Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Sarıyer vs Muğlaspor

Sarıyer vs Muğlaspor prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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1. Lig 2026-08-09 16:00
Sarıyer
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
49%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-1
Muğlaspor
Away

Prediction Summary

1
50%
X
25%
2
25%
Under 2.5
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
Confidence
Low

Market Evidence

Sarıyer (Home)

Goals scored / match1.47
Goals conceded / match0.84
Over 2.5 rate21%
BTTS rate42%

Muğlaspor (Away)

Goals scored / match0
Goals conceded / match0
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate0%

Team Form last 5 matches

Sarıyer
WWLWD

Goals Comparison rate per team

84% +0.5 0%
26% +1.5 0%
21% +2.5 0%
11% +3.5 0%
5% +4.5 0%
42% BTTS 0%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 49%. Model confidence is Low.

Sarıyer averages 1.47 goals scored at home, while Muğlaspor averages 0 goals scored away.

Model Strength
51%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
50%
Draw
25%
Away Win
25%
Over 2.5
49%
BTTS Yes
51%

Head-to-Head last 1

Oct 2024 Sarıyer(A) 2 - 2 Muğlaspor Draw

In the last 1 meetings, Sarıyer won 0, drew 1 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Sarıyer — unbeaten run (home)4
Sarıyer — scoring streak (home)14

1X2 Probability model

Sarıyer Win (1)50%
Draw (X)25%
Muğlaspor Win (2)25%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

84% +0.5 0%
26% +1.5 0%
21% +2.5 0%
11% +3.5 0%
5% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

16% -0.5 100%
74% -1.5 100%
79% -2.5 100%
89% -3.5 100%
95% -4.5 100%

Sarıyer vs Muğlaspor — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Sarıyer — scored (home)1.47
Sarıyer — conceded (home)0.84
Muğlaspor — scored (away)0
Muğlaspor — conceded (away)0
Model expected combined goals2.62

Both Teams To Score

Yes51%
No49%

Rate per Team

Sarıyer — BTTS matches (home)42%
Muğlaspor — BTTS matches (away)0%
Combined (simple average)21%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.548%
Under 8.552%
Over 9.538%
Under 9.562%
Over 10.529%
Under 10.571%
Expected total corners (model prediction)8.70

Per-Team Corners own matches

Sarıyer (home)

Corners for4.8
Corners against3.1

Muğlaspor (away)

Corners for—
Corners against—

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Sarıyer
5 7 6 11 6

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.550%
Under 0.550%
Over 1.548%
Under 1.552%
Over 2.542%
Under 2.558%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.2

Yellow Cards per Team

Sarıyer (home)

For2.6

Muğlaspor (away)

For—

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.559%
Under 19.541%
Over 22.545%
Under 22.555%
Over 25.533%
Under 25.567%
Expected total shots22.43

Sarıyer

Shots Over 9.568%
Shots Over 11.553%
Shots Over 13.538%
Expected shots12.45
On Target Over 3.561%
On Target Over 4.546%
On Target Over 5.533%
Expected on target4.63

Muğlaspor

Shots Over 9.550%
Shots Over 11.533%
Shots Over 13.520%
Expected shots9.98
On Target Over 3.544%
On Target Over 4.529%
On Target Over 5.518%
Expected on target3.53

Shots per Game

Sarıyer — total shots (home)12.1
Muğlaspor — total shots (away)—

Shots on Target

Sarıyer — on target (home)4.4
Muğlaspor — on target (away)—

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Sarıyer

Inside the box6.84
Outside the box4.68

Muğlaspor

Inside the box-
Outside the box-

Player Shots Sarıyer

A. Urie
Shots on Target/Game2.3
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target13%
O. Sol
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target8%
+1.5 On Target8%
E. Kulašin
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target14%
M. Dembélé
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target24%
E. Eze
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target56%
+1.5 On Target19%

Player Shots Muğlaspor

Not enough dataNot enough player match statistics for this squad.

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Sarıyer xG (home)1.15
Muğlaspor xG (away)-

Average Possession

47.79% Possession -%

Team Comparison Sarıyer vs Muğlaspor

80.71% Pass accuracy 0%
384.29 Passes per match -
0 Goals prevented -
11.08 Fouls committed -
2.53 Goalkeeper saves -
2.4 Offsides -
12.89 Tackles per match -

League average xG this season is 1.42 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Sarıyer vs Muğlaspor prediction and preview

Preview Sarıyer vs Muğlaspor with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, recent form and key team performance data.

1X2 Over/Under 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance 1. Lig
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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