What markets are included in the Santa Clara vs Arouca prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Santa Clara vs Arouca prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Santa Clara vs Arouca

Santa Clara vs Arouca prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Primeira Liga 2025-12-21 20:30

Santa Clara

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

62%

Confidence

Medium

Score

2-1

Arouca

Away

Prediction Summary

64%

20%

17%

Over 2.5

62%

BTTS Yes

56%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Santa Clara (Home)

Goals scored / match1

Goals conceded / match1

Over 2.5 rate0%

BTTS rate35%

Arouca (Away)

Goals scored / match1.18

Goals conceded / match2

Over 2.5 rate18%

BTTS rate53%

Team Form last 5 matches

Santa Clara

LWDWD

Arouca

WWDLW

Goals Comparison rate per team

65% +0.5 71%

35% +1.5 29%

0% +2.5 18%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

35% BTTS 53%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 62%. Model confidence is Medium.

Santa Clara averages 1 goals scored at home, while Arouca averages 1.18 goals scored away.

Model Strength

64%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

64%

Draw

20%

Away Win

17%

Over 2.5

62%

BTTS Yes

56%

Head-to-Head last 5

Jul 2026 Santa Clara 3 - 0 Arouca Home

May 2026 Santa Clara(A) 2 - 2 Arouca Draw

Dec 2025 Santa Clara 0 - 0 Arouca Draw

Apr 2025 Santa Clara 2 - 0 Arouca Home

Dec 2024 Santa Clara(A) 0 - 1 Arouca Away

In the last 5 meetings, Santa Clara won 2, drew 2 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Santa Clara — unbeaten run (home)2

Santa Clara — scoring streak (home)2

Arouca — winless run (away)0

Arouca — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Santa Clara Win (1)64%

Draw (X)20%

Arouca Win (2)17%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

65% +0.5 71%

35% +1.5 29%

0% +2.5 18%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

35% -0.5 29%

65% -1.5 71%

100% -2.5 82%

100% -3.5 100%

100% -4.5 100%

Santa Clara vs Arouca — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Santa Clara — scored (home)1

Santa Clara — conceded (home)1

Arouca — scored (away)1.18

Arouca — conceded (away)2

Model expected combined goals3.18

Both Teams To Score

Yes56%

No44%

Rate per Team

Santa Clara — BTTS matches (home)35%

Arouca — BTTS matches (away)53%

Combined (simple average)44%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.594%

Under 4.56%

Over 5.585%

Under 5.515%

Over 6.568%

Under 6.532%

Over 7.559%

Under 7.541%

Over 8.544%

Under 8.556%

Over 9.538%

Under 9.562%

Over 10.527%

Under 10.573%

Expected total corners (blended average)8.40

Per-Team Corners own matches

Santa Clara (home)

Corners for4.5

Corners against4.2

Arouca (away)

Corners for3.4

Corners against4.6

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Santa Clara

10 5 11 10 13

Arouca

7 9 11 8 11

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.597%

Under 1.53%

Over 2.585%

Under 2.515%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.4

Yellow Cards per Team

Santa Clara (home)

For3.4

Arouca (away)

For2.3

Shots per Game

Santa Clara — total shots (home)11.6

Arouca — total shots (away)10.6

Shots on Target

Santa Clara — on target (home)3.1

Arouca — on target (away)2.9

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Santa Clara

Inside the box6.62

Outside the box5.09

Arouca

Inside the box6.15

Outside the box4.53

Player Shots Santa Clara

Gabriel Silva

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target55%

+1.5 On Target10%

Vinícius Lopes

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target43%

+1.5 On Target7%

Gonçalo Paciência

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target42%

+1.5 On Target8%

Wendel

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target38%

+1.5 On Target8%

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target25%

+1.5 On Target17%

Player Shots Arouca

Barbero

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target48%

+1.5 On Target13%

A. Trezza

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target44%

+1.5 On Target16%

N. Djouahra

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target47%

+1.5 On Target9%

Lee Hyun-Ju

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target3%

D. Nandín

Shots on Target/Game0.3

+0.5 On Target29%

+1.5 On Target5%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Santa Clara xG (home)1.07

Arouca xG (away)1

Average Possession

48.44% Possession 50.21%

Team Comparison Santa Clara vs Arouca

79.29% Pass accuracy 81.91%

368.82 Passes per match 413.24

-0.12 Goals prevented -0.24

14.85 Fouls committed 13.82

2.48 Goalkeeper saves 2.68

1.78 Offsides 1.48

15.56 Tackles per match 14.26

League average xG this season is 1.3 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Santa Clara vs Arouca prediction analysis

Review Santa Clara vs Arouca with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primeira Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primeira Liga

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights