What markets are included in the Santos vs Cruzeiro prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Santos vs Cruzeiro prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Santos vs Cruzeiro

Santos vs Cruzeiro prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie A 2025-12-07 19:00

Santos

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

34%

Confidence

Medium

Score

0-1

Cruzeiro

Away

Prediction Summary

32%

30%

38%

Under 2.5

66%

BTTS No

59%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Santos (Home)

Goals scored / match1.26

Goals conceded / match1

Over 2.5 rate21%

BTTS rate42%

Cruzeiro (Away)

Goals scored / match1.05

Goals conceded / match0.89

Over 2.5 rate11%

BTTS rate32%

Team Form last 5 matches

Santos

WWWDD

Cruzeiro

LDDWD

Goals Comparison rate per team

74% +0.5 58%

32% +1.5 32%

21% +2.5 11%

0% +3.5 5%

0% +4.5 0%

42% BTTS 32%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 34%. Model confidence is Medium.

Santos averages 1.26 goals scored at home, while Cruzeiro averages 1.05 goals scored away.

Model Strength

66%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

32%

Draw

30%

Away Win

38%

Over 2.5

34%

BTTS Yes

41%

Head-to-Head last 5

Dec 2025 Santos 3 - 0 Cruzeiro Home

Aug 2025 Santos(A) 2 - 1 Cruzeiro Home

Sep 2023 Santos 0 - 3 Cruzeiro Away

May 2023 Santos(A) 1 - 2 Cruzeiro Away

Nov 2019 Santos 4 - 1 Cruzeiro Home

In the last 5 meetings, Santos won 3, drew 0 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Santos — unbeaten run (home)5

Santos — scoring streak (home)5

Cruzeiro — winless run (away)3

Cruzeiro — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Santos Win (1)32%

Draw (X)30%

Cruzeiro Win (2)38%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

74% +0.5 58%

32% +1.5 32%

21% +2.5 11%

0% +3.5 5%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

26% -0.5 42%

68% -1.5 68%

79% -2.5 89%

100% -3.5 95%

100% -4.5 100%

Santos vs Cruzeiro — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Santos — scored (home)1.26

Santos — conceded (home)1

Cruzeiro — scored (away)1.05

Cruzeiro — conceded (away)0.89

Model expected combined goals2.06

Both Teams To Score

Yes41%

No59%

Rate per Team

Santos — BTTS matches (home)42%

Cruzeiro — BTTS matches (away)32%

Combined (simple average)37%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.598%

Under 4.52%

Over 5.598%

Under 5.52%

Over 6.587%

Under 6.513%

Over 7.582%

Under 7.518%

Over 8.582%

Under 8.518%

Over 9.569%

Under 9.531%

Over 10.561%

Under 10.539%

Expected total corners (blended average)10.50

Per-Team Corners own matches

Santos (home)

Corners for6.1

Corners against4.4

Cruzeiro (away)

Corners for5.0

Corners against5.5

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Santos

12 5 12 8 12

Cruzeiro

12 12 13 8 12

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.598%

Under 1.52%

Over 2.589%

Under 2.511%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.4

Yellow Cards per Team

Santos (home)

For2.5

Cruzeiro (away)

For2.8

Shots per Game

Santos — total shots (home)16.1

Cruzeiro — total shots (away)12.1

Shots on Target

Santos — on target (home)4.8

Cruzeiro — on target (away)4.0

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Santos

Inside the box8.05

Outside the box5.13

Cruzeiro

Inside the box7.76

Outside the box5.82

Player Shots Santos

Neymar

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target65%

+1.5 On Target35%

Guilherme

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target56%

+1.5 On Target13%

Á. Barreal

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target41%

+1.5 On Target15%

B. Rollheiser

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target31%

+1.5 On Target17%

Victor Hugo

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target44%

+1.5 On Target0%

Player Shots Cruzeiro

Kaio Jorge

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target79%

+1.5 On Target33%

K. Arroyo

Shots on Target/Game0.9

+0.5 On Target58%

+1.5 On Target25%

Matheus Pereira

Shots on Target/Game0.9

+0.5 On Target62%

+1.5 On Target21%

Gabriel Barbosa

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target17%

Christian

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target37%

+1.5 On Target7%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Santos xG (home)1.25

Cruzeiro xG (away)1.27

Average Possession

49.68% Possession 47.87%

Team Comparison Santos vs Cruzeiro

82.87% Pass accuracy 81.05%

394.58 Passes per match 363.13

-0.02 Goals prevented 0.12

13.74 Fouls committed 13.66

3.42 Goalkeeper saves 3.18

1.68 Offsides 1.5

17.89 Tackles per match 16.32

League average xG this season is 1.23 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Santos vs Cruzeiro prediction analysis

Review Santos vs Cruzeiro with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights