Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Sarıyer vs Iğdır FK

Sarıyer vs Iğdır FK prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

Back to Predictions
1. Lig 2026-01-11 10:30
Sarıyer
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
44%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Iğdır FK
Away

Prediction Summary

1
39%
X
27%
2
34%
Under 2.5
56%
BTTS · No edge
50%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Sarıyer (Home)

Goals scored / match1.47
Goals conceded / match0.84
Over 2.5 rate21%
BTTS rate42%

Iğdır FK (Away)

Goals scored / match1.37
Goals conceded / match1.53
Over 2.5 rate16%
BTTS rate58%

Team Form last 5 matches

Sarıyer
WWLWD
Iğdır FK
DLDWL

Goals Comparison rate per team

84% +0.5 68%
26% +1.5 37%
21% +2.5 16%
11% +3.5 5%
5% +4.5 5%
42% BTTS 58%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 44%. Model confidence is Medium.

Sarıyer averages 1.47 goals scored at home, while Iğdır FK averages 1.37 goals scored away.

Model Strength
56%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
39%
Draw
27%
Away Win
34%
Over 2.5
44%
BTTS Yes
50%

Head-to-Head last 2

Jan 2026 Sarıyer 1 - 0 Iğdır FK Home
Aug 2025 Sarıyer(A) 1 - 2 Iğdır FK Away

In the last 2 meetings, Sarıyer won 1, drew 0 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Sarıyer — unbeaten run (home)4
Sarıyer — scoring streak (home)14
Iğdır FK — winless run (away)1
Iğdır FK — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Sarıyer Win (1)39%
Draw (X)27%
Iğdır FK Win (2)34%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

84% +0.5 68%
26% +1.5 37%
21% +2.5 16%
11% +3.5 5%
5% +4.5 5%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

16% -0.5 32%
74% -1.5 63%
79% -2.5 84%
89% -3.5 95%
95% -4.5 95%

Sarıyer vs Iğdır FK — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Sarıyer — scored (home)1.47
Sarıyer — conceded (home)0.84
Iğdır FK — scored (away)1.37
Iğdır FK — conceded (away)1.53
Model expected combined goals2.44

Both Teams To Score

Yes50%
No50%

Rate per Team

Sarıyer — BTTS matches (home)42%
Iğdır FK — BTTS matches (away)58%
Combined (simple average)50%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.592%
Under 4.58%
Over 5.587%
Under 5.513%
Over 6.574%
Under 6.526%
Over 7.550%
Under 7.550%
Over 8.532%
Under 8.568%
Over 9.524%
Under 9.576%
Over 10.519%
Under 10.581%
Expected total corners (blended average)7.90

Per-Team Corners own matches

Sarıyer (home)

Corners for4.8
Corners against3.1

Iğdır FK (away)

Corners for4.7
Corners against3.2

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Sarıyer
5 7 6 11 6
Iğdır FK
5 5 11 9 7

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.598%
Under 0.52%
Over 1.592%
Under 1.58%
Over 2.576%
Under 2.524%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.8

Yellow Cards per Team

Sarıyer (home)

For2.6

Iğdır FK (away)

For2.2

Shots per Game

Sarıyer — total shots (home)12.1
Iğdır FK — total shots (away)10.1

Shots on Target

Sarıyer — on target (home)4.4
Iğdır FK — on target (away)3.9

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Sarıyer

Inside the box6.84
Outside the box4.68

Iğdır FK

Inside the box7.47
Outside the box3.89

Player Shots Sarıyer

A. Urie
Shots on Target/Game2.3
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target13%
O. Sol
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target8%
+1.5 On Target8%
E. Kulašin
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target14%
M. Dembélé
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target24%
E. Eze
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target56%
+1.5 On Target19%

Player Shots Iğdır FK

Ryan Mendes
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target31%
+1.5 On Target17%
G. Bruno
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target66%
+1.5 On Target28%
F. Loshaj
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target31%
+1.5 On Target15%
F. Koita
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target41%
+1.5 On Target7%
M. Fofana
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target15%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Sarıyer xG (home)1.15
Iğdır FK xG (away)1.75

Average Possession

47.79% Possession 56.45%

Team Comparison Sarıyer vs Iğdır FK

80.71% Pass accuracy 81.32%
384.29 Passes per match 435.74
0 Goals prevented 0
11.08 Fouls committed 12
2.53 Goalkeeper saves 2.73
2.4 Offsides 3.16
12.89 Tackles per match 13.63

League average xG this season is 1.42 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Sarıyer vs Iğdır FK prediction analysis

Review Sarıyer vs Iğdır FK with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from 1. Lig.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance 1. Lig
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
Scroll to Top