Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Santa Clara vs Sporting CP

Santa Clara vs Sporting CP prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Primeira Liga 2025-11-08 20:30
Santa Clara
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
40%
Confidence
Medium
Score
0-1
Sporting CP
Away

Prediction Summary

1
16%
X
25%
2
59%
Under 2.5
60%
BTTS No
60%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Santa Clara (Home)

Goals scored / match1
Goals conceded / match1
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate35%

Sporting CP (Away)

Goals scored / match2.24
Goals conceded / match0.76
Over 2.5 rate35%
BTTS rate71%

Team Form last 5 matches

Santa Clara
LWDWD
Sporting CP
WWWDD

Goals Comparison rate per team

65% +0.5 100%
35% +1.5 65%
0% +2.5 35%
0% +3.5 24%
0% +4.5 0%
35% BTTS 71%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 40%. Model confidence is Medium.

Santa Clara averages 1 goals scored at home, while Sporting CP averages 2.24 goals scored away.

Model Strength
60%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
16%
Draw
25%
Away Win
59%
Over 2.5
40%
BTTS Yes
40%

Head-to-Head last 5

Apr 2026 Santa Clara(A) 2 - 4 Sporting CP Away
Dec 2025 Santa Clara 2 - 3 Sporting CP Away
Nov 2025 Santa Clara 1 - 2 Sporting CP Away
Apr 2025 Santa Clara 0 - 1 Sporting CP Away
Dec 2024 Santa Clara(A) 1 - 2 Sporting CP Away

In the last 5 meetings, Santa Clara won 0, drew 0 and lost 5.

Current Streaks

Santa Clara — unbeaten run (home)2
Santa Clara — scoring streak (home)2
Sporting CP — winless run (away)0
Sporting CP — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Santa Clara Win (1)16%
Draw (X)25%
Sporting CP Win (2)59%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

65% +0.5 100%
35% +1.5 65%
0% +2.5 35%
0% +3.5 24%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

35% -0.5 0%
65% -1.5 35%
100% -2.5 65%
100% -3.5 76%
100% -4.5 100%

Santa Clara vs Sporting CP — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Santa Clara — scored (home)1
Santa Clara — conceded (home)1
Sporting CP — scored (away)2.24
Sporting CP — conceded (away)0.76
Model expected combined goals2.3

Both Teams To Score

Yes40%
No60%

Rate per Team

Santa Clara — BTTS matches (home)35%
Sporting CP — BTTS matches (away)71%
Combined (simple average)53%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.594%
Under 4.56%
Over 5.588%
Under 5.512%
Over 6.580%
Under 6.520%
Over 7.571%
Under 7.529%
Over 8.565%
Under 8.535%
Over 9.550%
Under 9.550%
Over 10.547%
Under 10.553%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.70

Per-Team Corners own matches

Santa Clara (home)

Corners for4.5
Corners against4.2

Sporting CP (away)

Corners for7.5
Corners against3.2

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Santa Clara
10 5 11 10 13
Sporting CP
9 10 8 11 7

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.5100%
Under 1.50%
Over 2.591%
Under 2.59%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)6.3

Yellow Cards per Team

Santa Clara (home)

For3.4

Sporting CP (away)

For2.7

Shots per Game

Santa Clara — total shots (home)11.6
Sporting CP — total shots (away)16.1

Shots on Target

Santa Clara — on target (home)3.1
Sporting CP — on target (away)6.1

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Santa Clara

Inside the box6.62
Outside the box5.09

Sporting CP

Inside the box11.82
Outside the box5.74

Player Shots Santa Clara

Gabriel Silva
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target55%
+1.5 On Target10%
Vinícius Lopes
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target7%
Gonçalo Paciência
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target8%
Wendel
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target8%
MT
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target17%

Player Shots Sporting CP

L. Suárez
Shots on Target/Game1.9
+0.5 On Target91%
+1.5 On Target50%
Pote
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target33%
C. Harder
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target75%
+1.5 On Target25%
Geny Catamo
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target24%
Trincão
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target15%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Santa Clara xG (home)1.07
Sporting CP xG (away)2.13

Average Possession

48.44% Possession 61.85%

Team Comparison Santa Clara vs Sporting CP

79.29% Pass accuracy 87.56%
368.82 Passes per match 544.06
-0.12 Goals prevented -0.21
14.85 Fouls committed 12.24
2.48 Goalkeeper saves 2.29
1.78 Offsides 1.62
15.56 Tackles per match 15.76

League average xG this season is 1.3 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Santa Clara vs Sporting CP prediction analysis

Review Santa Clara vs Sporting CP with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primeira Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primeira Liga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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