Target20%
E. Kaplan
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target20%
+1.5 On Target7%
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
Sakaryaspor xG (home)1.04
Ümraniyespor xG (away)1.27
Average Possession
46.95%
Possession
47.08%
Team Comparison Sakaryaspor vs Ümraniyespor
77.95%
Pass accuracy
79.97%
366.19
Passes per match
386.84
0
Goals prevented
0
12.35
Fouls committed
10.42
3.97
Goalkeeper saves
3.08
1.95
Offsides
1.59
13.54
Tackles per match
14.54
League average xG this season is 1.42 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
Sakaryaspor vs Ümraniyespor prediction analysis
Review Sakaryaspor vs Ümraniyespor with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from 1. Lig.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
1. Lig
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights