What markets are included in the Santos vs Palmeiras prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Santos vs Palmeiras prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Santos vs Palmeiras

Santos vs Palmeiras prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie A 2025-11-16 00:00

Santos

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

45%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-1

Palmeiras

Away

Prediction Summary

30%

27%

43%

Under 2.5

55%

BTTS · No edge

50%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Santos (Home)

Goals scored / match1.26

Goals conceded / match1

Over 2.5 rate21%

BTTS rate42%

Palmeiras (Away)

Goals scored / match1.63

Goals conceded / match1.16

Over 2.5 rate16%

BTTS rate63%

Team Form last 5 matches

Santos

WWWDD

Palmeiras

WWLDD

Goals Comparison rate per team

74% +0.5 89%

32% +1.5 58%

21% +2.5 16%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

42% BTTS 63%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 45%. Model confidence is Medium.

Santos averages 1.26 goals scored at home, while Palmeiras averages 1.63 goals scored away.

Model Strength

55%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

30%

Draw

27%

Away Win

43%

Over 2.5

45%

BTTS Yes

50%

Head-to-Head last 5

Nov 2025 Santos 1 - 0 Palmeiras Home

Nov 2025 Santos(A) 0 - 2 Palmeiras Away

Oct 2023 Santos(A) 2 - 1 Palmeiras Home

May 2023 Santos 0 - 0 Palmeiras Draw

Sep 2022 Santos(A) 0 - 1 Palmeiras Away

In the last 5 meetings, Santos won 2, drew 1 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Santos — unbeaten run (home)5

Santos — scoring streak (home)5

Palmeiras — winless run (away)0

Palmeiras — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Santos Win (1)30%

Draw (X)27%

Palmeiras Win (2)43%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

74% +0.5 89%

32% +1.5 58%

21% +2.5 16%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

26% -0.5 11%

68% -1.5 42%

79% -2.5 84%

100% -3.5 100%

100% -4.5 100%

Santos vs Palmeiras — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Santos — scored (home)1.26

Santos — conceded (home)1

Palmeiras — scored (away)1.63

Palmeiras — conceded (away)1.16

Model expected combined goals2.47

Both Teams To Score

Yes50%

No50%

Rate per Team

Santos — BTTS matches (home)42%

Palmeiras — BTTS matches (away)63%

Combined (simple average)52.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%

Under 4.50%

Over 5.595%

Under 5.55%

Over 6.589%

Under 6.511%

Over 7.579%

Under 7.521%

Over 8.571%

Under 8.529%

Over 9.558%

Under 9.542%

Over 10.550%

Under 10.550%

Expected total corners (blended average)10.90

Per-Team Corners own matches

Santos (home)

Corners for6.1

Corners against4.4

Palmeiras (away)

Corners for6.0

Corners against5.3

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Santos

12 5 12 8 12

Palmeiras

9 13 8 16 14

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.598%

Under 1.52%

Over 2.584%

Under 2.516%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.1

Yellow Cards per Team

Santos (home)

For2.5

Palmeiras (away)

For2.2

Shots per Game

Santos — total shots (home)16.1

Palmeiras — total shots (away)13.5

Shots on Target

Santos — on target (home)4.8

Palmeiras — on target (away)5.0

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Santos

Inside the box8.05

Outside the box5.13

Palmeiras

Inside the box8.79

Outside the box6.61

Player Shots Santos

Neymar

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target65%

+1.5 On Target35%

Guilherme

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target56%

+1.5 On Target13%

Á. Barreal

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target41%

+1.5 On Target15%

B. Rollheiser

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target31%

+1.5 On Target17%

Victor Hugo

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target44%

+1.5 On Target0%

Player Shots Palmeiras

Vitor Roque

Shots on Target/Game1.2

+0.5 On Target70%

+1.5 On Target30%

J. López

Shots on Target/Game1.1

+0.5 On Target73%

+1.5 On Target30%

F. Torres

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target41%

+1.5 On Target14%

Luighi Hanri

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target36%

+1.5 On Target18%

Andreas Pereira

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target40%

+1.5 On Target7%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Santos xG (home)1.25

Palmeiras xG (away)1.49

Average Possession

49.68% Possession 52.34%

Team Comparison Santos vs Palmeiras

82.87% Pass accuracy 82.21%

394.58 Passes per match 406.61

-0.02 Goals prevented 0.13

13.74 Fouls committed 14.61

3.42 Goalkeeper saves 2.95

1.68 Offsides 1.79

17.89 Tackles per match 16.89

League average xG this season is 1.23 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Santos vs Palmeiras prediction analysis

Review Santos vs Palmeiras with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights