Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: San Diego vs FC Dallas

San Diego vs FC Dallas prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Major League Soccer 2026-07-26 01:30
San Diego
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
BTTS Yes
Pick
Yes
Probability
59%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
FC Dallas
Away

Prediction Summary

1
48%
X
24%
2
28%
Over 2.5
57%
BTTS Yes
59%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

San Diego (Home)

Goals scored / match1.55
Goals conceded / match0.95
Over 2.5 rate23%
BTTS rate41%

FC Dallas (Away)

Goals scored / match1.45
Goals conceded / match1.8
Over 2.5 rate20%
BTTS rate65%

Team Form last 5 matches

San Diego
WLLWW
FC Dallas
LDDLW

Goals Comparison rate per team

77% +0.5 70%
41% +1.5 45%
23% +2.5 20%
9% +3.5 10%
5% +4.5 0%
41% BTTS 65%

Model Insight

The selected market is BTTS Yes with a probability of 59%. Model confidence is Medium.

San Diego averages 1.55 goals scored at home, while FC Dallas averages 1.45 goals scored away.

Model Strength
59%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
48%
Draw
24%
Away Win
28%
Over 2.5
57%
BTTS Yes
59%

Head-to-Head last 3

Jul 2026 San Diego 1 - 0 FC Dallas Home
Jun 2025 San Diego(A) 3 - 2 FC Dallas Home
May 2025 San Diego 5 - 0 FC Dallas Home

In the last 3 meetings, San Diego won 3, drew 0 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

San Diego — unbeaten run (home)1
San Diego — scoring streak (home)5
FC Dallas — winless run (away)3
FC Dallas — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

San Diego Win (1)48%
Draw (X)24%
FC Dallas Win (2)28%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

77% +0.5 70%
41% +1.5 45%
23% +2.5 20%
9% +3.5 10%
5% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

23% -0.5 30%
59% -1.5 55%
77% -2.5 80%
91% -3.5 90%
95% -4.5 100%

San Diego vs FC Dallas — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

San Diego — scored (home)1.55
San Diego — conceded (home)0.95
FC Dallas — scored (away)1.45
FC Dallas — conceded (away)1.8
Model expected combined goals2.97

Both Teams To Score

Yes59%
No41%

Rate per Team

San Diego — BTTS matches (home)41%
FC Dallas — BTTS matches (away)65%
Combined (simple average)53%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.560%
Under 8.540%
Over 9.549%
Under 9.551%
Over 10.539%
Under 10.561%
Expected total corners (model prediction)9.70

Per-Team Corners own matches

San Diego (home)

Corners for6.4
Corners against2.2

FC Dallas (away)

Corners for3.9
Corners against7.1

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

San Diego
12 6 6 8 11
FC Dallas
14 11 10 8 11

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.593%
Under 1.57%
Over 2.581%
Under 2.519%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5

Yellow Cards per Team

San Diego (home)

For2.2

FC Dallas (away)

For2.5

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.575%
Under 19.525%
Over 22.560%
Under 22.540%
Over 25.545%
Under 25.555%
Expected total shots25.12

San Diego

Shots Over 9.586%
Shots Over 11.574%
Shots Over 13.559%
Expected shots15.12
On Target Over 3.576%
On Target Over 4.560%
On Target Over 5.545%
Expected on target5.39

FC Dallas

Shots Over 9.551%
Shots Over 11.533%
Shots Over 13.518%
Expected shots10.00
On Target Over 3.552%
On Target Over 4.534%
On Target Over 5.520%
Expected on target3.83

Shots per Game

San Diego — total shots (home)14.5
FC Dallas — total shots (away)9.9

Shots on Target

San Diego — on target (home)5.1
FC Dallas — on target (away)3.8

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

San Diego

Inside the box8.08
Outside the box4.85

FC Dallas

Inside the box7.31
Outside the box3.14

Player Shots San Diego

A. Pellegrino
Shots on Target/Game2.2
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target25%
M. Iloski
Shots on Target/Game1.9
+0.5 On Target71%
+1.5 On Target36%
A. Dreyer
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target85%
+1.5 On Target41%
O. Valakari
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target21%
+1.5 On Target10%
M. Ingvartsen
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target31%
+1.5 On Target8%

Player Shots FC Dallas

C. Cappis
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target8%
+1.5 On Target8%
S. Lletget
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target10%
+1.5 On Target10%
P. Musa
Shots on Target/Game1.9
+0.5 On Target59%
+1.5 On Target41%
S. Ibeagha
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target14%
+1.5 On Target6%
L. Acosta
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target48%
+1.5 On Target19%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

San Diego xG (home)1.6
FC Dallas xG (away)1.4

Average Possession

61.54% Possession 40.61%

Team Comparison San Diego vs FC Dallas

87.43% Pass accuracy 77.1%
609.41 Passes per match 364.72
0.08 Goals prevented 0.02
12.69 Fouls committed 12.97
3 Goalkeeper saves 3.42
2.11 Offsides 2.2
15.13 Tackles per match 15.03

League average xG this season is 1.48 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

San Diego vs FC Dallas prediction analysis

Review San Diego vs FC Dallas with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Major League Soccer.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Major League Soccer
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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