Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Santa Fe vs Millonarios

Santa Fe vs Millonarios prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Primera A 2025-10-25 23:20
Santa Fe
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
41%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Millonarios
Away

Prediction Summary

1
43%
X
28%
2
30%
Under 2.5
59%
BTTS No
53%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Santa Fe (Home)

Goals scored / match1.19
Goals conceded / match0.81
Over 2.5 rate11%
BTTS rate44%

Millonarios (Away)

Goals scored / match1.17
Goals conceded / match1.26
Over 2.5 rate4%
BTTS rate48%

Team Form last 5 matches

Santa Fe
DWLLW
Millonarios
WDDWD

Goals Comparison rate per team

74% +0.5 74%
33% +1.5 39%
11% +2.5 4%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
44% BTTS 48%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 41%. Model confidence is Medium.

Santa Fe averages 1.19 goals scored at home, while Millonarios averages 1.17 goals scored away.

Model Strength
59%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
43%
Draw
28%
Away Win
30%
Over 2.5
41%
BTTS Yes
47%

Head-to-Head last 5

Oct 2025 Santa Fe 0 - 1 Millonarios Away
Sep 2025 Santa Fe(A) 0 - 0 Millonarios Draw
Jun 2025 Santa Fe(A) 2 - 1 Millonarios Home
Jun 2025 Santa Fe 0 - 1 Millonarios Away
Mar 2025 Santa Fe(A) 0 - 2 Millonarios Away

In the last 5 meetings, Santa Fe won 1, drew 1 and lost 3.

Current Streaks

Santa Fe — unbeaten run (home)1
Santa Fe — scoring streak (home)0
Millonarios — winless run (away)0
Millonarios — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Santa Fe Win (1)43%
Draw (X)28%
Millonarios Win (2)30%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

74% +0.5 74%
33% +1.5 39%
11% +2.5 4%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

26% -0.5 26%
67% -1.5 61%
89% -2.5 96%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Santa Fe vs Millonarios — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Santa Fe — scored (home)1.19
Santa Fe — conceded (home)0.81
Millonarios — scored (away)1.17
Millonarios — conceded (away)1.26
Model expected combined goals2.32

Both Teams To Score

Yes47%
No53%

Rate per Team

Santa Fe — BTTS matches (home)44%
Millonarios — BTTS matches (away)48%
Combined (simple average)46%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.596%
Under 4.54%
Over 5.588%
Under 5.512%
Over 6.570%
Under 6.530%
Over 7.551%
Under 7.549%
Over 8.542%
Under 8.558%
Over 9.537%
Under 9.563%
Over 10.530%
Under 10.570%
Expected total corners (blended average)8.70

Per-Team Corners own matches

Santa Fe (home)

Corners for5.4
Corners against3.5

Millonarios (away)

Corners for3.5
Corners against5.0

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Santa Fe
6 8 8 12 7
Millonarios
10 6 14 6 2

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.598%
Under 0.52%
Over 1.595%
Under 1.55%
Over 2.595%
Under 2.55%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)6.3

Yellow Cards per Team

Santa Fe (home)

For3.1

Millonarios (away)

For3.5

Shots per Game

Santa Fe — total shots (home)14.7
Millonarios — total shots (away)11.7

Shots on Target

Santa Fe — on target (home)4.7
Millonarios — on target (away)4.7

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Santa Fe

Inside the box7.04
Outside the box5.44

Millonarios

Inside the box7.33
Outside the box6.74

Player Shots Santa Fe

H. Rodallega
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target81%
+1.5 On Target37%
H. Mosquera
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target51%
+1.5 On Target22%
A. Zapata
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target46%
+1.5 On Target11%
Y. Perlaza
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target27%
+1.5 On Target9%
O. Fernández
Shots on Target/Game0.3
+0.5 On Target30%
+1.5 On Target5%

Player Shots Millonarios

Beckham Castro
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target21%
J. Cabezas
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target54%
+1.5 On Target31%
D. Ruiz
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target58%
+1.5 On Target19%
R. Falcao
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target17%
L. Castro
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target26%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Santa Fe xG (home)1.08
Millonarios xG (away)1.14

Average Possession

48.19% Possession 51.83%

Team Comparison Santa Fe vs Millonarios

77.09% Pass accuracy 80.8%
334.04 Passes per match 372.59
0 Goals prevented 0
11.52 Fouls committed 11.65
3.46 Goalkeeper saves 2.78
1.38 Offsides 1.8
10.54 Tackles per match 13.87

League average xG this season is 1.14 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Santa Fe vs Millonarios prediction analysis

Review Santa Fe vs Millonarios with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primera A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primera A
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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