What markets are included in the Santa Clara vs Nacional prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Santa Clara vs Nacional prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Santa Clara vs Nacional

Santa Clara vs Nacional prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Primeira Liga 2025-03-30 14:30

Santa Clara

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

30%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-0

Nacional

Away

Prediction Summary

47%

30%

23%

Under 2.5

70%

BTTS No

64%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Santa Clara (Home)

Goals scored / match1.06

Goals conceded / match0.82

Over 2.5 rate0%

BTTS rate35%

Nacional (Away)

Goals scored / match0.53

Goals conceded / match1.35

Over 2.5 rate0%

BTTS rate29%

Team Form last 5 matches

Santa Clara

WWDWD

Nacional

LDLDL

Goals Comparison rate per team

71% +0.5 41%

35% +1.5 12%

0% +2.5 0%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

35% BTTS 29%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 30%. Model confidence is Medium.

Santa Clara averages 1.06 goals scored at home, while Nacional averages 0.53 goals scored away.

Model Strength

70%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

47%

Draw

30%

Away Win

23%

Over 2.5

30%

BTTS Yes

36%

Head-to-Head last 5

May 2026 Santa Clara 2 - 0 Nacional Home

Jan 2026 Santa Clara(A) 3 - 3 Nacional Draw

Mar 2025 Santa Clara 1 - 0 Nacional Home

Nov 2024 Santa Clara(A) 0 - 2 Nacional Away

Mar 2024 Santa Clara 0 - 1 Nacional Away

In the last 5 meetings, Santa Clara won 2, drew 1 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Santa Clara — unbeaten run (home)2

Santa Clara — scoring streak (home)2

Nacional — winless run (away)2

Nacional — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Santa Clara Win (1)47%

Draw (X)30%

Nacional Win (2)23%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

71% +0.5 41%

35% +1.5 12%

0% +2.5 0%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

29% -0.5 59%

65% -1.5 88%

100% -2.5 100%

100% -3.5 100%

100% -4.5 100%

Santa Clara vs Nacional — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Santa Clara — scored (home)1.06

Santa Clara — conceded (home)0.82

Nacional — scored (away)0.53

Nacional — conceded (away)1.35

Model expected combined goals1.92

Both Teams To Score

Yes36%

No64%

Rate per Team

Santa Clara — BTTS matches (home)35%

Nacional — BTTS matches (away)29%

Combined (simple average)32%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.591%

Under 4.59%

Over 5.588%

Under 5.512%

Over 6.583%

Under 6.517%

Over 7.562%

Under 7.538%

Over 8.544%

Under 8.556%

Over 9.542%

Under 9.558%

Over 10.536%

Under 10.564%

Expected total corners (blended average)9.40

Per-Team Corners own matches

Santa Clara (home)

Corners for4.5

Corners against3.2

Nacional (away)

Corners for4.5

Corners against6.4

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Santa Clara

10 8 8 9 9

Nacional

9 7 9 9 10

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.594%

Under 1.56%

Over 2.583%

Under 2.517%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.4

Yellow Cards per Team

Santa Clara (home)

For3.3

Nacional (away)

For2.7

Shots per Game

Santa Clara — total shots (home)13.1

Nacional — total shots (away)12.3

Shots on Target

Santa Clara — on target (home)4.3

Nacional — on target (away)3.5

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Santa Clara

Inside the box6.97

Outside the box4.21

Nacional

Inside the box7.21

Outside the box6.15

Player Shots Santa Clara

Wendel

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target17%

Serginho

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target14%

+1.5 On Target3%

Ricardinho

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target36%

+1.5 On Target11%

Gabriel Silva

Shots on Target/Game1.2

+0.5 On Target64%

+1.5 On Target12%

Vinícius Lopes

Shots on Target/Game1.2

+0.5 On Target45%

+1.5 On Target9%

Player Shots Nacional

Dudu

Shots on Target/Game1.7

+0.5 On Target27%

+1.5 On Target14%

Paulinho Bóia

Shots on Target/Game1.6

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target13%

N. Thomas

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target22%

+1.5 On Target11%

Daniel Penha

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target40%

+1.5 On Target13%

Rúben Macedo

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target22%

+1.5 On Target4%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Santa Clara xG (home)1.24

Nacional xG (away)1.03

Average Possession

44.47% Possession 47.29%

Team Comparison Santa Clara vs Nacional

74.5% Pass accuracy 76.94%

340 Passes per match 339.32

0.13 Goals prevented 0

16.62 Fouls committed 13.5

2.48 Goalkeeper saves 3.15

1.97 Offsides 1.65

16.29 Tackles per match 15.94

League average xG this season is 1.21 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Santa Clara vs Nacional prediction analysis

Review Santa Clara vs Nacional with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primeira Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primeira Liga

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights