Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Santos vs Juventude

Santos vs Juventude prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie A 2025-08-04 23:00
Santos
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
53%
Confidence
High
Score
2-0
Juventude
Away

Prediction Summary

1
75%
X
17%
2
8%
Over 2.5
53%
BTTS No
61%
Confidence
High

Market Evidence

Santos (Home)

Goals scored / match1.26
Goals conceded / match1
Over 2.5 rate21%
BTTS rate42%

Juventude (Away)

Goals scored / match0.74
Goals conceded / match2.26
Over 2.5 rate5%
BTTS rate42%

Team Form last 5 matches

Santos
WWWDD
Juventude
DLDLD

Goals Comparison rate per team

74% +0.5 53%
32% +1.5 16%
21% +2.5 5%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
42% BTTS 42%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 53%. Model confidence is High.

Santos averages 1.26 goals scored at home, while Juventude averages 0.74 goals scored away.

Model Strength
75%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
75%
Draw
17%
Away Win
8%
Over 2.5
53%
BTTS Yes
39%

Head-to-Head last 5

Dec 2025 Santos(A) 3 - 0 Juventude Home
Aug 2025 Santos 3 - 1 Juventude Home
Oct 2022 Santos 4 - 1 Juventude Home
Jun 2022 Santos(A) 2 - 1 Juventude Home
Sep 2021 Santos(A) 0 - 3 Juventude Away

In the last 5 meetings, Santos won 4, drew 0 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Santos — unbeaten run (home)5
Santos — scoring streak (home)5
Juventude — winless run (away)2
Juventude — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Santos Win (1)75%
Draw (X)17%
Juventude Win (2)8%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

74% +0.5 53%
32% +1.5 16%
21% +2.5 5%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

26% -0.5 47%
68% -1.5 84%
79% -2.5 95%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Santos vs Juventude — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Santos — scored (home)1.26
Santos — conceded (home)1
Juventude — scored (away)0.74
Juventude — conceded (away)2.26
Model expected combined goals2.79

Both Teams To Score

Yes39%
No61%

Rate per Team

Santos — BTTS matches (home)42%
Juventude — BTTS matches (away)42%
Combined (simple average)42%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.598%
Under 4.52%
Over 5.598%
Under 5.52%
Over 6.582%
Under 6.518%
Over 7.574%
Under 7.526%
Over 8.569%
Under 8.531%
Over 9.553%
Under 9.547%
Over 10.543%
Under 10.557%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.60

Per-Team Corners own matches

Santos (home)

Corners for6.1
Corners against4.4

Juventude (away)

Corners for3.8
Corners against5.0

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Santos
12 5 12 8 12
Juventude
12 11 11 8 11

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.598%
Under 1.52%
Over 2.589%
Under 2.511%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.4

Yellow Cards per Team

Santos (home)

For2.5

Juventude (away)

For3.2

Shots per Game

Santos — total shots (home)16.1
Juventude — total shots (away)9.3

Shots on Target

Santos — on target (home)4.8
Juventude — on target (away)2.8

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Santos

Inside the box8.05
Outside the box5.13

Juventude

Inside the box6.47
Outside the box4.42

Player Shots Santos

Neymar
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target65%
+1.5 On Target35%
Guilherme
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target56%
+1.5 On Target13%
Á. Barreal
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target41%
+1.5 On Target15%
B. Rollheiser
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target31%
+1.5 On Target17%
Victor Hugo
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target0%

Player Shots Juventude

Edison Negueba
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target20%
Gabriel Taliari
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target35%
+1.5 On Target15%
E. Batalla
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target5%
Mandaca
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target9%
Nenê
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target32%
+1.5 On Target12%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Santos xG (home)1.25
Juventude xG (away)0.85

Average Possession

49.68% Possession 42.82%

Team Comparison Santos vs Juventude

82.87% Pass accuracy 80.89%
394.58 Passes per match 339
-0.02 Goals prevented -0.18
13.74 Fouls committed 15.89
3.42 Goalkeeper saves 3.42
1.68 Offsides 1.86
17.89 Tackles per match 15.82

League average xG this season is 1.23 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Santos vs Juventude prediction analysis

Review Santos vs Juventude with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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