What markets are included in the Santa Fe vs Alianza Valledupar prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Santa Fe vs Alianza Valledupar prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Santa Fe vs Alianza Valledupar

Santa Fe vs Alianza Valledupar prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Primera A 2025-11-14 00:00

Santa Fe

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

39%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-0

Alianza Valledupar

Away

Prediction Summary

46%

28%

26%

Under 2.5

61%

BTTS No

56%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Santa Fe (Home)

Goals scored / match1.19

Goals conceded / match0.81

Over 2.5 rate11%

BTTS rate44%

Alianza Valledupar (Away)

Goals scored / match0.9

Goals conceded / match1.45

Over 2.5 rate10%

BTTS rate40%

Team Form last 5 matches

Santa Fe

DWLLW

Alianza Valledupar

LWWWL

Goals Comparison rate per team

74% +0.5 55%

33% +1.5 25%

11% +2.5 10%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

44% BTTS 40%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 39%. Model confidence is Medium.

Santa Fe averages 1.19 goals scored at home, while Alianza Valledupar averages 0.9 goals scored away.

Model Strength

61%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

46%

Draw

28%

Away Win

26%

Over 2.5

39%

BTTS Yes

44%

Head-to-Head last 2

Nov 2025 Santa Fe 1 - 0 Alianza Valledupar Home

May 2025 Santa Fe(A) 1 - 6 Alianza Valledupar Away

In the last 2 meetings, Santa Fe won 1, drew 0 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Santa Fe — unbeaten run (home)1

Santa Fe — scoring streak (home)0

Alianza Valledupar — winless run (away)1

Alianza Valledupar — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Santa Fe Win (1)46%

Draw (X)28%

Alianza Valledupar Win (2)26%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

74% +0.5 55%

33% +1.5 25%

11% +2.5 10%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

26% -0.5 45%

67% -1.5 75%

89% -2.5 90%

100% -3.5 100%

100% -4.5 100%

Santa Fe vs Alianza Valledupar — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Santa Fe — scored (home)1.19

Santa Fe — conceded (home)0.81

Alianza Valledupar — scored (away)0.9

Alianza Valledupar — conceded (away)1.45

Model expected combined goals2.23

Both Teams To Score

Yes44%

No56%

Rate per Team

Santa Fe — BTTS matches (home)44%

Alianza Valledupar — BTTS matches (away)40%

Combined (simple average)42%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.591%

Under 4.59%

Over 5.587%

Under 5.513%

Over 6.572%

Under 6.528%

Over 7.557%

Under 7.543%

Over 8.547%

Under 8.553%

Over 9.542%

Under 9.558%

Over 10.532%

Under 10.568%

Expected total corners (blended average)8.90

Per-Team Corners own matches

Santa Fe (home)

Corners for5.4

Corners against3.5

Alianza Valledupar (away)

Corners for3.3

Corners against5.5

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Santa Fe

6 8 8 12 7

Alianza Valledupar

16 11 9 10 6

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.598%

Under 0.52%

Over 1.595%

Under 1.55%

Over 2.587%

Under 2.513%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.3

Yellow Cards per Team

Santa Fe (home)

For3.1

Alianza Valledupar (away)

For2.4

Shots per Game

Santa Fe — total shots (home)14.7

Alianza Valledupar — total shots (away)9.9

Shots on Target

Santa Fe — on target (home)4.7

Alianza Valledupar — on target (away)3.3

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Santa Fe

Inside the box7.04

Outside the box5.44

Alianza Valledupar

Inside the box6.4

Outside the box5.8

Player Shots Santa Fe

H. Rodallega

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target81%

+1.5 On Target37%

H. Mosquera

Shots on Target/Game0.9

+0.5 On Target51%

+1.5 On Target22%

A. Zapata

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target46%

+1.5 On Target11%

Y. Perlaza

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target27%

+1.5 On Target9%

O. Fernández

Shots on Target/Game0.3

+0.5 On Target30%

+1.5 On Target5%

Player Shots Alianza Valledupar

C. Lucumi

Shots on Target/Game1.6

+0.5 On Target60%

+1.5 On Target53%

F. Pardo

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target44%

+1.5 On Target15%

E. Torres

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target48%

+1.5 On Target3%

J. Muñoz

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target39%

+1.5 On Target6%

M. Martinez

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target36%

+1.5 On Target9%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Santa Fe xG (home)1.08

Alianza Valledupar xG (away)1.2

Average Possession

48.19% Possession 49.88%

Team Comparison Santa Fe vs Alianza Valledupar

77.09% Pass accuracy 78.53%

334.04 Passes per match 349.75

0 Goals prevented 0

11.52 Fouls committed 12

3.46 Goalkeeper saves 2.55

1.38 Offsides 1.97

10.54 Tackles per match 12.03

League average xG this season is 1.14 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Santa Fe vs Alianza Valledupar prediction analysis

Review Santa Fe vs Alianza Valledupar with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primera A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primera A

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights