What markets are included in the Santos vs Chapecoense-sc prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Santos vs Chapecoense-sc prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Santos vs Chapecoense-sc

Santos vs Chapecoense-sc prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie A 2026-07-25 21:30

Santos

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Home Win

Pick

Santos

Probability

65%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-0

Chapecoense-sc

Away

Prediction Summary

65%

24%

11%

Under 2.5

64%

BTTS No

68%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Santos (Home)

Goals scored / match1.26

Goals conceded / match1

Over 2.5 rate21%

BTTS rate42%

Chapecoense-sc (Away)

Goals scored / match0

Goals conceded / match2

Over 2.5 rate0%

BTTS rate0%

Team Form last 5 matches

Santos

LWWWD

Chapecoense-sc

Goals Comparison rate per team

74% +0.5 0%

32% +1.5 0%

21% +2.5 0%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

42% BTTS 0%

Model Insight

The selected market is Home Win with a probability of 65%. Model confidence is Medium.

Santos averages 1.26 goals scored at home, while Chapecoense-sc averages 0 goals scored away.

Model Strength

68%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

65%

Draw

24%

Away Win

11%

Over 2.5

36%

BTTS Yes

32%

Head-to-Head last 5

Oct 2024 Santos(A) 2 - 3 Chapecoense-sc Away

Jul 2024 Santos 1 - 0 Chapecoense-sc Home

Nov 2021 Santos 2 - 0 Chapecoense-sc Home

Aug 2021 Santos(A) 1 - 0 Chapecoense-sc Home

Dec 2019 Santos 2 - 0 Chapecoense-sc Home

In the last 5 meetings, Santos won 4, drew 0 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Santos — unbeaten run (home)5

Santos — scoring streak (home)5

Chapecoense-sc — winless run (away)1

Chapecoense-sc — clean sheets (away, last 1)0 of 1

1X2 Probability model

Santos Win (1)65%

Draw (X)24%

Chapecoense-sc Win (2)11%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

74% +0.5 0%

32% +1.5 0%

21% +2.5 0%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

26% -0.5 100%

68% -1.5 100%

79% -2.5 100%

100% -3.5 100%

100% -4.5 100%

Santos vs Chapecoense-sc — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Santos — scored (home)1.26

Santos — conceded (home)1

Chapecoense-sc — scored (away)0

Chapecoense-sc — conceded (away)2

Model expected combined goals2.13

Both Teams To Score

Yes32%

No68%

Rate per Team

Santos — BTTS matches (home)42%

Chapecoense-sc — BTTS matches (away)0%

Combined (simple average)21%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.563%

Under 8.537%

Over 9.553%

Under 9.547%

Over 10.543%

Under 10.557%

Expected total corners (model prediction)10.10

Per-Team Corners own matches

Santos (home)

Corners for6.1

Corners against4.4

Chapecoense-sc (away)

Corners forâ€”

Corners againstâ€”

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Santos

5 12 8 12 10

Chapecoense-sc

15 8

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.5100%

Under 1.50%

Over 2.545%

Under 2.555%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.7

Yellow Cards per Team

Santos (home)

For2.5

Chapecoense-sc (away)

Forâ€”

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.579%

Under 19.521%

Over 22.566%

Under 22.534%

Over 25.551%

Under 25.549%

Expected total shots26.53

Santos

Shots Over 9.587%

Shots Over 11.575%

Shots Over 13.561%

Expected shots15.48

On Target Over 3.571%

On Target Over 4.555%

On Target Over 5.540%

Expected on target5.08

Chapecoense-sc

Shots Over 9.561%

Shots Over 11.542%

Shots Over 13.527%

Expected shots11.05

On Target Over 3.550%

On Target Over 4.532%

On Target Over 5.519%

Expected on target3.73

Shots per Game

Santos — total shots (home)16.1

Chapecoense-sc — total shots (away)â€”

Shots on Target

Santos — on target (home)4.8

Chapecoense-sc — on target (away)â€”

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Santos

Inside the box8.05

Outside the box5.13

Chapecoense-sc

Inside the box-

Outside the box-

Player Shots Santos

Neymar

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target65%

+1.5 On Target35%

Guilherme

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target56%

+1.5 On Target13%

Á. Barreal

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target43%

+1.5 On Target17%

B. Rollheiser

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target30%

+1.5 On Target16%

Victor Hugo

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target44%

+1.5 On Target0%

Player Shots Chapecoense-sc

Not enough dataNot enough player match statistics for this squad.

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Santos xG (home)1.25

Chapecoense-sc xG (away)-

Average Possession

49.68% Possession -%

Team Comparison Santos vs Chapecoense-sc

82.87% Pass accuracy 0%

394.58 Passes per match -

-0.02 Goals prevented -

13.74 Fouls committed -

3.42 Goalkeeper saves -

1.68 Offsides -

18.08 Tackles per match 17

League average xG this season is 1.23 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Santos vs Chapecoense-sc prediction analysis

Review Santos vs Chapecoense-sc with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights