What markets are included in the Santa Clara vs Moreirense prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Santa Clara vs Moreirense prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Santa Clara vs Moreirense

Santa Clara vs Moreirense prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Primeira Liga 2025-03-09 15:30

Santa Clara

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

43%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-0

Moreirense

Away

Prediction Summary

47%

27%

Under 2.5

57%

BTTS No

52%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Santa Clara (Home)

Goals scored / match1.06

Goals conceded / match0.82

Over 2.5 rate0%

BTTS rate35%

Moreirense (Away)

Goals scored / match1.18

Goals conceded / match1.71

Over 2.5 rate6%

BTTS rate59%

Team Form last 5 matches

Santa Clara

WWDWD

Moreirense

WDLDL

Goals Comparison rate per team

71% +0.5 76%

35% +1.5 35%

0% +2.5 6%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

35% BTTS 59%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 43%. Model confidence is Medium.

Santa Clara averages 1.06 goals scored at home, while Moreirense averages 1.18 goals scored away.

Model Strength

57%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

47%

Draw

27%

Away Win

27%

Over 2.5

43%

BTTS Yes

48%

Head-to-Head last 5

Jul 2026 Santa Clara 2 - 1 Moreirense Home

Jan 2026 Santa Clara(A) 0 - 1 Moreirense Away

Aug 2025 Santa Clara 0 - 1 Moreirense Away

Mar 2025 Santa Clara 1 - 1 Moreirense Draw

Oct 2024 Santa Clara(A) 0 - 1 Moreirense Away

In the last 5 meetings, Santa Clara won 1, drew 1 and lost 3.

Current Streaks

Santa Clara — unbeaten run (home)2

Santa Clara — scoring streak (home)2

Moreirense — winless run (away)0

Moreirense — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Santa Clara Win (1)47%

Draw (X)27%

Moreirense Win (2)27%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

71% +0.5 76%

35% +1.5 35%

0% +2.5 6%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

29% -0.5 24%

65% -1.5 65%

100% -2.5 94%

100% -3.5 100%

100% -4.5 100%

Santa Clara vs Moreirense — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Santa Clara — scored (home)1.06

Santa Clara — conceded (home)0.82

Moreirense — scored (away)1.18

Moreirense — conceded (away)1.71

Model expected combined goals2.42

Both Teams To Score

Yes48%

No52%

Rate per Team

Santa Clara — BTTS matches (home)35%

Moreirense — BTTS matches (away)59%

Combined (simple average)47%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.588%

Under 4.512%

Over 5.585%

Under 5.515%

Over 6.574%

Under 6.526%

Over 7.550%

Under 7.550%

Over 8.538%

Under 8.562%

Over 9.527%

Under 9.573%

Over 10.524%

Under 10.576%

Expected total corners (blended average)8.20

Per-Team Corners own matches

Santa Clara (home)

Corners for4.5

Corners against3.2

Moreirense (away)

Corners for3.1

Corners against5.5

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Santa Clara

10 8 8 9 9

Moreirense

6 7 11 9 6

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.594%

Under 1.56%

Over 2.591%

Under 2.59%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.5

Yellow Cards per Team

Santa Clara (home)

For3.3

Moreirense (away)

For2.4

Shots per Game

Santa Clara — total shots (home)13.1

Moreirense — total shots (away)10.0

Shots on Target

Santa Clara — on target (home)4.3

Moreirense — on target (away)3.9

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Santa Clara

Inside the box6.97

Outside the box4.21

Moreirense

Inside the box5.76

Outside the box4.47

Player Shots Santa Clara

Wendel

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target17%

Serginho

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target14%

+1.5 On Target3%

Ricardinho

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target36%

+1.5 On Target11%

Gabriel Silva

Shots on Target/Game1.2

+0.5 On Target64%

+1.5 On Target12%

Vinícius Lopes

Shots on Target/Game1.2

+0.5 On Target45%

+1.5 On Target9%

Player Shots Moreirense

Dinis Pinto

Shots on Target/Game1.8

+0.5 On Target15%

+1.5 On Target7%

Madson

Shots on Target/Game1.6

+0.5 On Target47%

+1.5 On Target21%

Guilherme Schettine

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target43%

+1.5 On Target17%

Luís Asué

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target45%

+1.5 On Target16%

Alan

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target52%

+1.5 On Target10%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Santa Clara xG (home)1.24

Moreirense xG (away)0.92

Average Possession

44.47% Possession 47.47%

Team Comparison Santa Clara vs Moreirense

74.5% Pass accuracy 79.97%

340 Passes per match 384.35

0.13 Goals prevented -0.27

16.62 Fouls committed 14.59

2.48 Goalkeeper saves 2.59

1.97 Offsides 1.75

16.29 Tackles per match 16.35

League average xG this season is 1.21 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Santa Clara vs Moreirense prediction analysis

Review Santa Clara vs Moreirense with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primeira Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primeira Liga

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights