Prediction Analysis: Sampdoria vs Juve Stabia
Sampdoria vs Juve Stabia prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
Serie B
2026-08-29
13:00
Sampdoria
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
42%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Juve Stabia
Away
Prediction Summary
1
44%
X
27%
2
29%
Under 2.5
58%
BTTS No
53%
Confidence
Medium
Market Evidence
Sampdoria (Home)
Goals scored / match1.16
Goals conceded / match1.05
Over 2.5 rate16%
BTTS rate42%
Juve Stabia (Away)
Goals scored / match1
Goals conceded / match1.52
Over 2.5 rate5%
BTTS rate62%
Team Form last 5 matches
Sampdoria
LWDLW
Juve Stabia
LDWDL
Goals Comparison rate per team
68%
+0.5
71%
26%
+1.5
24%
16%
+2.5
5%
5%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
42%
BTTS
62%
Model Insight
The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 42%. Model confidence is Medium.
Sampdoria averages 1.16 goals scored at home, while Juve Stabia averages 1 goals scored away.
Model Strength
58%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
44%
Draw
27%
Away Win
29%
Over 2.5
42%
BTTS Yes
47%
Head-to-Head last 4
Mar 2026
Sampdoria(A)
1 - 1
Juve Stabia
Draw
Nov 2025
Sampdoria
1 - 0
Juve Stabia
Home
May 2025
Sampdoria(A)
0 - 0
Juve Stabia
Draw
Oct 2024
Sampdoria
1 - 2
Juve Stabia
Away
In the last 4 meetings, Sampdoria won 1, drew 2 and lost 1.
Current Streaks
Sampdoria — unbeaten run (home)1
Sampdoria — scoring streak (home)1
Juve Stabia — winless run (away)1
Juve Stabia — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5
1X2 Probability model
Sampdoria Win (1)44%
Draw (X)27%
Juve Stabia Win (2)29%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
68%
+0.5
71%
26%
+1.5
24%
16%
+2.5
5%
5%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
32%
-0.5
29%
74%
-1.5
76%
84%
-2.5
95%
95%
-3.5
100%
100%
-4.5
100%
Sampdoria vs Juve Stabia — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
Sampdoria — scored (home)1.16
Sampdoria — conceded (home)1.05
Juve Stabia — scored (away)1
Juve Stabia — conceded (away)1.52
Model expected combined goals2.37
Both Teams To Score
Yes47%
No53%
Rate per Team
Sampdoria — BTTS matches (home)42%
Juve Stabia — BTTS matches (away)62%
Combined (simple average)52%
Corners Line model prediction
Over 8.556%
Under 8.544%
Over 9.545%
Under 9.555%
Over 10.535%
Under 10.565%
Expected total corners (model prediction)9.40
Per-Team Corners own matches
Sampdoria (home)
Corners for6.1
Corners against3.7
Juve Stabia (away)
Corners for3.4
Corners against4.7
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
Sampdoria
8
13
9
6
12
Juve Stabia
15
10
6
4
8
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.598%
Under 0.52%
Over 1.591%
Under 1.59%
Over 2.583%
Under 2.517%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.7
Yellow Cards per Team
Sampdoria (home)
For2.3
Juve Stabia (away)
For2.9
Shots Forecast model prediction
Match Total
Over 19.568%
Under 19.532%
Over 22.553%
Under 22.547%
Over 25.538%
Under 25.562%
Expected total shots23.82
Sampdoria
Shots Over 9.576%
Shots Over 11.561%
Shots Over 13.545%
Expected shots13.30
On Target Over 3.561%
On Target Over 4.543%
On Target Over 5.528%
Expected on target4.35
Juve Stabia
Shots Over 9.556%
Shots Over 11.537%
Shots Over 13.523%
Expected shots10.52
On Target Over 3.543%
On Target Over 4.526%
On Target Over 5.514%
Expected on target3.38
Shots per Game
Sampdoria — total shots (home)13.5
Juve Stabia — total shots (away)9.7
Shots on Target
Sampdoria — on target (home)4.1
Juve Stabia — on target (away)3.3
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
Sampdoria
Inside the box6.84
Outside the box5.87
Juve Stabia
Inside the box7.56
Outside the box4.2
Player Shots Sampdoria
M. Coda
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target25%
S. Pafundi
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target12%
O. Abildgaard
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target17%
+1.5 On Target7%
L. Benedetti
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target23%
+1.5 On Target8%
D. Hadžikadunić
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target11%
+1.5 On Target4%
Player Shots Juve Stabia
L. Candellone
Shots on Target/Game1.9
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target32%
A. Gabrielloni
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target24%
+1.5 On Target7%
M. Varnier
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target11%
+1.5 On Target6%
K. Piscopo
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target13%
+1.5 On Target6%
N. Mosti
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target13%
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
Sampdoria xG (home)1.04
Juve Stabia xG (away)1.16
Average Possession
50.58%
Possession
53.24%
Team Comparison Sampdoria vs Juve Stabia
78.05%
Pass accuracy
81.73%
385.55
Passes per match
441.15
0.07
Goals prevented
0.16
15.16
Fouls committed
14.71
2.24
Goalkeeper saves
2.51
2.38
Offsides
1.95
15.11
Tackles per match
13.39
League average xG this season is 1.36 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
Sampdoria vs Juve Stabia prediction analysis
Review Sampdoria vs Juve Stabia with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie B.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
Serie B
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights