Prediction Analysis: São Bernardo vs Botafogo SP
São Bernardo vs Botafogo SP prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

São Bernardo
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
BTTS Yes
Pick
Yes
Probability
58%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1

Botafogo SP
Away
Prediction Summary
1
29%
X
24%
2
47%
Over 2.5
56%
BTTS Yes
58%
Confidence
Medium
Market Evidence
São Bernardo (Home)
Goals scored / match1.5
Goals conceded / match2
Over 2.5 rate25%
BTTS rate75%
Botafogo SP (Away)
Goals scored / match1.33
Goals conceded / match1
Over 2.5 rate33%
BTTS rate33%
Team Form last 5 matches
São Bernardo
LLDDL
Botafogo SP
WDDWL
Goals Comparison rate per team
75%
+0.5
67%
50%
+1.5
33%
25%
+2.5
33%
0%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
75%
BTTS
33%
Model Insight
The selected market is BTTS Yes with a probability of 58%. Model confidence is Medium.
São Bernardo averages 1.5 goals scored at home, while Botafogo SP averages 1.33 goals scored away.
Model Strength
58%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
29%
Draw
24%
Away Win
47%
Over 2.5
56%
BTTS Yes
58%
Head-to-Head last 0
No head-to-head historyThese two teams have no finished match on record against each other.
Current Streaks
São Bernardo — unbeaten run (home)0
São Bernardo — scoring streak (home)3
Botafogo SP — winless run (away)2
Botafogo SP — clean sheets (away, last 3)2 of 3
1X2 Probability model
São Bernardo Win (1)29%
Draw (X)24%
Botafogo SP Win (2)47%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
75%
+0.5
67%
50%
+1.5
33%
25%
+2.5
33%
0%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
25%
-0.5
33%
50%
-1.5
67%
75%
-2.5
67%
100%
-3.5
100%
100%
-4.5
100%
São Bernardo vs Botafogo SP — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
São Bernardo — scored (home)1.5
São Bernardo — conceded (home)2
Botafogo SP — scored (away)1.33
Botafogo SP — conceded (away)1
Model expected combined goals2.92
Both Teams To Score
Yes58%
No42%
Rate per Team
São Bernardo — BTTS matches (home)75%
Botafogo SP — BTTS matches (away)33%
Combined (simple average)54%
Corners Line model prediction
Over 8.563%
Under 8.537%
Over 9.553%
Under 9.547%
Over 10.543%
Under 10.557%
Expected total corners (model prediction)10.10
Per-Team Corners own matches
São Bernardo (home)
Corners for5.8
Corners against4.0
Botafogo SP (away)
Corners for3.3
Corners against7.3
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
São Bernardo
12
13
9
7
12
Botafogo SP
17
8
9
11
11
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.5100%
Under 1.50%
Over 2.5100%
Under 2.50%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.8
Yellow Cards per Team
São Bernardo (home)
For2.3
Botafogo SP (away)
For2.7
Shots Forecast model prediction
Match Total
Over 19.576%
Under 19.524%
Over 22.562%
Under 22.538%
Over 25.547%
Under 25.553%
Expected total shots25.61
São Bernardo
Shots Over 9.585%
Shots Over 11.573%
Shots Over 13.558%
Expected shots15.02
On Target Over 3.563%
On Target Over 4.545%
On Target Over 5.529%
Expected on target4.44
Botafogo SP
Shots Over 9.557%
Shots Over 11.538%
Shots Over 13.523%
Expected shots10.59
On Target Over 3.543%
On Target Over 4.526%
On Target Over 5.514%
Expected on target3.38
Shots per Game
São Bernardo — total shots (home)13.8
Botafogo SP — total shots (away)10.3
Shots on Target
São Bernardo — on target (home)3.8
Botafogo SP — on target (away)3.0
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
São Bernardo
Inside the box6
Outside the box7.14
Botafogo SP
Inside the box7.83
Outside the box4.17
Player Shots São Bernardo
Echaporã
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target29%
Hyoran
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target14%
+1.5 On Target14%
Eduardo
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target0%
Daniel Davi Simão Roque
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target0%
Rodrigo Ferreira
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target0%
Player Shots Botafogo SP
Wesley Pinheiro
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target25%
Patrick Brey
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target33%
Hygor
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target20%
Rafael Gava
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target17%
Kelvin
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target20%
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
São Bernardo xG (home)0.87
Botafogo SP xG (away)1.29
Average Possession
57.29%
Possession
42.17%
Team Comparison São Bernardo vs Botafogo SP
85.67%
Pass accuracy
74.13%
475.86
Passes per match
306.33
-0.45
Goals prevented
-0.41
11.71
Fouls committed
18.83
2.43
Goalkeeper saves
2.67
2.33
Offsides
1.83
10
Tackles per match
14.5
League average xG this season is 1.13 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
São Bernardo vs Botafogo SP prediction and preview
Preview São Bernardo vs Botafogo SP with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, recent form and key team performance data.
1X2
Over/Under 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
Serie B
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights