What markets are included in the São Bernardo vs Ceara prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the São Bernardo vs Ceara prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: São Bernardo vs Ceara

São Bernardo vs Ceara prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie B 2026-07-26 19:00

São Bernardo

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Home Win

Pick

São Bernardo

Probability

44%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-0

Ceara

Away

Prediction Summary

44%

29%

27%

Under 2.5

63%

BTTS No

57%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

São Bernardo (Home)

Goals scored / match1

Goals conceded / match1.33

Over 2.5 rate0%

BTTS rate67%

Ceara (Away)

Goals scored / match0.5

Goals conceded / match1.5

Over 2.5 rate0%

BTTS rate50%

Team Form last 5 matches

São Bernardo

LDDLL

Ceara

LDDLL

Goals Comparison rate per team

67% +0.5 50%

33% +1.5 0%

0% +2.5 0%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

67% BTTS 50%

Model Insight

The selected market is Home Win with a probability of 44%. Model confidence is Medium.

São Bernardo averages 1 goals scored at home, while Ceara averages 0.5 goals scored away.

Model Strength

63%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

44%

Draw

29%

Away Win

27%

Over 2.5

37%

BTTS Yes

43%

Head-to-Head last 0

No head-to-head historyThese two teams have no finished match on record against each other.

Current Streaks

São Bernardo — unbeaten run (home)2

São Bernardo — scoring streak (home)2

Ceara — winless run (away)4

Ceara — clean sheets (away, last 4)0 of 4

1X2 Probability model

São Bernardo Win (1)44%

Draw (X)29%

Ceara Win (2)27%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

67% +0.5 50%

33% +1.5 0%

0% +2.5 0%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

33% -0.5 50%

67% -1.5 100%

100% -2.5 100%

100% -3.5 100%

100% -4.5 100%

São Bernardo vs Ceara — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

São Bernardo — scored (home)1

São Bernardo — conceded (home)1.33

Ceara — scored (away)0.5

Ceara — conceded (away)1.5

Model expected combined goals2.17

Both Teams To Score

Yes43%

No57%

Rate per Team

São Bernardo — BTTS matches (home)67%

Ceara — BTTS matches (away)50%

Combined (simple average)58.5%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.563%

Under 8.537%

Over 9.553%

Under 9.547%

Over 10.543%

Under 10.557%

Expected total corners (model prediction)10.10

Per-Team Corners own matches

São Bernardo (home)

Corners for4.7

Corners against4.3

Ceara (away)

Corners for6.0

Corners against3.5

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

São Bernardo

9 12 13 9 7

Ceara

10 16 9 8 7

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.588%

Under 0.512%

Over 1.575%

Under 1.525%

Over 2.575%

Under 2.525%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.8

Yellow Cards per Team

São Bernardo (home)

For2.7

Ceara (away)

For1.0

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.571%

Under 19.529%

Over 22.555%

Under 22.545%

Over 25.540%

Under 25.560%

Expected total shots24.17

São Bernardo

Shots Over 9.578%

Shots Over 11.562%

Shots Over 13.546%

Expected shots13.39

On Target Over 3.562%

On Target Over 4.543%

On Target Over 5.528%

Expected on target4.34

Ceara

Shots Over 9.559%

Shots Over 11.540%

Shots Over 13.524%

Expected shots10.78

On Target Over 3.540%

On Target Over 4.523%

On Target Over 5.512%

Expected on target3.21

Shots per Game

São Bernardo — total shots (home)12.3

Ceara — total shots (away)10.5

Shots on Target

São Bernardo — on target (home)3.3

Ceara — on target (away)1.8

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

São Bernardo

Inside the box5.17

Outside the box7.17

Ceara

Inside the box5.17

Outside the box6.5

Player Shots São Bernardo

Echaporã

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target33%

Hyoran

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target17%

+1.5 On Target17%

Eduardo

Shots on Target/Game1

+0.5 On Target40%

+1.5 On Target0%

Daniel Davi Simão Roque

Shots on Target/Game1

+0.5 On Target40%

+1.5 On Target0%

Rodrigo Ferreira

Shots on Target/Game1

+0.5 On Target40%

+1.5 On Target0%

Player Shots Ceara

Lucca

Shots on Target/Game3

+0.5 On Target17%

+1.5 On Target17%

Vina

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target67%

+1.5 On Target33%

Fernando

Shots on Target/Game1

+0.5 On Target25%

+1.5 On Target0%

João Gabriel

Shots on Target/Game1

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target0%

Rafael Ramos

Shots on Target/Game1

+0.5 On Target25%

+1.5 On Target0%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

São Bernardo xG (home)0.77

Ceara xG (away)0.67

Average Possession

58% Possession 52.14%

Team Comparison São Bernardo vs Ceara

86% Pass accuracy 75.67%

488.5 Passes per match 335.83

-0.25 Goals prevented -0.23

11.5 Fouls committed 13.14

2.17 Goalkeeper saves 2.29

2.6 Offsides 0.86

9.83 Tackles per match 14.57

League average xG this season is 1.13 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

São Bernardo vs Ceara prediction analysis

Review São Bernardo vs Ceara with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie B.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie B

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights