Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Santa Fe vs Junior

Santa Fe vs Junior prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Primera A 2025-05-11 00:20
Santa Fe
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
32%
Confidence
Medium
Score
0-0
Junior
Away

Prediction Summary

1
34%
X
31%
2
35%
Under 2.5
68%
BTTS No
61%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Santa Fe (Home)

Goals scored / match1.19
Goals conceded / match0.81
Over 2.5 rate11%
BTTS rate44%

Junior (Away)

Goals scored / match1.15
Goals conceded / match1.26
Over 2.5 rate11%
BTTS rate56%

Team Form last 5 matches

Santa Fe
DWLLW
Junior
WWLWW

Goals Comparison rate per team

74% +0.5 78%
33% +1.5 26%
11% +2.5 11%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
44% BTTS 56%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 32%. Model confidence is Medium.

Santa Fe averages 1.19 goals scored at home, while Junior averages 1.15 goals scored away.

Model Strength
68%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
34%
Draw
31%
Away Win
35%
Over 2.5
32%
BTTS Yes
39%

Head-to-Head last 2

Oct 2025 Santa Fe(A) 2 - 1 Junior Home
May 2025 Santa Fe 2 - 1 Junior Home

In the last 2 meetings, Santa Fe won 2, drew 0 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Santa Fe — unbeaten run (home)1
Santa Fe — scoring streak (home)0
Junior — winless run (away)0
Junior — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Santa Fe Win (1)34%
Draw (X)31%
Junior Win (2)35%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

74% +0.5 78%
33% +1.5 26%
11% +2.5 11%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

26% -0.5 22%
67% -1.5 74%
89% -2.5 89%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Santa Fe vs Junior — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Santa Fe — scored (home)1.19
Santa Fe — conceded (home)0.81
Junior — scored (away)1.15
Junior — conceded (away)1.26
Model expected combined goals1.98

Both Teams To Score

Yes39%
No61%

Rate per Team

Santa Fe — BTTS matches (home)44%
Junior — BTTS matches (away)56%
Combined (simple average)50%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.598%
Under 4.52%
Over 5.591%
Under 5.59%
Over 6.580%
Under 6.520%
Over 7.561%
Under 7.539%
Over 8.548%
Under 8.552%
Over 9.539%
Under 9.561%
Over 10.532%
Under 10.568%
Expected total corners (blended average)8.80

Per-Team Corners own matches

Santa Fe (home)

Corners for5.4
Corners against3.5

Junior (away)

Corners for3.7
Corners against5.0

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Santa Fe
6 8 8 12 7
Junior
9 6 7 9 12

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.598%
Under 0.52%
Over 1.595%
Under 1.55%
Over 2.591%
Under 2.59%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.8

Yellow Cards per Team

Santa Fe (home)

For3.1

Junior (away)

For2.6

Shots per Game

Santa Fe — total shots (home)14.7
Junior — total shots (away)9.9

Shots on Target

Santa Fe — on target (home)4.7
Junior — on target (away)3.1

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Santa Fe

Inside the box7.04
Outside the box5.44

Junior

Inside the box7.07
Outside the box4.57

Player Shots Santa Fe

H. Rodallega
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target81%
+1.5 On Target37%
H. Mosquera
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target51%
+1.5 On Target22%
A. Zapata
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target46%
+1.5 On Target11%
Y. Perlaza
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target27%
+1.5 On Target9%
O. Fernández
Shots on Target/Game0.3
+0.5 On Target30%
+1.5 On Target5%

Player Shots Junior

B. Castrillón
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target51%
+1.5 On Target15%
G. Paiva
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target49%
+1.5 On Target15%
Titi
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target6%
J. Barrera
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target7%
J. Enamorado
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target34%
+1.5 On Target6%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Santa Fe xG (home)1.08
Junior xG (away)1.39

Average Possession

48.19% Possession 52.17%

Team Comparison Santa Fe vs Junior

77.09% Pass accuracy 78.93%
334.04 Passes per match 379.17
0 Goals prevented 0
11.52 Fouls committed 10.2
3.46 Goalkeeper saves 3.54
1.38 Offsides 1.55
10.54 Tackles per match 12.63

League average xG this season is 1.14 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Santa Fe vs Junior prediction analysis

Review Santa Fe vs Junior with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primera A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primera A
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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