What markets are included in the Santa Fe vs Deportes Tolima prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Santa Fe vs Deportes Tolima prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Santa Fe vs Deportes Tolima

Santa Fe vs Deportes Tolima prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

Back to Predictions

Primera A 2025-11-26 00:30

Santa Fe

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

37%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-1

Deportes Tolima

Away

Prediction Summary

37%

29%

34%

Under 2.5

63%

BTTS No

56%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Santa Fe (Home)

Goals scored / match1.19

Goals conceded / match0.81

Over 2.5 rate11%

BTTS rate44%

Deportes Tolima (Away)

Goals scored / match1.26

Goals conceded / match1.04

Over 2.5 rate15%

BTTS rate44%

Team Form last 5 matches

Santa Fe

DWLLW

Deportes Tolima

LLWDW

Goals Comparison rate per team

74% +0.5 74%

33% +1.5 33%

11% +2.5 15%

0% +3.5 4%

0% +4.5 0%

44% BTTS 44%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 37%. Model confidence is Medium.

Santa Fe averages 1.19 goals scored at home, while Deportes Tolima averages 1.26 goals scored away.

Model Strength

63%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

37%

Draw

29%

Away Win

34%

Over 2.5

37%

BTTS Yes

44%

Head-to-Head last 4

Nov 2025 Santa Fe(A) 0 - 1 Deportes Tolima Away

Nov 2025 Santa Fe 1 - 2 Deportes Tolima Away

Jul 2025 Santa Fe(A) 1 - 0 Deportes Tolima Home

Feb 2025 Santa Fe 0 - 0 Deportes Tolima Draw

In the last 4 meetings, Santa Fe won 1, drew 1 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Santa Fe — unbeaten run (home)1

Santa Fe — scoring streak (home)0

Deportes Tolima — winless run (away)2

Deportes Tolima — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Santa Fe Win (1)37%

Draw (X)29%

Deportes Tolima Win (2)34%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

74% +0.5 74%

33% +1.5 33%

11% +2.5 15%

0% +3.5 4%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

26% -0.5 26%

67% -1.5 67%

89% -2.5 85%

100% -3.5 96%

100% -4.5 100%

Santa Fe vs Deportes Tolima — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Santa Fe — scored (home)1.19

Santa Fe — conceded (home)0.81

Deportes Tolima — scored (away)1.26

Deportes Tolima — conceded (away)1.04

Model expected combined goals2.19

Both Teams To Score

Yes44%

No56%

Rate per Team

Santa Fe — BTTS matches (home)44%

Deportes Tolima — BTTS matches (away)44%

Combined (simple average)44%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.595%

Under 4.55%

Over 5.589%

Under 5.511%

Over 6.580%

Under 6.520%

Over 7.567%

Under 7.533%

Over 8.550%

Under 8.550%

Over 9.541%

Under 9.559%

Over 10.530%

Under 10.570%

Expected total corners (blended average)8.90

Per-Team Corners own matches

Santa Fe (home)

Corners for5.4

Corners against3.5

Deportes Tolima (away)

Corners for3.8

Corners against5.1

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Santa Fe

6 8 8 12 7

Deportes Tolima

8 8 8 9 12

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.593%

Under 0.57%

Over 1.584%

Under 1.516%

Over 2.582%

Under 2.518%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.1

Yellow Cards per Team

Santa Fe (home)

For3.1

Deportes Tolima (away)

For2.5

Shots per Game

Santa Fe — total shots (home)14.7

Deportes Tolima — total shots (away)10.8

Shots on Target

Santa Fe — on target (home)4.7

Deportes Tolima — on target (away)4.0

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Santa Fe

Inside the box7.04

Outside the box5.44

Deportes Tolima

Inside the box7.02

Outside the box5.72

Player Shots Santa Fe

H. Rodallega

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target81%

+1.5 On Target37%

H. Mosquera

Shots on Target/Game0.9

+0.5 On Target51%

+1.5 On Target22%

A. Zapata

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target46%

+1.5 On Target11%

Y. Perlaza

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target27%

+1.5 On Target9%

O. Fernández

Shots on Target/Game0.3

+0.5 On Target30%

+1.5 On Target5%

Player Shots Deportes Tolima

G. Lencina

Shots on Target/Game1

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target29%

G. Ramírez

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target30%

+1.5 On Target20%

M. Gonzalez

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target46%

+1.5 On Target12%

J. P. Torres Patino

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target44%

+1.5 On Target8%

A. Parra

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target36%

+1.5 On Target10%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Santa Fe xG (home)1.08

Deportes Tolima xG (away)1.26

Average Possession

48.19% Possession 53.69%

Team Comparison Santa Fe vs Deportes Tolima

77.09% Pass accuracy 81.54%

334.04 Passes per match 409.22

0 Goals prevented 0

11.52 Fouls committed 10.46

3.46 Goalkeeper saves 2.5

1.38 Offsides 1.42

10.54 Tackles per match 11.89

League average xG this season is 1.14 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Santa Fe vs Deportes Tolima prediction analysis

Review Santa Fe vs Deportes Tolima with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primera A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primera A

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights