Prediction Analysis: Samsunspor vs Göztepe
Samsunspor vs Göztepe prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
Süper Lig
2026-08-16
17:00
Samsunspor
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
BTTS Yes
Pick
Yes
Probability
44%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Göztepe
Away
Prediction Summary
1
39%
X
29%
2
32%
Under 2.5
62%
BTTS No
56%
Confidence
Medium
Market Evidence
Samsunspor (Home)
Goals scored / match1.29
Goals conceded / match1
Over 2.5 rate18%
BTTS rate53%
Göztepe (Away)
Goals scored / match1.06
Goals conceded / match1.06
Over 2.5 rate6%
BTTS rate41%
Team Form last 5 matches
Samsunspor
WLWWW
Göztepe
LWDWD
Goals Comparison rate per team
65%
+0.5
71%
41%
+1.5
29%
18%
+2.5
6%
6%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
53%
BTTS
41%
Model Insight
The selected market is BTTS Yes with a probability of 44%. Model confidence is Medium.
Samsunspor averages 1.29 goals scored at home, while Göztepe averages 1.06 goals scored away.
Model Strength
62%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
39%
Draw
29%
Away Win
32%
Over 2.5
38%
BTTS Yes
44%
Head-to-Head last 5
May 2026
Samsunspor
3 - 0
Göztepe
Home
Dec 2025
Samsunspor(A)
0 - 2
Göztepe
Away
Mar 2025
Samsunspor(A)
2 - 2
Göztepe
Draw
Sep 2024
Samsunspor
4 - 3
Göztepe
Home
Apr 2023
Samsunspor(A)
0 - 1
Göztepe
Away
In the last 5 meetings, Samsunspor won 2, drew 1 and lost 2.
Current Streaks
Samsunspor — unbeaten run (home)6
Samsunspor — scoring streak (home)5
Göztepe — winless run (away)3
Göztepe — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5
1X2 Probability model
Samsunspor Win (1)39%
Draw (X)29%
Göztepe Win (2)32%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
65%
+0.5
71%
41%
+1.5
29%
18%
+2.5
6%
6%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
35%
-0.5
29%
59%
-1.5
71%
82%
-2.5
94%
94%
-3.5
100%
100%
-4.5
100%
Samsunspor vs Göztepe — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
Samsunspor — scored (home)1.29
Samsunspor — conceded (home)1
Göztepe — scored (away)1.06
Göztepe — conceded (away)1.06
Model expected combined goals2.21
Both Teams To Score
Yes44%
No56%
Rate per Team
Samsunspor — BTTS matches (home)53%
Göztepe — BTTS matches (away)41%
Combined (simple average)47%
Corners Line model prediction
Over 8.556%
Under 8.544%
Over 9.545%
Under 9.555%
Over 10.536%
Under 10.564%
Expected total corners (model prediction)9.40
Per-Team Corners own matches
Samsunspor (home)
Corners for5.8
Corners against3.4
Göztepe (away)
Corners for3.9
Corners against5.2
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
Samsunspor
8
17
9
7
4
Göztepe
9
7
7
15
4
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.597%
Under 0.53%
Over 1.591%
Under 1.59%
Over 2.585%
Under 2.515%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.6
Yellow Cards per Team
Samsunspor (home)
For2.0
Göztepe (away)
For2.8
Shots Forecast model prediction
Match Total
Over 19.575%
Under 19.525%
Over 22.562%
Under 22.538%
Over 25.548%
Under 25.552%
Expected total shots25.89
Samsunspor
Shots Over 9.579%
Shots Over 11.565%
Shots Over 13.549%
Expected shots13.94
On Target Over 3.564%
On Target Over 4.548%
On Target Over 5.534%
Expected on target4.70
Göztepe
Shots Over 9.567%
Shots Over 11.550%
Shots Over 13.534%
Expected shots11.95
On Target Over 3.548%
On Target Over 4.531%
On Target Over 5.519%
Expected on target3.65
Shots per Game
Samsunspor — total shots (home)14.2
Göztepe — total shots (away)13.6
Shots on Target
Samsunspor — on target (home)4.6
Göztepe — on target (away)4.3
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
Samsunspor
Inside the box8.21
Outside the box4.74
Göztepe
Inside the box9.59
Outside the box4.56
Player Shots Samsunspor
M. Mouandilmadji
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target25%
C. Holse
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target26%
A. Musaba
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target13%
E. Tavşan
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target20%
Marius
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target35%
+1.5 On Target19%
Player Shots Göztepe
Juan
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target28%
J. Olaitan
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target59%
+1.5 On Target24%
Janderson
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target56%
+1.5 On Target19%
Emersonn
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target0%
Jeh
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target13%
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
Samsunspor xG (home)1.29
Göztepe xG (away)1.4
Average Possession
54.29%
Possession
38.29%
Team Comparison Samsunspor vs Göztepe
82.71%
Pass accuracy
68.03%
436.06
Passes per match
252.03
-0.18
Goals prevented
0.1
14.91
Fouls committed
17.68
2.36
Goalkeeper saves
2.85
2
Offsides
1.82
15.85
Tackles per match
15.03
League average xG this season is 1.3 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
Samsunspor vs Göztepe prediction analysis
Review Samsunspor vs Göztepe with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Süper Lig.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
Süper Lig
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights