Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Sao Paulo vs RB Bragantino

Sao Paulo vs RB Bragantino prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie A 2025-11-09 00:00
Sao Paulo
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
46%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-0
RB Bragantino
Away

Prediction Summary

1
50%
X
26%
2
24%
Under 2.5
54%
BTTS No
51%
Confidence
Low

Market Evidence

Sao Paulo (Home)

Goals scored / match1.42
Goals conceded / match0.89
Over 2.5 rate11%
BTTS rate42%

RB Bragantino (Away)

Goals scored / match0.95
Goals conceded / match1.74
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate63%

Team Form last 5 matches

Sao Paulo
LWLWL
RB Bragantino
LWLLW

Goals Comparison rate per team

74% +0.5 79%
58% +1.5 16%
11% +2.5 0%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
42% BTTS 63%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 46%. Model confidence is Low.

Sao Paulo averages 1.42 goals scored at home, while RB Bragantino averages 0.95 goals scored away.

Model Strength
54%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
50%
Draw
26%
Away Win
24%
Over 2.5
46%
BTTS Yes
49%

Head-to-Head last 5

Nov 2025 Sao Paulo 0 - 1 RB Bragantino Away
Jul 2025 Sao Paulo(A) 2 - 2 RB Bragantino Draw
Nov 2024 Sao Paulo(A) 1 - 1 RB Bragantino Draw
Jul 2024 Sao Paulo 2 - 0 RB Bragantino Home
Nov 2023 Sao Paulo 1 - 0 RB Bragantino Home

In the last 5 meetings, Sao Paulo won 2, drew 2 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Sao Paulo — unbeaten run (home)2
Sao Paulo — scoring streak (home)2
RB Bragantino — winless run (away)2
RB Bragantino — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Sao Paulo Win (1)50%
Draw (X)26%
RB Bragantino Win (2)24%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

74% +0.5 79%
58% +1.5 16%
11% +2.5 0%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

26% -0.5 21%
42% -1.5 84%
89% -2.5 100%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Sao Paulo vs RB Bragantino — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Sao Paulo — scored (home)1.42
Sao Paulo — conceded (home)0.89
RB Bragantino — scored (away)0.95
RB Bragantino — conceded (away)1.74
Model expected combined goals2.5

Both Teams To Score

Yes49%
No51%

Rate per Team

Sao Paulo — BTTS matches (home)42%
RB Bragantino — BTTS matches (away)63%
Combined (simple average)52.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%
Under 4.50%
Over 5.5100%
Under 5.50%
Over 6.592%
Under 6.58%
Over 7.579%
Under 7.521%
Over 8.566%
Under 8.534%
Over 9.558%
Under 9.542%
Over 10.540%
Under 10.560%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.10

Per-Team Corners own matches

Sao Paulo (home)

Corners for5.1
Corners against4.7

RB Bragantino (away)

Corners for4.1
Corners against6.4

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Sao Paulo
9 11 7 13 12
RB Bragantino
10 10 11 5 6

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.598%
Under 1.52%
Over 2.592%
Under 2.58%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.7

Yellow Cards per Team

Sao Paulo (home)

For2.8

RB Bragantino (away)

For3.3

Shots per Game

Sao Paulo — total shots (home)13.3
RB Bragantino — total shots (away)9.6

Shots on Target

Sao Paulo — on target (home)4.1
RB Bragantino — on target (away)3.5

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Sao Paulo

Inside the box7.11
Outside the box4.74

RB Bragantino

Inside the box7.58
Outside the box4.79

Player Shots Sao Paulo

Luciano
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target63%
+1.5 On Target19%
G. Tapia
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target15%
J. Dinenno
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target14%
Ferreira
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target4%
André Silva
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target35%
+1.5 On Target10%

Player Shots RB Bragantino

Eduardo Sasha
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target52%
+1.5 On Target27%
Jhon Jhon
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target9%
Lucas Barbosa
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target12%
Henry Mosquera
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target41%
+1.5 On Target6%
I. Laquintana
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target0%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Sao Paulo xG (home)1.15
RB Bragantino xG (away)1.16

Average Possession

52.13% Possession 47.82%

Team Comparison Sao Paulo vs RB Bragantino

83.71% Pass accuracy 81.68%
438.63 Passes per match 390.63
0.21 Goals prevented 0.01
14.24 Fouls committed 14.11
3.21 Goalkeeper saves 3.53
1.47 Offsides 1.46
17.21 Tackles per match 15.47

League average xG this season is 1.23 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Sao Paulo vs RB Bragantino prediction analysis

Review Sao Paulo vs RB Bragantino with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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