What markets are included in the Santos vs Mirassol prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Santos vs Mirassol prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Santos vs Mirassol

Santos vs Mirassol prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie A 2025-11-20 00:30

Santos

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

39%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-1

Mirassol

Away

Prediction Summary

36%

29%

36%

Under 2.5

61%

BTTS No

54%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Santos (Home)

Goals scored / match1.26

Goals conceded / match1

Over 2.5 rate21%

BTTS rate42%

Mirassol (Away)

Goals scored / match1.11

Goals conceded / match1.16

Over 2.5 rate5%

BTTS rate47%

Team Form last 5 matches

Santos

WWWDD

Mirassol

DWLWD

Goals Comparison rate per team

74% +0.5 74%

32% +1.5 32%

21% +2.5 5%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

42% BTTS 47%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 39%. Model confidence is Medium.

Santos averages 1.26 goals scored at home, while Mirassol averages 1.11 goals scored away.

Model Strength

61%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

36%

Draw

29%

Away Win

36%

Over 2.5

39%

BTTS Yes

46%

Head-to-Head last 4

Nov 2025 Santos 1 - 1 Mirassol Draw

Jul 2025 Santos(A) 0 - 3 Mirassol Away

Oct 2024 Santos 3 - 2 Mirassol Home

Jun 2024 Santos(A) 0 - 0 Mirassol Draw

In the last 4 meetings, Santos won 1, drew 2 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Santos — unbeaten run (home)5

Santos — scoring streak (home)5

Mirassol — winless run (away)0

Mirassol — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Santos Win (1)36%

Draw (X)29%

Mirassol Win (2)36%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

74% +0.5 74%

32% +1.5 32%

21% +2.5 5%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

26% -0.5 26%

68% -1.5 68%

79% -2.5 95%

100% -3.5 100%

100% -4.5 100%

Santos vs Mirassol — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Santos — scored (home)1.26

Santos — conceded (home)1

Mirassol — scored (away)1.11

Mirassol — conceded (away)1.16

Model expected combined goals2.25

Both Teams To Score

Yes46%

No54%

Rate per Team

Santos — BTTS matches (home)42%

Mirassol — BTTS matches (away)47%

Combined (simple average)44.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%

Under 4.50%

Over 5.5100%

Under 5.50%

Over 6.595%

Under 6.55%

Over 7.587%

Under 7.513%

Over 8.571%

Under 8.529%

Over 9.558%

Under 9.542%

Over 10.550%

Under 10.550%

Expected total corners (blended average)10.80

Per-Team Corners own matches

Santos (home)

Corners for6.1

Corners against4.4

Mirassol (away)

Corners for4.7

Corners against6.4

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Santos

12 5 12 8 12

Mirassol

12 18 12 11 5

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.5100%

Under 1.50%

Over 2.592%

Under 2.58%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.2

Yellow Cards per Team

Santos (home)

For2.5

Mirassol (away)

For2.5

Shots per Game

Santos — total shots (home)16.1

Mirassol — total shots (away)13.0

Shots on Target

Santos — on target (home)4.8

Mirassol — on target (away)4.0

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Santos

Inside the box8.05

Outside the box5.13

Mirassol

Inside the box8.61

Outside the box5.16

Player Shots Santos

Neymar

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target65%

+1.5 On Target35%

Guilherme

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target56%

+1.5 On Target13%

Á. Barreal

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target41%

+1.5 On Target15%

B. Rollheiser

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target31%

+1.5 On Target17%

Victor Hugo

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target44%

+1.5 On Target0%

Player Shots Mirassol

Reinaldo

Shots on Target/Game0.9

+0.5 On Target56%

+1.5 On Target21%

Renato Marques

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target17%

Gabriel

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target40%

+1.5 On Target12%

Cristian

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target44%

+1.5 On Target16%

Negueba

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target52%

+1.5 On Target9%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Santos xG (home)1.25

Mirassol xG (away)1.49

Average Possession

49.68% Possession 50.89%

Team Comparison Santos vs Mirassol

82.87% Pass accuracy 83.97%

394.58 Passes per match 422.24

-0.02 Goals prevented -0.08

13.74 Fouls committed 12.18

3.42 Goalkeeper saves 3.46

1.68 Offsides 1.84

17.89 Tackles per match 15.13

League average xG this season is 1.23 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Santos vs Mirassol prediction analysis

Review Santos vs Mirassol with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights