What markets are included in the Santos vs Sport Recife prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Santos vs Sport Recife prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Santos vs Sport Recife

Santos vs Sport Recife prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie A 2025-11-29 00:30

Santos

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

41%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-0

Sport Recife

Away

Prediction Summary

50%

27%

23%

Under 2.5

59%

BTTS No

55%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Santos (Home)

Goals scored / match1.26

Goals conceded / match1

Over 2.5 rate21%

BTTS rate42%

Sport Recife (Away)

Goals scored / match0.58

Goals conceded / match1.89

Over 2.5 rate0%

BTTS rate42%

Team Form last 5 matches

Santos

WWWDD

Sport Recife

LLLLL

Goals Comparison rate per team

74% +0.5 47%

32% +1.5 11%

21% +2.5 0%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

42% BTTS 42%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 41%. Model confidence is Medium.

Santos averages 1.26 goals scored at home, while Sport Recife averages 0.58 goals scored away.

Model Strength

59%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

50%

Draw

27%

Away Win

23%

Over 2.5

41%

BTTS Yes

45%

Head-to-Head last 5

Nov 2025 Santos 3 - 0 Sport Recife Home

Jul 2025 Santos(A) 2 - 2 Sport Recife Draw

Nov 2024 Santos(A) 1 - 2 Sport Recife Away

Aug 2024 Santos 1 - 1 Sport Recife Draw

Oct 2021 Santos(A) 0 - 0 Sport Recife Draw

In the last 5 meetings, Santos won 1, drew 3 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Santos — unbeaten run (home)5

Santos — scoring streak (home)5

Sport Recife — winless run (away)10

Sport Recife — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Santos Win (1)50%

Draw (X)27%

Sport Recife Win (2)23%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

74% +0.5 47%

32% +1.5 11%

21% +2.5 0%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

26% -0.5 53%

68% -1.5 89%

79% -2.5 100%

100% -3.5 100%

100% -4.5 100%

Santos vs Sport Recife — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Santos — scored (home)1.26

Santos — conceded (home)1

Sport Recife — scored (away)0.58

Sport Recife — conceded (away)1.89

Model expected combined goals2.32

Both Teams To Score

Yes45%

No55%

Rate per Team

Santos — BTTS matches (home)42%

Sport Recife — BTTS matches (away)42%

Combined (simple average)42%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%

Under 4.50%

Over 5.598%

Under 5.52%

Over 6.592%

Under 6.58%

Over 7.587%

Under 7.513%

Over 8.582%

Under 8.518%

Over 9.561%

Under 9.539%

Over 10.556%

Under 10.544%

Expected total corners (blended average)10.90

Per-Team Corners own matches

Santos (home)

Corners for6.1

Corners against4.4

Sport Recife (away)

Corners for5.6

Corners against5.6

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Santos

12 5 12 8 12

Sport Recife

12 10 12 8 6

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.5100%

Under 1.50%

Over 2.584%

Under 2.516%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5

Yellow Cards per Team

Santos (home)

For2.5

Sport Recife (away)

For2.4

Shots per Game

Santos — total shots (home)16.1

Sport Recife — total shots (away)12.7

Shots on Target

Santos — on target (home)4.8

Sport Recife — on target (away)3.7

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Santos

Inside the box8.05

Outside the box5.13

Sport Recife

Inside the box7.42

Outside the box4.95

Player Shots Santos

Neymar

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target65%

+1.5 On Target35%

Guilherme

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target56%

+1.5 On Target13%

Á. Barreal

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target41%

+1.5 On Target15%

B. Rollheiser

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target31%

+1.5 On Target17%

Victor Hugo

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target44%

+1.5 On Target0%

Player Shots Sport Recife

Derik Lacerda

Shots on Target/Game1.1

+0.5 On Target65%

+1.5 On Target35%

Léo Pereira

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target44%

+1.5 On Target25%

Chrystian Barletta

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target38%

+1.5 On Target15%

C. Ortíz

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target0%

I. Ramírez

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target38%

+1.5 On Target0%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Santos xG (home)1.25

Sport Recife xG (away)0.97

Average Possession

49.68% Possession 46.24%

Team Comparison Santos vs Sport Recife

82.87% Pass accuracy 81.37%

394.58 Passes per match 375.95

-0.02 Goals prevented 0.15

13.74 Fouls committed 13.63

3.42 Goalkeeper saves 4.13

1.68 Offsides 1.84

17.89 Tackles per match 15.18

League average xG this season is 1.23 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Santos vs Sport Recife prediction analysis

Review Santos vs Sport Recife with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights