What markets are included in the San Jose Earthquakes vs Los Angeles Galaxy prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: San Jose Earthquakes vs Los Angeles Galaxy

Q: How is the San Jose Earthquakes vs Los Angeles Galaxy prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

San Jose Earthquakes vs Los Angeles Galaxy prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Major League Soccer 2026-07-26 02:30

San Jose Earthquakes

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

72%

Confidence

High

Score

2-1

Los Angeles Galaxy

Away

Prediction Summary

51%

21%

28%

Over 2.5

72%

BTTS Yes

70%

Confidence

High

Market Evidence

San Jose Earthquakes (Home)

Goals scored / match2.06

Goals conceded / match2

Over 2.5 rate33%

BTTS rate83%

Los Angeles Galaxy (Away)

Goals scored / match1.12

Goals conceded / match2.24

Over 2.5 rate12%

BTTS rate71%

Team Form last 5 matches

San Jose Earthquakes

LWLWL

Los Angeles Galaxy

LLWWL

Goals Comparison rate per team

89% +0.5 71%

56% +1.5 29%

33% +2.5 12%

17% +3.5 0%

6% +4.5 0%

83% BTTS 71%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 72%. Model confidence is High.

San Jose Earthquakes averages 2.06 goals scored at home, while Los Angeles Galaxy averages 1.12 goals scored away.

Model Strength

72%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

51%

Draw

21%

Away Win

28%

Over 2.5

72%

BTTS Yes

70%

Head-to-Head last 5

Jun 2025 San Jose Earthquakes 1 - 1 Los Angeles Galaxy Draw

May 2025 San Jose Earthquakes(A) 1 - 0 Los Angeles Galaxy Home

Jun 2024 San Jose Earthquakes 0 - 3 Los Angeles Galaxy Away

Apr 2024 San Jose Earthquakes(A) 3 - 4 Los Angeles Galaxy Away

Mar 2024 San Jose Earthquakes 1 - 3 Los Angeles Galaxy Away

In the last 5 meetings, San Jose Earthquakes won 1, drew 1 and lost 3.

Current Streaks

San Jose Earthquakes — unbeaten run (home)0

San Jose Earthquakes — scoring streak (home)0

Los Angeles Galaxy — winless run (away)17

Los Angeles Galaxy — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

San Jose Earthquakes Win (1)51%

Draw (X)21%

Los Angeles Galaxy Win (2)28%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

89% +0.5 71%

56% +1.5 29%

33% +2.5 12%

17% +3.5 0%

6% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

11% -0.5 29%

44% -1.5 71%

67% -2.5 88%

83% -3.5 100%

94% -4.5 100%

San Jose Earthquakes vs Los Angeles Galaxy — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

San Jose Earthquakes — scored (home)2.06

San Jose Earthquakes — conceded (home)2

Los Angeles Galaxy — scored (away)1.12

Los Angeles Galaxy — conceded (away)2.24

Model expected combined goals3.7

Both Teams To Score

Yes70%

No30%

Rate per Team

San Jose Earthquakes — BTTS matches (home)83%

Los Angeles Galaxy — BTTS matches (away)71%

Combined (simple average)77%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.560%

Under 8.540%

Over 9.549%

Under 9.551%

Over 10.539%

Under 10.561%

Expected total corners (model prediction)9.70

Per-Team Corners own matches

San Jose Earthquakes (home)

Corners for7.1

Corners against4.5

Los Angeles Galaxy (away)

Corners for4.9

Corners against5.6

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

San Jose Earthquakes

14 12 12 16 5

Los Angeles Galaxy

12 12 13 9 11

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.597%

Under 0.53%

Over 1.597%

Under 1.53%

Over 2.585%

Under 2.515%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.3

Yellow Cards per Team

San Jose Earthquakes (home)

For2.5

Los Angeles Galaxy (away)

For2.6

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.580%

Under 19.520%

Over 22.566%

Under 22.534%

Over 25.551%

Under 25.549%

Expected total shots26.47

San Jose Earthquakes

Shots Over 9.584%

Shots Over 11.571%

Shots Over 13.555%

Expected shots14.61

On Target Over 3.574%

On Target Over 4.558%

On Target Over 5.543%

Expected on target5.27

Los Angeles Galaxy

Shots Over 9.568%

Shots Over 11.550%

Shots Over 13.533%

Expected shots11.85

On Target Over 3.564%

On Target Over 4.546%

On Target Over 5.531%

Expected on target4.53

Shots per Game

San Jose Earthquakes — total shots (home)17.1

Los Angeles Galaxy — total shots (away)10.9

Shots on Target

San Jose Earthquakes — on target (home)6.2

Los Angeles Galaxy — on target (away)3.7

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

San Jose Earthquakes

Inside the box10.24

Outside the box5.21

Los Angeles Galaxy

Inside the box7.5

Outside the box4.59

Player Shots San Jose Earthquakes

D. Romney

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target3%

+1.5 On Target3%

H. López

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target40%

+1.5 On Target40%

Josef Martínez

Shots on Target/Game1.8

+0.5 On Target67%

+1.5 On Target30%

C. Arango

Shots on Target/Game1.8

+0.5 On Target80%

+1.5 On Target37%

Beau Leroux

Shots on Target/Game1.6

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target15%

Player Shots Los Angeles Galaxy

J. Paintsil

Shots on Target/Game1.9

+0.5 On Target65%

+1.5 On Target42%

Gabriel Pec

Shots on Target/Game1.9

+0.5 On Target79%

+1.5 On Target52%

M. Reus

Shots on Target/Game1.6

+0.5 On Target32%

+1.5 On Target14%

R. Ramos

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target17%

Matheus Nascimento

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target36%

+1.5 On Target14%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

San Jose Earthquakes xG (home)1.89

Los Angeles Galaxy xG (away)1.34

Average Possession

50.68% Possession 54.29%

Team Comparison San Jose Earthquakes vs Los Angeles Galaxy

80.89% Pass accuracy 86.89%

427.74 Passes per match 535.62

-0.11 Goals prevented -0.14

12.62 Fouls committed 10.29

3.32 Goalkeeper saves 3.13

1.88 Offsides 1.45

15.85 Tackles per match 15.54

League average xG this season is 1.48 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

San Jose Earthquakes vs Los Angeles Galaxy prediction analysis

Review San Jose Earthquakes vs Los Angeles Galaxy with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Major League Soccer.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Major League Soccer

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights