What markets are included in the Santos vs Fortaleza EC prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Santos vs Fortaleza EC prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Santos vs Fortaleza EC

Santos vs Fortaleza EC prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie A 2025-11-01 19:00

Santos

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

43%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-0

Fortaleza EC

Away

Prediction Summary

49%

26%

25%

Under 2.5

57%

BTTS No

53%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Santos (Home)

Goals scored / match1.26

Goals conceded / match1

Over 2.5 rate21%

BTTS rate42%

Fortaleza EC (Away)

Goals scored / match1.05

Goals conceded / match1.84

Over 2.5 rate11%

BTTS rate68%

Team Form last 5 matches

Santos

WWWDD

Fortaleza EC

LWWWW

Goals Comparison rate per team

74% +0.5 74%

32% +1.5 21%

21% +2.5 11%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

42% BTTS 68%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 43%. Model confidence is Medium.

Santos averages 1.26 goals scored at home, while Fortaleza EC averages 1.05 goals scored away.

Model Strength

57%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

49%

Draw

26%

Away Win

25%

Over 2.5

43%

BTTS Yes

47%

Head-to-Head last 5

Nov 2025 Santos 1 - 1 Fortaleza EC Draw

Jun 2025 Santos(A) 3 - 2 Fortaleza EC Home

Dec 2023 Santos 1 - 2 Fortaleza EC Away

Aug 2023 Santos(A) 0 - 4 Fortaleza EC Away

Nov 2022 Santos 0 - 2 Fortaleza EC Away

In the last 5 meetings, Santos won 1, drew 1 and lost 3.

Current Streaks

Santos — unbeaten run (home)5

Santos — scoring streak (home)5

Fortaleza EC — winless run (away)1

Fortaleza EC — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Santos Win (1)49%

Draw (X)26%

Fortaleza EC Win (2)25%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

74% +0.5 74%

32% +1.5 21%

21% +2.5 11%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

26% -0.5 26%

68% -1.5 79%

79% -2.5 89%

100% -3.5 100%

100% -4.5 100%

Santos vs Fortaleza EC — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Santos — scored (home)1.26

Santos — conceded (home)1

Fortaleza EC — scored (away)1.05

Fortaleza EC — conceded (away)1.84

Model expected combined goals2.41

Both Teams To Score

Yes47%

No53%

Rate per Team

Santos — BTTS matches (home)42%

Fortaleza EC — BTTS matches (away)68%

Combined (simple average)55%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.598%

Under 4.52%

Over 5.598%

Under 5.52%

Over 6.589%

Under 6.511%

Over 7.582%

Under 7.518%

Over 8.577%

Under 8.523%

Over 9.555%

Under 9.545%

Over 10.548%

Under 10.552%

Expected total corners (blended average)10.30

Per-Team Corners own matches

Santos (home)

Corners for6.1

Corners against4.4

Fortaleza EC (away)

Corners for4.5

Corners against5.6

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Santos

12 5 12 8 12

Fortaleza EC

12 11 11 7 4

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.5100%

Under 1.50%

Over 2.579%

Under 2.521%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.8

Yellow Cards per Team

Santos (home)

For2.5

Fortaleza EC (away)

For2.6

Shots per Game

Santos — total shots (home)16.1

Fortaleza EC — total shots (away)10.5

Shots on Target

Santos — on target (home)4.8

Fortaleza EC — on target (away)3.7

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Santos

Inside the box8.05

Outside the box5.13

Fortaleza EC

Inside the box7.63

Outside the box5.26

Player Shots Santos

Neymar

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target65%

+1.5 On Target35%

Guilherme

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target56%

+1.5 On Target13%

Á. Barreal

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target41%

+1.5 On Target15%

B. Rollheiser

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target31%

+1.5 On Target17%

Victor Hugo

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target44%

+1.5 On Target0%

Player Shots Fortaleza EC

A. Bareiro

Shots on Target/Game0.9

+0.5 On Target71%

+1.5 On Target19%

Breno Lopes

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target9%

J. Herrera

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target47%

+1.5 On Target11%

T. Pochettino

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target35%

+1.5 On Target19%

Deyverson

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target11%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Santos xG (home)1.25

Fortaleza EC xG (away)1.19

Average Possession

49.68% Possession 44.18%

Team Comparison Santos vs Fortaleza EC

82.87% Pass accuracy 79.24%

394.58 Passes per match 354.39

-0.02 Goals prevented 0.01

13.74 Fouls committed 14.18

3.42 Goalkeeper saves 3.63

1.68 Offsides 2.06

17.89 Tackles per match 17.79

League average xG this season is 1.23 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Santos vs Fortaleza EC prediction analysis

Review Santos vs Fortaleza EC with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights