Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Sarıyer vs İstanbulspor

Sarıyer vs İstanbulspor prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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1. Lig 2025-12-13 10:30
Sarıyer
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
40%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
İstanbulspor
Away

Prediction Summary

1
58%
X
25%
2
17%
Under 2.5
60%
BTTS No
60%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Sarıyer (Home)

Goals scored / match1.47
Goals conceded / match0.84
Over 2.5 rate21%
BTTS rate42%

İstanbulspor (Away)

Goals scored / match1.32
Goals conceded / match1.47
Over 2.5 rate26%
BTTS rate47%

Team Form last 5 matches

Sarıyer
WWLWD
İstanbulspor
WWWWL

Goals Comparison rate per team

84% +0.5 58%
26% +1.5 37%
21% +2.5 26%
11% +3.5 5%
5% +4.5 5%
42% BTTS 47%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 40%. Model confidence is Medium.

Sarıyer averages 1.47 goals scored at home, while İstanbulspor averages 1.32 goals scored away.

Model Strength
60%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
58%
Draw
25%
Away Win
17%
Over 2.5
40%
BTTS Yes
40%

Head-to-Head last 3

Apr 2026 Sarıyer(A) 1 - 3 İstanbulspor Away
Dec 2025 Sarıyer 1 - 2 İstanbulspor Away
Dec 2025 Sarıyer(A) 0 - 6 İstanbulspor Away

In the last 3 meetings, Sarıyer won 0, drew 0 and lost 3.

Current Streaks

Sarıyer — unbeaten run (home)4
Sarıyer — scoring streak (home)14
İstanbulspor — winless run (away)0
İstanbulspor — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Sarıyer Win (1)58%
Draw (X)25%
İstanbulspor Win (2)17%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

84% +0.5 58%
26% +1.5 37%
21% +2.5 26%
11% +3.5 5%
5% +4.5 5%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

16% -0.5 42%
74% -1.5 63%
79% -2.5 74%
89% -3.5 95%
95% -4.5 95%

Sarıyer vs İstanbulspor — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Sarıyer — scored (home)1.47
Sarıyer — conceded (home)0.84
İstanbulspor — scored (away)1.32
İstanbulspor — conceded (away)1.47
Model expected combined goals2.29

Both Teams To Score

Yes40%
No60%

Rate per Team

Sarıyer — BTTS matches (home)42%
İstanbulspor — BTTS matches (away)47%
Combined (simple average)44.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.587%
Under 4.513%
Over 5.582%
Under 5.518%
Over 6.576%
Under 6.524%
Over 7.561%
Under 7.539%
Over 8.548%
Under 8.552%
Over 9.534%
Under 9.566%
Over 10.524%
Under 10.576%
Expected total corners (blended average)8.40

Per-Team Corners own matches

Sarıyer (home)

Corners for4.8
Corners against3.1

İstanbulspor (away)

Corners for3.3
Corners against5.5

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Sarıyer
5 7 6 11 6
İstanbulspor
4 19 6 11 8

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.595%
Under 1.55%
Over 2.587%
Under 2.513%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5

Yellow Cards per Team

Sarıyer (home)

For2.6

İstanbulspor (away)

For2.3

Shots per Game

Sarıyer — total shots (home)12.1
İstanbulspor — total shots (away)10.7

Shots on Target

Sarıyer — on target (home)4.4
İstanbulspor — on target (away)4.2

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Sarıyer

Inside the box6.84
Outside the box4.68

İstanbulspor

Inside the box7.55
Outside the box4.13

Player Shots Sarıyer

A. Urie
Shots on Target/Game2.3
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target13%
O. Sol
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target8%
+1.5 On Target8%
E. Kulašin
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target14%
M. Dembélé
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target24%
E. Eze
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target56%
+1.5 On Target19%

Player Shots İstanbulspor

Alieu Cham
Shots on Target/Game2.3
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target43%
Fahri Kerem Ay
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target14%
+1.5 On Target14%
M. Sol
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target32%
+1.5 On Target12%
Ö. Duymaz
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target9%
E. Gültekin
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target57%
+1.5 On Target21%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Sarıyer xG (home)1.15
İstanbulspor xG (away)1.46

Average Possession

47.79% Possession 47.97%

Team Comparison Sarıyer vs İstanbulspor

80.71% Pass accuracy 78.5%
384.29 Passes per match 382.74
0 Goals prevented 0
11.08 Fouls committed 11.45
2.53 Goalkeeper saves 2.66
2.4 Offsides 1.86
12.89 Tackles per match 13.62

League average xG this season is 1.42 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Sarıyer vs İstanbulspor prediction analysis

Review Sarıyer vs İstanbulspor with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from 1. Lig.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance 1. Lig
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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