Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Santa Clara vs AVS

Santa Clara vs AVS prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Primeira Liga 2024-08-31 14:30
Santa Clara
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
41%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
AVS
Away

Prediction Summary

1
55%
X
26%
2
20%
Under 2.5
59%
BTTS No
57%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Santa Clara (Home)

Goals scored / match1.06
Goals conceded / match0.82
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate35%

AVS (Away)

Goals scored / match0.78
Goals conceded / match2
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate56%

Team Form last 5 matches

Santa Clara
WWDWD
AVS
DWLWL

Goals Comparison rate per team

71% +0.5 67%
35% +1.5 11%
0% +2.5 0%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
35% BTTS 56%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 41%. Model confidence is Medium.

Santa Clara averages 1.06 goals scored at home, while AVS averages 0.78 goals scored away.

Model Strength
59%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
55%
Draw
26%
Away Win
20%
Over 2.5
41%
BTTS Yes
43%

Head-to-Head last 5

Mar 2026 Santa Clara(A) 1 - 0 AVS Home
Oct 2025 Santa Clara 2 - 0 AVS Home
Feb 2025 Santa Clara(A) 2 - 1 AVS Home
Aug 2024 Santa Clara 2 - 1 AVS Home
Mar 2024 Santa Clara(A) 2 - 1 AVS Home

In the last 5 meetings, Santa Clara won 5, drew 0 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Santa Clara — unbeaten run (home)2
Santa Clara — scoring streak (home)2
AVS — winless run (away)1
AVS — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Santa Clara Win (1)55%
Draw (X)26%
AVS Win (2)20%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

71% +0.5 67%
35% +1.5 11%
0% +2.5 0%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

29% -0.5 33%
65% -1.5 89%
100% -2.5 100%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Santa Clara vs AVS — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Santa Clara — scored (home)1.06
Santa Clara — conceded (home)0.82
AVS — scored (away)0.78
AVS — conceded (away)2
Model expected combined goals2.33

Both Teams To Score

Yes43%
No57%

Rate per Team

Santa Clara — BTTS matches (home)35%
AVS — BTTS matches (away)56%
Combined (simple average)45.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.591%
Under 4.59%
Over 5.583%
Under 5.517%
Over 6.572%
Under 6.528%
Over 7.552%
Under 7.548%
Over 8.543%
Under 8.557%
Over 9.537%
Under 9.563%
Over 10.523%
Under 10.577%
Expected total corners (blended average)8.50

Per-Team Corners own matches

Santa Clara (home)

Corners for4.5
Corners against3.2

AVS (away)

Corners for3.7
Corners against5.6

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Santa Clara
10 8 8 9 9
AVS
9 7 6 10 14

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.5100%
Under 1.50%
Over 2.597%
Under 2.53%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.6

Yellow Cards per Team

Santa Clara (home)

For3.3

AVS (away)

For2.9

Shots per Game

Santa Clara — total shots (home)13.1
AVS — total shots (away)9.6

Shots on Target

Santa Clara — on target (home)4.3
AVS — on target (away)2.4

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Santa Clara

Inside the box6.97
Outside the box4.21

AVS

Inside the box6.03
Outside the box4.17

Player Shots Santa Clara

Wendel
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target17%
Serginho
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target14%
+1.5 On Target3%
Ricardinho
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target11%
Gabriel Silva
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target64%
+1.5 On Target12%
Vinícius Lopes
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target9%

Player Shots AVS

Samuel Granada
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target25%
Zé Luís
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target35%
+1.5 On Target12%
B. Akinsola
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target22%
+1.5 On Target9%
Vasco Lopes
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target31%
+1.5 On Target8%
Nenê
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target35%
+1.5 On Target5%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Santa Clara xG (home)1.24
AVS xG (away)0.89

Average Possession

44.47% Possession 42.81%

Team Comparison Santa Clara vs AVS

74.5% Pass accuracy 76.78%
340 Passes per match 347.36
0.13 Goals prevented -0.09
16.62 Fouls committed 14.08
2.48 Goalkeeper saves 3.65
1.97 Offsides 1.5
16.29 Tackles per match 16.25

League average xG this season is 1.21 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Santa Clara vs AVS prediction analysis

Review Santa Clara vs AVS with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primeira Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primeira Liga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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