Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Santa Clara vs Farense

Santa Clara vs Farense prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Primeira Liga 2025-01-05 15:30
Santa Clara
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
27%
Confidence
High
Score
1-0
Farense
Away

Prediction Summary

1
46%
X
32%
2
22%
Under 2.5
73%
BTTS No
66%
Confidence
High

Market Evidence

Santa Clara (Home)

Goals scored / match1.06
Goals conceded / match0.82
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate35%

Farense (Away)

Goals scored / match0.88
Goals conceded / match1.29
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate53%

Team Form last 5 matches

Santa Clara
WWDWD
Farense
LWWLL

Goals Comparison rate per team

71% +0.5 59%
35% +1.5 29%
0% +2.5 0%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
35% BTTS 53%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 27%. Model confidence is High.

Santa Clara averages 1.06 goals scored at home, while Farense averages 0.88 goals scored away.

Model Strength
73%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
46%
Draw
32%
Away Win
22%
Over 2.5
27%
BTTS Yes
34%

Head-to-Head last 5

May 2025 Santa Clara(A) 2 - 1 Farense Home
Jan 2025 Santa Clara 0 - 0 Farense Draw
Aug 2021 Santa Clara(A) 0 - 0 Farense Draw
May 2021 Santa Clara 4 - 0 Farense Home
Feb 2021 Santa Clara(A) 1 - 1 Farense Draw

In the last 5 meetings, Santa Clara won 2, drew 3 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Santa Clara — unbeaten run (home)2
Santa Clara — scoring streak (home)2
Farense — winless run (away)0
Farense — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Santa Clara Win (1)46%
Draw (X)32%
Farense Win (2)22%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

71% +0.5 59%
35% +1.5 29%
0% +2.5 0%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

29% -0.5 41%
65% -1.5 71%
100% -2.5 100%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Santa Clara vs Farense — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Santa Clara — scored (home)1.06
Santa Clara — conceded (home)0.82
Farense — scored (away)0.88
Farense — conceded (away)1.29
Model expected combined goals1.81

Both Teams To Score

Yes34%
No66%

Rate per Team

Santa Clara — BTTS matches (home)35%
Farense — BTTS matches (away)53%
Combined (simple average)44%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.591%
Under 4.59%
Over 5.585%
Under 5.515%
Over 6.580%
Under 6.520%
Over 7.568%
Under 7.532%
Over 8.556%
Under 8.544%
Over 9.542%
Under 9.558%
Over 10.533%
Under 10.567%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.50

Per-Team Corners own matches

Santa Clara (home)

Corners for4.5
Corners against3.2

Farense (away)

Corners for3.9
Corners against7.2

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Santa Clara
10 8 8 9 9
Farense
8 5 14 19 9

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.591%
Under 1.59%
Over 2.588%
Under 2.512%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.7

Yellow Cards per Team

Santa Clara (home)

For3.3

Farense (away)

For2.6

Shots per Game

Santa Clara — total shots (home)13.1
Farense — total shots (away)9.8

Shots on Target

Santa Clara — on target (home)4.3
Farense — on target (away)3.5

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Santa Clara

Inside the box6.97
Outside the box4.21

Farense

Inside the box6.65
Outside the box4.68

Player Shots Santa Clara

Wendel
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target17%
Serginho
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target14%
+1.5 On Target3%
Ricardinho
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target11%
Gabriel Silva
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target64%
+1.5 On Target12%
Vinícius Lopes
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target9%

Player Shots Farense

Y. Njie
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target21%
+1.5 On Target7%
M. Belloumi
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target100%
+1.5 On Target67%
Rony Lopes
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target21%
Darío Poveda
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target18%
+1.5 On Target5%
Tómané
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target8%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Santa Clara xG (home)1.24
Farense xG (away)0.9

Average Possession

44.47% Possession 40.79%

Team Comparison Santa Clara vs Farense

74.5% Pass accuracy 71.71%
340 Passes per match 293.85
0.13 Goals prevented 0.28
16.62 Fouls committed 15.21
2.48 Goalkeeper saves 3.09
1.97 Offsides 1.97
16.29 Tackles per match 17.56

League average xG this season is 1.21 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Santa Clara vs Farense prediction analysis

Review Santa Clara vs Farense with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primeira Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primeira Liga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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