Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Samsunspor vs Antalyaspor

Samsunspor vs Antalyaspor prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

Back to Predictions
Süper Lig 2025-09-13 14:00
Samsunspor
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
36%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
Antalyaspor
Away

Prediction Summary

1
48%
X
29%
2
24%
Under 2.5
64%
BTTS No
59%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Samsunspor (Home)

Goals scored / match1.29
Goals conceded / match1
Over 2.5 rate18%
BTTS rate53%

Antalyaspor (Away)

Goals scored / match0.65
Goals conceded / match1.29
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate29%

Team Form last 5 matches

Samsunspor
WLWWW
Antalyaspor
WLDLL

Goals Comparison rate per team

65% +0.5 41%
41% +1.5 24%
18% +2.5 0%
6% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
53% BTTS 29%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 36%. Model confidence is Medium.

Samsunspor averages 1.29 goals scored at home, while Antalyaspor averages 0.65 goals scored away.

Model Strength
64%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
48%
Draw
29%
Away Win
24%
Over 2.5
36%
BTTS Yes
41%

Head-to-Head last 5

Mar 2026 Samsunspor(A) 2 - 0 Antalyaspor Home
Feb 2026 Samsunspor(A) 1 - 3 Antalyaspor Away
Sep 2025 Samsunspor 1 - 2 Antalyaspor Away
Apr 2025 Samsunspor(A) 1 - 2 Antalyaspor Away
Nov 2024 Samsunspor 2 - 0 Antalyaspor Home

In the last 5 meetings, Samsunspor won 2, drew 0 and lost 3.

Current Streaks

Samsunspor — unbeaten run (home)6
Samsunspor — scoring streak (home)5
Antalyaspor — winless run (away)11
Antalyaspor — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Samsunspor Win (1)48%
Draw (X)29%
Antalyaspor Win (2)24%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

65% +0.5 41%
41% +1.5 24%
18% +2.5 0%
6% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

35% -0.5 59%
59% -1.5 76%
82% -2.5 100%
94% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Samsunspor vs Antalyaspor — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Samsunspor — scored (home)1.29
Samsunspor — conceded (home)1
Antalyaspor — scored (away)0.65
Antalyaspor — conceded (away)1.29
Model expected combined goals2.12

Both Teams To Score

Yes41%
No59%

Rate per Team

Samsunspor — BTTS matches (home)53%
Antalyaspor — BTTS matches (away)29%
Combined (simple average)41%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.591%
Under 4.59%
Over 5.585%
Under 5.515%
Over 6.582%
Under 6.518%
Over 7.574%
Under 7.526%
Over 8.559%
Under 8.541%
Over 9.547%
Under 9.553%
Over 10.535%
Under 10.565%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.30

Per-Team Corners own matches

Samsunspor (home)

Corners for5.8
Corners against3.4

Antalyaspor (away)

Corners for3.2
Corners against6.2

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Samsunspor
8 17 9 7 4
Antalyaspor
11 7 11 7 6

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.597%
Under 0.53%
Over 1.591%
Under 1.59%
Over 2.579%
Under 2.521%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.4

Yellow Cards per Team

Samsunspor (home)

For2.0

Antalyaspor (away)

For2.5

Shots per Game

Samsunspor — total shots (home)14.2
Antalyaspor — total shots (away)8.1

Shots on Target

Samsunspor — on target (home)4.6
Antalyaspor — on target (away)2.8

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Samsunspor

Inside the box8.21
Outside the box4.74

Antalyaspor

Inside the box6.26
Outside the box3.44

Player Shots Samsunspor

M. Mouandilmadji
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target25%
C. Holse
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target26%
A. Musaba
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target13%
E. Tavşan
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target20%
Marius
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target35%
+1.5 On Target19%

Player Shots Antalyaspor

G. Vural
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target50%
N. Storm
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target57%
+1.5 On Target14%
T. Čvančara
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target18%
S. Ballet
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target13%
S. van de Streek
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target35%
+1.5 On Target6%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Samsunspor xG (home)1.29
Antalyaspor xG (away)0.82

Average Possession

54.29% Possession 44.97%

Team Comparison Samsunspor vs Antalyaspor

82.71% Pass accuracy 77.29%
436.06 Passes per match 335.79
-0.18 Goals prevented -0.07
14.91 Fouls committed 12.68
2.36 Goalkeeper saves 3.44
2 Offsides 1.97
15.85 Tackles per match 16.35

League average xG this season is 1.3 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Samsunspor vs Antalyaspor prediction analysis

Review Samsunspor vs Antalyaspor with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Süper Lig.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Süper Lig
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
Scroll to Top