What markets are included in the Samsunspor vs Kasımpaşa prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Samsunspor vs Kasımpaşa prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Samsunspor vs Kasımpaşa

Samsunspor vs Kasımpaşa prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

Back to Predictions

Süper Lig 2025-09-17 17:00

Samsunspor

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

47%

Confidence

Low

Score

1-1

Kasımpaşa

Away

Prediction Summary

49%

26%

Under 2.5

53%

BTTS · No edge

50%

Confidence

Low

Market Evidence

Samsunspor (Home)

Goals scored / match1.29

Goals conceded / match1

Over 2.5 rate18%

BTTS rate53%

Kasımpaşa (Away)

Goals scored / match1.06

Goals conceded / match1.76

Over 2.5 rate6%

BTTS rate65%

Team Form last 5 matches

Samsunspor

WLWWW

Kasımpaşa

WLDLW

Goals Comparison rate per team

65% +0.5 71%

41% +1.5 29%

18% +2.5 6%

6% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

53% BTTS 65%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 47%. Model confidence is Low.

Samsunspor averages 1.29 goals scored at home, while Kasımpaşa averages 1.06 goals scored away.

Model Strength

53%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

49%

Draw

26%

Away Win

26%

Over 2.5

47%

BTTS Yes

50%

Head-to-Head last 5

Jan 2026 Samsunspor(A) 1 - 0 Kasımpaşa Home

Sep 2025 Samsunspor 0 - 0 Kasımpaşa Draw

Mar 2025 Samsunspor 0 - 2 Kasımpaşa Away

Oct 2024 Samsunspor(A) 4 - 1 Kasımpaşa Home

Apr 2024 Samsunspor(A) 0 - 1 Kasımpaşa Away

In the last 5 meetings, Samsunspor won 2, drew 1 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Samsunspor — unbeaten run (home)6

Samsunspor — scoring streak (home)5

Kasımpaşa — winless run (away)10

Kasımpaşa — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Samsunspor Win (1)49%

Draw (X)26%

Kasımpaşa Win (2)26%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

65% +0.5 71%

41% +1.5 29%

18% +2.5 6%

6% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

35% -0.5 29%

59% -1.5 71%

82% -2.5 94%

94% -3.5 100%

100% -4.5 100%

Samsunspor vs Kasımpaşa — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Samsunspor — scored (home)1.29

Samsunspor — conceded (home)1

Kasımpaşa — scored (away)1.06

Kasımpaşa — conceded (away)1.76

Model expected combined goals2.56

Both Teams To Score

Yes50%

No50%

Rate per Team

Samsunspor — BTTS matches (home)53%

Kasımpaşa — BTTS matches (away)65%

Combined (simple average)59%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.594%

Under 4.56%

Over 5.585%

Under 5.515%

Over 6.577%

Under 6.523%

Over 7.574%

Under 7.526%

Over 8.556%

Under 8.544%

Over 9.535%

Under 9.565%

Over 10.524%

Under 10.576%

Expected total corners (blended average)9.00

Per-Team Corners own matches

Samsunspor (home)

Corners for5.8

Corners against3.4

Kasımpaşa (away)

Corners for3.6

Corners against5.2

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Samsunspor

8 17 9 7 4

Kasımpaşa

7 8 11 9 9

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.597%

Under 0.53%

Over 1.591%

Under 1.59%

Over 2.585%

Under 2.515%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.8

Yellow Cards per Team

Samsunspor (home)

For2.0

Kasımpaşa (away)

For3.2

Shots per Game

Samsunspor — total shots (home)14.2

Kasımpaşa — total shots (away)7.7

Shots on Target

Samsunspor — on target (home)4.6

Kasımpaşa — on target (away)2.3

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Samsunspor

Inside the box8.21

Outside the box4.74

Kasımpaşa

Inside the box5.5

Outside the box4.06

Player Shots Samsunspor

M. Mouandilmadji

Shots on Target/Game0.9

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target25%

C. Holse

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target45%

+1.5 On Target26%

A. Musaba

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target53%

+1.5 On Target13%

E. Tavşan

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target40%

+1.5 On Target20%

Marius

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target35%

+1.5 On Target19%

Player Shots Kasımpaşa

A. Benedyczak

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target71%

+1.5 On Target36%

H. Hajradinović

Shots on Target/Game0.9

+0.5 On Target43%

+1.5 On Target14%

P. Guèye

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target46%

+1.5 On Target4%

İ. Kahveci

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target31%

+1.5 On Target19%

Cláudio Winck

Shots on Target/Game0.3

+0.5 On Target30%

+1.5 On Target0%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Samsunspor xG (home)1.29

Kasımpaşa xG (away)0.89

Average Possession

54.29% Possession 44.44%

Team Comparison Samsunspor vs Kasımpaşa

82.71% Pass accuracy 76.26%

436.06 Passes per match 338.41

-0.18 Goals prevented -0.04

14.91 Fouls committed 15.5

2.36 Goalkeeper saves 2.94

2 Offsides 1.39

15.85 Tackles per match 15.03

League average xG this season is 1.3 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Samsunspor vs Kasımpaşa prediction analysis

Review Samsunspor vs Kasımpaşa with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Süper Lig.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Süper Lig

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights