Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Santa Fe vs Deportivo Cali

Santa Fe vs Deportivo Cali prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Primera A 2025-11-10 01:30
Santa Fe
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
35%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
Deportivo Cali
Away

Prediction Summary

1
43%
X
30%
2
28%
Under 2.5
65%
BTTS No
59%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Santa Fe (Home)

Goals scored / match1.19
Goals conceded / match0.81
Over 2.5 rate11%
BTTS rate44%

Deportivo Cali (Away)

Goals scored / match0.85
Goals conceded / match1.2
Over 2.5 rate15%
BTTS rate35%

Team Form last 5 matches

Santa Fe
DWLLW
Deportivo Cali
DLLLL

Goals Comparison rate per team

74% +0.5 45%
33% +1.5 20%
11% +2.5 15%
0% +3.5 5%
0% +4.5 0%
44% BTTS 35%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 35%. Model confidence is Medium.

Santa Fe averages 1.19 goals scored at home, while Deportivo Cali averages 0.85 goals scored away.

Model Strength
65%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
43%
Draw
30%
Away Win
28%
Over 2.5
35%
BTTS Yes
41%

Head-to-Head last 2

Nov 2025 Santa Fe 1 - 0 Deportivo Cali Home
May 2025 Santa Fe(A) 2 - 0 Deportivo Cali Home

In the last 2 meetings, Santa Fe won 2, drew 0 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Santa Fe — unbeaten run (home)1
Santa Fe — scoring streak (home)0
Deportivo Cali — winless run (away)4
Deportivo Cali — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Santa Fe Win (1)43%
Draw (X)30%
Deportivo Cali Win (2)28%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

74% +0.5 45%
33% +1.5 20%
11% +2.5 15%
0% +3.5 5%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

26% -0.5 55%
67% -1.5 80%
89% -2.5 85%
100% -3.5 95%
100% -4.5 100%

Santa Fe vs Deportivo Cali — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Santa Fe — scored (home)1.19
Santa Fe — conceded (home)0.81
Deportivo Cali — scored (away)0.85
Deportivo Cali — conceded (away)1.2
Model expected combined goals2.1

Both Teams To Score

Yes41%
No59%

Rate per Team

Santa Fe — BTTS matches (home)44%
Deportivo Cali — BTTS matches (away)35%
Combined (simple average)39.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.598%
Under 4.52%
Over 5.595%
Under 5.55%
Over 6.585%
Under 6.515%
Over 7.562%
Under 7.538%
Over 8.552%
Under 8.548%
Over 9.547%
Under 9.553%
Over 10.534%
Under 10.566%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.20

Per-Team Corners own matches

Santa Fe (home)

Corners for5.4
Corners against3.5

Deportivo Cali (away)

Corners for4.5
Corners against4.9

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Santa Fe
6 8 8 12 7
Deportivo Cali
5 8 9 16 6

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.598%
Under 0.52%
Over 1.592%
Under 1.58%
Over 2.592%
Under 2.58%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)6.1

Yellow Cards per Team

Santa Fe (home)

For3.1

Deportivo Cali (away)

For3.0

Shots per Game

Santa Fe — total shots (home)14.7
Deportivo Cali — total shots (away)10.1

Shots on Target

Santa Fe — on target (home)4.7
Deportivo Cali — on target (away)3.5

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Santa Fe

Inside the box7.04
Outside the box5.44

Deportivo Cali

Inside the box6.69
Outside the box4.79

Player Shots Santa Fe

H. Rodallega
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target81%
+1.5 On Target37%
H. Mosquera
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target51%
+1.5 On Target22%
A. Zapata
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target46%
+1.5 On Target11%
Y. Perlaza
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target27%
+1.5 On Target9%
O. Fernández
Shots on Target/Game0.3
+0.5 On Target30%
+1.5 On Target5%

Player Shots Deportivo Cali

J. Martinez
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target79%
+1.5 On Target36%
E. Rodríguez
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target29%
A. Estupinan
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target54%
+1.5 On Target20%
A. Hurtado
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target24%
J. Barrera
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target12%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Santa Fe xG (home)1.08
Deportivo Cali xG (away)1.11

Average Possession

48.19% Possession 51.1%

Team Comparison Santa Fe vs Deportivo Cali

77.09% Pass accuracy 78%
334.04 Passes per match 351.97
0 Goals prevented 0
11.52 Fouls committed 13.64
3.46 Goalkeeper saves 2.56
1.38 Offsides 1.97
10.54 Tackles per match 14.03

League average xG this season is 1.14 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Santa Fe vs Deportivo Cali prediction analysis

Review Santa Fe vs Deportivo Cali with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primera A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primera A
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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