Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Santa Clara vs AVS

Santa Clara vs AVS prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Primeira Liga 2025-10-25 17:00
Santa Clara
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
52%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-0
AVS
Away

Prediction Summary

1
55%
X
24%
2
21%
Over 2.5
52%
BTTS Yes
52%
Confidence
Low

Market Evidence

Santa Clara (Home)

Goals scored / match1
Goals conceded / match1
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate35%

AVS (Away)

Goals scored / match0.71
Goals conceded / match2.35
Over 2.5 rate6%
BTTS rate41%

Team Form last 5 matches

Santa Clara
LWDWD
AVS
DWWDD

Goals Comparison rate per team

65% +0.5 41%
35% +1.5 24%
0% +2.5 6%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
35% BTTS 41%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 52%. Model confidence is Low.

Santa Clara averages 1 goals scored at home, while AVS averages 0.71 goals scored away.

Model Strength
55%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
55%
Draw
24%
Away Win
21%
Over 2.5
52%
BTTS Yes
52%

Head-to-Head last 5

Mar 2026 Santa Clara(A) 1 - 0 AVS Home
Oct 2025 Santa Clara 2 - 0 AVS Home
Feb 2025 Santa Clara(A) 2 - 1 AVS Home
Aug 2024 Santa Clara 2 - 1 AVS Home
Mar 2024 Santa Clara(A) 2 - 1 AVS Home

In the last 5 meetings, Santa Clara won 5, drew 0 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Santa Clara — unbeaten run (home)2
Santa Clara — scoring streak (home)2
AVS — winless run (away)1
AVS — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Santa Clara Win (1)55%
Draw (X)24%
AVS Win (2)21%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

65% +0.5 41%
35% +1.5 24%
0% +2.5 6%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

35% -0.5 59%
65% -1.5 76%
100% -2.5 94%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Santa Clara vs AVS — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Santa Clara — scored (home)1
Santa Clara — conceded (home)1
AVS — scored (away)0.71
AVS — conceded (away)2.35
Model expected combined goals2.75

Both Teams To Score

Yes52%
No48%

Rate per Team

Santa Clara — BTTS matches (home)35%
AVS — BTTS matches (away)41%
Combined (simple average)38%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.594%
Under 4.56%
Over 5.591%
Under 5.59%
Over 6.580%
Under 6.520%
Over 7.571%
Under 7.529%
Over 8.559%
Under 8.541%
Over 9.547%
Under 9.553%
Over 10.541%
Under 10.559%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.50

Per-Team Corners own matches

Santa Clara (home)

Corners for4.5
Corners against4.2

AVS (away)

Corners for3.9
Corners against6.2

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Santa Clara
10 5 11 10 13
AVS
13 9 14 10 8

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.597%
Under 0.53%
Over 1.594%
Under 1.56%
Over 2.577%
Under 2.523%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.1

Yellow Cards per Team

Santa Clara (home)

For3.4

AVS (away)

For2.0

Shots per Game

Santa Clara — total shots (home)11.6
AVS — total shots (away)10.6

Shots on Target

Santa Clara — on target (home)3.1
AVS — on target (away)2.5

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Santa Clara

Inside the box6.62
Outside the box5.09

AVS

Inside the box6
Outside the box5.03

Player Shots Santa Clara

Gabriel Silva
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target55%
+1.5 On Target10%
Vinícius Lopes
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target7%
Gonçalo Paciência
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target8%
Wendel
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target8%
MT
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target17%

Player Shots AVS

Nenê
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target10%
Pedro Lima
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target35%
+1.5 On Target8%
Ó. Perea
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target28%
+1.5 On Target8%
D. Duarte
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target41%
+1.5 On Target0%
B. Akinsola
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target6%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Santa Clara xG (home)1.07
AVS xG (away)0.94

Average Possession

48.44% Possession 39.21%

Team Comparison Santa Clara vs AVS

79.29% Pass accuracy 72.74%
368.82 Passes per match 298.79
-0.12 Goals prevented -0.11
14.85 Fouls committed 13.76
2.48 Goalkeeper saves 3.44
1.78 Offsides 1.52
15.56 Tackles per match 17.09

League average xG this season is 1.3 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Santa Clara vs AVS prediction analysis

Review Santa Clara vs AVS with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primeira Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primeira Liga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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